The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
What Affects Voter Turnout? A Review Article/Meta-Analysis of Aggregate Research
Open accessAbstract
For more than 40 years, studies trying to explain macro-level electoral turnout have been one of the pillars of political behavioural research. From January 2004 to December 2013 alone, more than 130 articles were published in peer-reviewed journals using turnout at the national, regional or local level as the dependent variable. This meta-analysis tries to synthesize the results of these studies. I find there is a strong consensus in the literature that turnout is higher under compulsory voting, if the election is important, and if it is held in a small country. I also find that the influence of most other predictor variables, including the type of electoral system, the number of parties, development, income inequalities and electoral closeness is inconclusive at best. These results hint at the fact that the determinants of turnout might be more complex than the current theory suggests and is rather more context dependent.
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In the citing paper
“A recent meta-analysis of 130 journal articles identifies over a hundred explanatory factors (Stockemer, 2017).”
From Correlates of Voter Turnout (2023) · cites this paper as Stockemer, 2017
In the citing paper
“When comparing the common variables fromGeys (2006) andStockemer (2017), only compulsory voting shows a high level of agreement (84%), followed by income inequality (60%), PR (53%), vote closeness (47%) and population size (44%).”
From Correlates of Voter Turnout (2023) · cites this paper as Stockemer (2017)
Citations
Cites
Explaining voter turnout: A review of aggregate-level research
Geys, B. (2006) · Electoral Studies · doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2005.09.002 · Cited by 860
Explaining voter turnout: A meta-analysis of national and subnational elections
Cancela, J., & Geys, B. (2016) · Electoral Studies · doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2016.03.005 · Cited by 452
The Myth of the Vanishing Voter
McDonald, M. P., & Popkin, S. L. (2001) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.1017/s0003055400400134 · Cited by 448
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Cited by
Frank, R. W., & Martínez i Coma, F. (2023) · Political Behavior · doi:10.1007/s11109-021-09720-y · Cited by 56
Metadata
- Authors
- Stockemer, D.
- Affiliations
- University of Ottawa (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Stockemer, Daniel
- ORCID
- Stockemer, Daniel
- Venue
- Government and Opposition
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2016-08-30
- Volume
- 52
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 698-722
- ISSN
- 0017-257X (ISSN-L)
- 1477-7053
- OpenAlex
- W2509518430
- Cited by
- 180
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 27 · 2024: 18 · 2023: 43 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 21 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 10.75
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Government and Opposition (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Political Theory and Democracy
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Keywords
- voter turnout, determinants of turnout, compulsory voting, country size, electoral systems, number of political parties, development, income inequality, political behavior
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