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An epithelial biomarker signature for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the multicentre PROFILE cohort study
Open accessAbstract
Background Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive, fatal disorder with a variable disease trajectory. The aim of this study was to assess potential biomarkers to predict outcomes for people with IPF.Methods PROFILE is a large prospective longitudinal cohort of treatment-naive patients with IPF. We adopted a two-stage discovery and validation design using patients from the PROFILE cohort. For the discovery analysis, we examined 106 patients and 50 age and sex matched healthy controls from Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust and the Royal Brompton Hospital. We did an unbiased, multiplex immunoassay assessment of 123 biomarkers. We further investigated promising novel markers by immunohistochemical assessment of IPF lung tissue. In the validation analysis, we examined samples from 206 people with IPF from among the remaining 212 patients recruited to PROFILE Central England. We used the samples to attempt to replicate the biomarkers identified from the discovery analysis by use of independent immunoassays for each biomarker. We investigated the predictive power of the selected biomarkers to identify individuals with IPF who were at risk of progression or death. The PROFILE studies are registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, numbers NCT01134822 (PROFILE Central England) and NCT01110694 (PROFILE Royal Brompton Hospital).Findings In the discovery analysis, we identified four serum biomarkers (surfactant protein D, matrix metalloproteinase 7, CA19-9, and CA-125) that were suitable for replication. Histological assessment of CA19-9 and CA-125 suggested that these proteins were markers of epithelial damage. Replication analysis showed that baseline values of surfactant protein D (46·6 ng/mL vs 34·6 ng/mL, p=0·0018) and CA19-9 (53·7 U/mL vs 22·2 U/mL; p<0·0001) were significantly higher in patients with progressive disease than in patients with stable disease, and rising concentrations of CA-125 over 3 months were associated with increased risk of mortality (HR 2·542, 95% CI 1·493-4·328, p=0·00059).Interpretation We have identified serum proteins secreted from metaplastic epithelium that can be used to predict disease progression and death in IPF.Funding GlaxoSmithKline R&D and the UK Medical Research Council.
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“MMP7 and SP-D were able to distinguish IPF patients from controls and to predict outcome in the Prospective Observation of Fibrosis in the Lung Clinical Endpoints (PROFILE) cohort (Maher et al., 2017). The same study showed that baseline values of SP-D and the tumour marker CA19-9 were significantly higher in patients with progressive versus stable disease; and increasing concentrations of the”
From Pulmonary fibrosis: Emerging diagnostic and therapeutic strategies (2023) · cites this paper as Maher et al., 2017
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Additional file 1 of NHLRC2 expression is increased in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis
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Metadata
- Authors
- Maher, T. M., Oballa, E., Simpson, J. K., Porte, J., Habgood, A., Fahy, W. A., Flynn, A., Molyneaux, P. L., Braybrooke, R., Divyateja, H., Parfrey, H., Rassl, D., Russell, A.-M., Saini, G., Renzoni, E. A., Duggan, A.-M., Hubbard, R., Wells, A. U., Lukey, P. T., Marshall, R. P., & Jenkins, R. G.
- Affiliations
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (GB)
- GlaxoSmithKline (United Kingdom) (GB)
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust (GB)
- University of Nottingham (GB)
- Royal Papworth Hospital (GB)
- ORCID
- Venue
- The Lancet Respiratory Medicine
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-12
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 946-955
- ISSN
- 2213-2600 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2770778260
- Cited by
- 271
- References
- 34
- Citations by year
- 2026: 21 · 2025: 28 · 2024: 39 · 2023: 37 · 2022: 33 · 2021: 36 · 2020: 36 · 2019: 26 · 2018: 14 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 17.28
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet Respiratory Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Nottingham ePrints (University of Nottingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (PB-PG-0712-28073, CS-2013-13-017, CDRF-2012-03-053)
- Versus Arthritis (20719)
- Medical Research Council (MR/N005953/1)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Interstitial Lung Diseases and Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Occupational and environmental lung diseases
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research
- Keywords
- idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, serum biomarkers, surfactant protein D, CA19-9, CA125, matrix metalloproteinase-7, disease progression prediction, mortality risk, epithelial damage, multiplex immunoassay, treatment-naive patients, lung histology, metaplastic epithelium, biomarker discovery
- MeSH terms
- Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay, Epithelium, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Lung, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Prospective Studies, Biomarkers, Case-Control Studies, CA-125 Antigen, CA-19-9 Antigen, Disease Progression, Matrix Metalloproteinase 7, Pulmonary Surfactant-Associated Protein D, Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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