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Cited by 548Evolution and Paleontology StudiesPaleontology and Stratigraphy of FossilsPlant Diversity and Evolution

A kinetic model of Phanerozoic taxonomic diversity I. Analysis of marine orders

Sepkoski, J. John·1978·Paleobiology
DOI 10.1017/s0094837300005972
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Abstract

A simple equilibrial model for the growth and maintenance of Phanerozoic global marine taxonomic diversity can be constructed from considerations of the behavior of origination and extinction rates with respect to diversity. An initial postulate that total rate of diversification is proportional to number of taxa extant leads to an exponential model for early phases of diversification. This model appears to describe adequately the “explosive” diversification of known metazoan orders across the Precambrian-Cambrian Boundary, suggesting that no special event, other than the initial appearance of Metazoa, is necessary to explain this phenomenon. As numbers of taxa increase, the rate of diversification should become “diversity dependent.” Ecological factors should cause the per taxon rate of origination to decline and the per taxon rate of extinction to increase. If these relationships are modeled as simple linear functions, a logistic description of the behavior of taxonomic diversity through time results. This model appears remarkably consistent with the known pattern of Phanerozoic marine ordinal diversity as a whole. Analysis of observed rates of ordinal origination also indicates these are to a large extent diversity dependent; however, diversity dependence is not immediately evident in rates of ordinal extinction. Possible explanations for this pattern are derived from considerations of the size of higher taxa and from simulations of their diversification. These suggest that both the standing diversity and the pattern of origination of orders may adequately reflect the behavior of species diversity through time; however, correspondence between rates of ordinal and species extinction may deteriorate with progressive loss of information resulting from incomplete sampling of the fossil record.

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  • The end-Permian extinction could also be called the late-Palaeozoic mass extinction because the palaeobiodiversity decrease started already in the Late Devonian and climaxed at the end of the Permian.

    “Also, looking at earlier summaries of diversity trends for the Phanerozoic (Fig. 1) like those of Valentine (1969) or Sepkoski (1978), the end-Permian extinction could also be called the late-Palaeozoic mass extinction, as the palaeobiodiversity decrease started already in the Late Devonian and climaxed at the end of the Permian.”

    From Palaeozoic evolution of animal mouthparts (2017) · cites this paper as Sepkoski 1978

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Authors
Sepkoski, J. J.
Affiliations
University of Chicago (US)
Corresponding author
Sepkoski, J. John
Venue
Paleobiology
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Published
1978
Volume
4
Issue
3
Pages
223-251
ISSN
  • 0094-8373 (ISSN-L)
  • 1938-5331
DOI
10.1017/s0094837300005972
OpenAlex
W2336833489
Cited by
548
References
4
Citations by year
2026: 7 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 45 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 11 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 16 · 2016: 17 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 12 · 2013: 12 · 2012: 13
FWCI
17.91
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Licence
www.cambridge.org/core/terms (unspecified, 13977 d)
Locations
Paleobiology (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Evolution and Paleontology Studies
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Paleontology and Stratigraphy of Fossils
  • Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Plant Diversity and Evolution
Keywords
metazoan diversification, origination rates, extinction rates, logistic growth model, Precambrian-Cambrian boundary, Cambrian explosion, fossil record incompleteness, metazoan origin

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