Incidence and Costs of Personal and Property Crimes in the USA, 2017
Open accessAbstract
Total cost estimates for crime in the USA are both out-of-date and incomplete. We estimated incidence and costs of personal crimes (both violent and non-violent) and property crimes in 2017. Incidence came from national arrest data, multi-state estimates of police-reported crimes per arrest, national victimization and road crash surveys, and police underreporting studies. We updated and expanded upon published unit costs. Estimated crime costs totaled $2.6 trillion ($620 billion in monetary costs plus quality of life losses valued at $1.95 trillion; 95 % uncertainty interval $2.2–$3.0 trillion). Violent crime accounted for 85 % of costs. Principal contributors to the 10.9 million quality-adjusted life years lost were sexual violence, physical assault/robbery, and child maltreatment. Monetary expenditures caused by criminal victimization represent 3 % of Gross Domestic Product – equivalent to the amount spent on national defense. These estimates exclude the additional costs of preventing and avoiding crime such as enhanced lighting and burglar alarms. They also exclude crimes against businesses and most white-collar and corporate offenses.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The economic costs of crime in the US as of 2017 are estimated by Miller et al. (2021) and cover both reported and unreported incidents.
“To calculate the fiscal externality of the program, we account for government costs and savings using the estimates from Miller et al. (2021) on the economic costs of crime in the US as of 2017, which cover both reported and unreported incidents.”
From What is the Best Response? Examining the Impact of Police and Their Alternatives (2025) · cites this paper as Miller et al. (2021)
Cites
The economic burden of child maltreatment in the United States and implications for prevention
Fang, X., Brown, D. S., Florence, C. S., & Mercy, J. A. (2012) · Child Abuse & Neglect · doi:10.1016/j.chiabu.2011.10.006 · Cited by 1,122 · cited 5× · see citing works
“did not extend beyond the 4-year period post-treatment that the medical cost data actually covered (rather than accepting Fang et al.’s assumption that they continued for seven more years). We also opted against including Fang et al.’s (2012) adult earnings losses years after child maltreatment.”
BackgroundMethodInfluential
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
What is the Best Response? Examining the Impact of Police and Their Alternatives
Ba, B., Chen, P., Cheng, T., Eies, M., & Holz, J. (2025) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w34344 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
- Authors
- Miller, T. R., Cohen, M. A., Swedler, D. I., Ali, B., & Hendrie, D. V.
- Affiliations
- Curtin University (AU)
- Vanderbilt University (US)
- Pacific Institute For Research and Evaluation (US)
- Venue
- Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2021
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 24-54
- ISSN
- 2152-2812 (ISSN-L)
- 2194-5888
- OpenAlex
- W3128196534
- Cited by
- 73
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 1
- FWCI
- 9.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Social Sciences › Law › Criminal Justice and Penology
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
- Keywords
- crime costs, crime incidence, personal crime, property crime, violent crime, non-violent crime, crime victimization, quality of life loss, quality-adjusted life years, sexual violence, physical assault, robbery, child abuse, underreporting of crime, United States
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review