Immunogenicity and HPV infection after one, two, and three doses of quadrivalent HPV vaccine in girls in India: a multicentre prospective cohort study
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: An increase in worldwide HPV vaccination could be facilitated if fewer than three doses of vaccine are as effective as three doses. We originally aimed to compare the immunogenicity and frequency of persistent infection and cervical precancerous lesions caused by vaccine-targeted HPV after vaccination with two doses of quadrivalent vaccine on days 1 and 180 or later, with three doses on days 1, 60, and 180 or later, in a cluster-randomised trial. Suspension of the recruitment and vaccination due to events unrelated to our study meant that some enrolled girls could not be vaccinated and some vaccinated girls received fewer than the planned number of vaccinations by default. As a result, we re-analysed our data as an observational cohort study. METHODS: Our study was designed to be done in nine locations (188 clusters) in India. Participants were unmarried girls aged 10-18 years vaccinated in four cohorts: girls who received three doses of vaccine on days 1, 60, and 180 or later, two doses on days 1 and 180 or later, two doses on days 1 and 60 by default, and one dose by default. The primary outcomes were immunogenicity in terms of L1 genotype-specific binding antibody titres, neutralising antibody titres, and antibody avidity after vaccination for the vaccine-targeted HPV types 16, 18, 6, and 11 and incident and persistent infections with these HPVs. Analysis was per actual number of vaccine doses received. This study is registered with ISRCTN, number ISRCTN98283094; and with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00923702. FINDINGS: Vaccination of eligible girls was initiated on Sept 1, 2009, and continued until April 8, 2010. Of 21 258 eligible girls identified at 188 clusters, 17 729 girls were recruited from 178 clusters before suspension. 4348 (25%) girls received three doses, 4979 (28%) received two doses on days 1 and 180 or later, 3452 (19%) received two doses at days 1 and 60, and 4950 (28%) received one dose. Immune response in the two-dose HPV vaccine group was non-inferior to the three-dose group (median fluorescence intensity ratio for HPV 16 1·12 [95% CI 1·02-1·23] and for HPV 18 1·04 [0·92-1·19]) at 7 months, but was inferior in the two-dose default (0·33 [0·29-0·38] for HPV 16 and 0·51 [0·43-0·59] for HPV 18) and one-dose default (0·09 [0·08-0·11] for HPV 16 and 0·12 [0·10-0·14] for HPV 18) groups at 18 months. The geometric mean avidity indices after fewer than three doses by design or default were non-inferior to those after three doses of vaccine. Fewer than three doses by design and default induced detectable concentrations of neutralising antibodies to all four vaccine-targeted HPV types, but at much lower concentration after one dose. Cervical samples from 2649 participants were tested and the frequency of incident HPV 16, 18, 6, and 11 infections was similar irrespective of the number of vaccine doses received. The testing of at least two samples from 838 participants showed that there was no persistent HPV 16 or 18 infections in any study group at a median follow-up of 4·7 years (IQR 4·2-5·1). INTERPRETATION: Despite the limitations imposed by the suspension of the HPV vaccination, our findings lend support to the WHO recommendation of two doses, at least 6 months apart, for routine vaccination of young girls. The short-term protection afforded by one dose of HPV vaccine against persistent infection with HPV 16, 18, 6, and 11 is similar to that afforded by two or three doses of vaccine and merits further assessment. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Due to lack of Indian specific data on incidence of HPV infection, age specific HPV incidence rates were derived based on data of HPV infection in a vaccinated cohort of adolescent girls.
“Similarly, due to lack of Indian specific data on incidence of HPV infection, age specific HPV incidence rates were derived based on data of HPV infection in a vaccinated cohort of adolescent girls. [28]”
From Cost effectiveness of strategies for cervical cancer prevention in India (2020) · cites this paper as [28]
The incidence rate of HPV infection among unvaccinated 20-25-year-old women was computed as 11.6%.
“Using the reported annual incidence rate of 0.8% for the HPV infection (HPV 16 and 18) among 20–25 year old immunized women with 2 doses of HPV vaccine [28] and vaccine efficacy of 93%, [29] we computed the incidence rate of HPV infection as 11.6% among unvaccinated cohort of the same age group.”
From Cost effectiveness of strategies for cervical cancer prevention in India (2020) · cites this paper as [28]
The citing sentence says its authors computed 11.6% using figures cited separately; it does not attribute that calculation to this paper. The paper’s Results report HPV infections in vaccinated groups, while its Discussion mentions a 3–9% frequency of HPV 16/18 infection in unvaccinated young women. Neither passage gives an 11.6% incidence rate for unvaccinated women aged 20–25 (pages unavailable). (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredRural households are more hesitant about HPV vaccination.
“Family disapproval, particularly in patriarchal or conservative settings, often resulted in refusal to vaccinate, with rural households being more hesitant24,45.”
