The DOI matches its Crossref record; 90 of the 90 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
What Affects Innovation More: Policy or Policy Uncertainty?
Open accessAbstract
Motivated by a theoretical model, we examine for 43 countries whether it is policy or policy uncertainty that affects technological innovation more. Innovation activities, measured by patent-based proxies, are not, on average, affected by which policy is in place. Innovation activities, however, drop significantly during times of policy uncertainty measured by national elections. The drop is greater for more influential innovations (citations in the right tail, exploratory rather than exploitative innovations) and for innovation-intensive industries. We use close presidential elections and ethnic fractionalization to address endogeneity concerns. We uncover the mechanism underlying the main result by showing that the number of patenting inventors decreases with policy uncertainty. Political compromise, we conclude, encourages innovation.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning
March, J. G. (1991) · Organization Science · doi:10.1287/orsc.2.1.71 · Cited by 21,942
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty*
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1093/qje/qjw024 · Cited by 12,458
Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function
Solow, R. M. (1957) · The Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.2307/1926047 · Cited by 12,259
Does Social Capital Have an Economic Payoff? A Cross-Country Investigation
Knack, S., & Keefer, P. (1997) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/003355300555475 · Cited by 7,484
La Porta, R. (1999) · Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization · doi:10.1093/jleo/15.1.222 · Cited by 5,699
Africa's Growth Tragedy: Policies and Ethnic Divisions
Easterly, W., & Levine, R. (1997) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.1162/003355300555466 · Cited by 5,649
Collaboration Networks, Structural Holes, and Innovation: A Longitudinal Study
Ahuja, G. (2000) · Administrative Science Quarterly · doi:10.2307/2667105 · Cited by 5,079
Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Cyclical Investment
Bernanke, B. S. (1983) · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · doi:10.2307/1885568 · Cited by 4,112
The NBER Patent Citation Data File: Lessons, Insights and Methodological Tools
Hall, B., Jaffe, A., & Trajtenberg, M. (2001) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w8498 · Cited by 3,507
Alesina, A., Devleeschauwer, A., Easterly, W., Kurlat, S., & Wacziarg, R. (2003) · Journal of Economic Growth · doi:10.1023/a:1024471506938 · Cited by 3,432
Cited by
Yu, J., Shi, X., Guo, D., & Yang, L. (2021) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2020.105071 · Cited by 473
Stock market liberalization and innovation
Moshirian, F., Tian, X., Zhang, B., & Zhang, W. (2021) · Journal of Financial Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.018 · Cited by 409
Self-citationNavigating through economic policy uncertainty: The role of corporate cash holdings
Duong, H. N., Nguyen, J. H., Nguyen, M., & Rhee, S. G. (2020) · Journal of Corporate Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020.101607 · Cited by 367
Varieties in state capitalism and corporate innovation: Evidence from an emerging economy
Lin, Y., Fu, X., & Fu, X. (2021) · Journal of Corporate Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2021.101919 · Cited by 359
Finance and Corporate Innovation: A Survey
He, J. (., & Tian, X. (2018) · Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies · doi:10.1111/ajfs.12208 · Cited by 282
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Bhattacharya, U., Hsu, P.-H., Tian, X., & Xu, Y.
- Venue
- Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2017-08-29
- Volume
- 52
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1869-1901
- ISSN
- 0022-1090 (ISSN-L)
- 1756-6916
- OpenAlex
- W2751571801
- Cited by
- 648
- References
- 90
- FWCI
- 41.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: What Affects Innovation More: Policy or Policy Uncertainty? https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1017/s0022109017000540
- The paper
- Bhattacharya, U., Hsu, P.-H., Tian, X., & Xu, Y. (2017). What Affects Innovation More: Policy or Policy Uncertainty? Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109017000540
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.