Combining archaeological and radiocarbon information: a Bayesian approach to calibration.
Abstract
A recent and significant improvement in radiocarbon dating has been the increased ability of the radiocarbon laboratories to provide results combining precision with accuracy. This improvement has been accompanied by increasing recognition that the information must be expressed on the calendar, rather than on the radiocarbon, time-scale. Despite the attempts of Ottaway (1987) and Pearson (1987), archaeologists are not sufficiently aware of the statistical problems involved in the transformation from one scale to the other: ‘Some of the trouble lies in the ignorance of radiocarbon consumers; the many attempts to educate them can have only limited success when radiocarbon study depends on statistical concepts and methods far beyond the average archaeologist’s innumerate grasp’ (Chippindale 1990: 203).
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Large datasets covering long, continuous stratigraphic sequences are best able to contribute to chronological debates, since prior knowledge of relative order can be used to constrain radiocarbon probabilities using Bayesian statistics.
“Large datasets covering long, continuous stratigraphic sequences are best able to contribute to chronological debates, since prior knowledge of relative order can be used to constrain the radiocarbon probabilities using Bayesian statistics [116–118].”
From The chronology of Gezer from the end of the late bronze age to iron age II: A meeting point for radiocarbon, archaeology egyptology and the Bible (2023) · cites this paper as [116]
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Bayesian Analysis of Radiocarbon Dates
Bronk Ramsey, C. (2009) · Radiocarbon · doi:10.1017/s0033822200033865 · Cited by 8,725 · see citing works
‘Wiggle Matching’ Radiocarbon Dates
Bronk Ramsey, C., van der Plicht, J., & Weninger, B. (2001) · Radiocarbon · doi:10.1017/s0033822200038248 · Cited by 432 · see citing works
Calibration of radiocarbon results pertaining to related archaeological events
Buck, C. E., Litton, C. D., & Smith, A. F. M. (1992) · Journal of Archaeological Science · doi:10.1016/0305-4403(92)90025-x · Cited by 244 · see citing works
Self-citationBCal: an on-line Bayesian radiocarbon calibration tool
Cardiff University, Buck, C., Christen, A., & James, G. N. (1999) · Internet Archaeology · doi:10.11141/ia.7.1 · Cited by 217 · see citing works
Self-citationAccurate detection of identity-by-descent segments in human ancient DNA
Ringbauer, H., Huang, Y., Akbari, A., Mallick, S., Olalde, I., Patterson, N., & Reich, D. (2024) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/s41588-023-01582-w · Cited by 155 · see citing works
Zeidler, J., Buck, C., & Litton, C. (1998) · Latin American Antiquity · doi:10.2307/971992 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Self-citationHöflmayer, F., Kamlah, J., Sader, H., Dee, M. W., Kutschera, W., Wild, E. M., & Riehl, S. (2016) · Bulletin of the American Schools of Oriental Research · doi:10.5615/bullamerschoorie.375.0053 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Allen, M. S., & Morrison, A. E. (2013) · Journal of Archaeological Science · doi:10.1016/j.jas.2013.06.008 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Webster, L. C., Wolff, S. R., Ortiz, S. M., Barbosa, M., Coyle, C., Arbino, G. P., Dee, M. W., Hua, Q., & Jacobsen, G. E. (2023) · PLOS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0293119 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Roos, C. I., Laluk, N. C., Reitze, W., & Davis, O. K. (2023) · Quaternary Research · doi:10.1017/qua.2022.61 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
- Authors
- Buck, C. E., Kenworthy, J. B., Litton, C. D., & Smith, A. F. M.
- Affiliations
- University of Nottingham (GB)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- ORCID
- Buck, C. E.
- Venue
- Antiquity
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 1991-12
- Volume
- 65
- Issue
- 249
- Pages
- 808-821
- ISSN
- 0003-598X (ISSN-L)
- 1745-1744
- OpenAlex
- W1528823637
- Cited by
- 296
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 16 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 9
- FWCI
- 5.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Antiquity (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Archaeology and ancient environmental studies
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Archeology › Ancient and Medieval Archaeology Studies
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Tree-ring climate responses
- Keywords
- radiocarbon dating, Bayesian calibration, archaeological chronology, precision and accuracy
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review