From Barriers to HPV vaccination among adolescent girls in India: A scoping review (2026) · cites this paper as [24]
The Methods (Study design and participants; Procedures) describe obtaining parental consent, and the Results report how many eligible girls were vaccinated. Neither those passages nor the Discussion addresses whether rural households were more hesitant about HPV vaccination. Searches for rural refusal and rural–urban differences in consent found no supporting passage. (LLM, conf=0.76)
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Basu, P., Malvi, S. G., Joshi, S., Bhatla, N., Muwonge, R., Lucas, E., Verma, Y., Esmy, P. O., Poli, U. R. R., Shah, A., et al. (2021) · The Lancet Oncology · doi:10.1016/s1470-2045(21)00453-8 · Cited by 272 · see citing works
Self-citationCurrent status of human papillomavirus vaccination in India's cervical cancer prevention efforts
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Cost effectiveness of strategies for cervical cancer prevention in India
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“[28] Both these derived estimates could have affected the valuation of health outcomes.”
BackgroundMethodHealth and economic benefits of single-dose HPV vaccination in a Gavi-eligible country
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Barriers to HPV vaccination among adolescent girls in India: A scoping review
Josten, K., Rose Dhar, R., Reshmi, B., Natti Krishna, V., & Vennila, J. (2026) · The Indian Journal of Medical Research · doi:10.25259/ijmr_1834_2025 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Multiple studies emphasized that the exclusion of the HPV vaccine from India’s national immunization schedule had stymied uptake, especially among marginalized groups 15,21,25,26 .”
Pant, A., Thangavel, G., Mathew, S., & Nath, A. (2025) · Journal of Cancer Policy · doi:10.1016/j.jcpo.2025.100642 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
- Authors
- Sankaranarayanan, R., Prabhu, P. R., Pawlita, M., Gheit, T., Bhatla, N., Muwonge, R., Nene, B. M., Esmy, P. O., Joshi, S., Poli, U. R. R., Jivarajani, P., Verma, Y., Zomawia, E., Siddiqi, M., Shastri, S. S., Jayant, K., Malvi, S. G., Lucas, E., Michel, A., Butt, J., Vijayamma, J. M. B., Sankaran, S., Kannan, T. P. R. A., Varghese, R., Divate, U., Thomas, S., Joshi, G., Willhauck-Fleckenstein, M., Waterboer, T., Müller, M., Sehr, P., Hingmire, S., Kriplani, A., Mishra, G., Pimple, S., Jadhav, R., Sauvaget, C., Tommasino, M., & Pillai, M. R.
- Affiliations
- Centre international de recherche sur le cancer (FR)
- Rajiv Gandhi Centre for Biotechnology (IN)
- German Cancer Research Center (DE)
- All India Institute of Medical Sciences (IN)
- Nargis Dutt Memorial Cancer Hospital (IN)
- Jehangir Hospital (IN)
- Cancer Foundation of India (IN)
- Tata Memorial Hospital (IN)
- Gujarat Cancer & Research Institute (IN)
- European Molecular Biology Laboratory (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Sankaranarayanan, Rengaswamy
- ORCID
- Sankaranarayanan, Rengaswamy
- Prabhu, Priya Ramesh
- Pawlita, Michael
- Gheit, Tarik
- Bhatla, Neerja
- Muwonge, Richard
- Joshi, Smita
- Poli, Usha Rani Reddy
- Verma, Yogesh
- Zomawia, Eric
- Siddiqi, Maqsood
- Shastri, Surendra S
- Lucas, Eric
- Butt, Julia
- Varghese, Rintu
- Divate, Uma
- Waterboer, Tim
- Müller, Martin
- Sehr, Peter
- Kriplani, Alka
- Mishra, Gauravi
- Pimple, Sharmila
- Sauvaget, Catherine
- Tommasino, Massimo
- Venue
- The Lancet Oncology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2016-01
- Volume
- 17
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 67-77
- ISSN
- 1470-2045 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5357737
- OpenAlex
- W2187298330
- Cited by
- 242
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 22 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 32 · 2018: 38 · 2017: 26 · 2016: 25 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 23.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet Oncology (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
- World Health Organization
- Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum
- European Commission (282562, FP7‐HEALTH‐2011)
- FP7 Health (FP7-HEALTH-2011-282562)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Cervical Cancer and HPV Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Genital Health and Disease
- Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Microbiology › Reproductive tract infections research
- Keywords
- quadrivalent HPV vaccine, HPV vaccination, immunogenicity, vaccine dose number, two-dose schedule, persistent HPV infection, cervical precancerous lesions, HPV16, HPV 18, HPV 6, HPV 11, neutralizing antibodies, antibody avidity, adolescent girls, India, vaccine safety, adverse events, cervical cancer prevention
- MeSH terms
- Human Papillomavirus Recombinant Vaccine Quadrivalent, Types 6, 11, 16, 18, Adolescent, Antibodies, Viral, Cervix Uteri, Child, Dose-Response Relationship, Drug, Drug Administration Schedule, Female, Humans, India, Prospective Studies, Vaccination, Incidence, Papillomavirus Infections, Human papillomavirus 11, Human papillomavirus 18, Human papillomavirus 16, Antibodies, Neutralizing, Early Termination of Clinical Trials, Vaccine Potency
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