Coastal upwelling in a warmer future
Open accessAbstract
Coastal upwelling helps set the physical context for marine ecosystems, and upwelling zones are among the most productive regions of the global ocean. Unlike earlier models, two state‐of‐the‐art climate models exhibit little change during the next century in the magnitude and seasonality of coastal upwelling, but climate models are still probably not sufficiently developed (for example, they underestimate interdecadal variability in upwelling) to provide valid projections of this key component of the coastal environment.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Simulations done with finer spatial resolution climate models of the California system offer evidence that representation of the BH dynamics may be dependent on model resolution.
“although simulations done with finer spatial resolution climate models of the California system offer evidence that representation of the BH dynamics may be dependent on model resolution [18,19].”
From Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems (2015) · cites this paper as [18]
The Results and Discussion (§3, paragraph 12) report substantial differences between two models in upwelling winds off western North America, so the paper supports model-dependent representation of coastal upwelling. It does not compare finer and coarser spatial resolutions or show that representation of BH dynamics depends on resolution. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
No references could be resolved yet.
Research works printed but not linked: 6
- Cubasch, U., G. A. Meehl, G. J. Boer, R. J. Stouffer, M. Dix, A. Noda, C. A. Senior, S. Raper, and K. S. Yap, Projections of future climate change, in Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmen- tal Panel on Climate Change, edited by J. T. Houghton, et al., pp. 525 - 582, Cambridge University Press, 2001.
- Gill, A. E., Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics, Academic Press, San Diego, 1982.
- Kaufman, Y. J., D. D. Herring, K. J. Ranson, and J. G. Collatz, Earth Observing System AM1 mission to Earth, IEEE Trans. on Geosci. and Remote Sensing, 36, 1045 -1055, 1998.
- Logerwell, E. A., N. J. Mantua, P. W. Lawson, R. C. Francis, and V. Agostini, Tracking environmental processes in the coastal zone for understanding and predicting Oregon coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) mar- ine survival, Fish. Oceanog, in review, 2002.
- McAvaney, B. J., C. Covey, S. Joussaume, V. Kattsov, A. Kitoh, W. Ogana, A. J. Pigman, A. J. Weaver, R. A. Wood, and Z.-C. Zhao, Model Evalua- tion, in Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmen- tal Panel on Climate Change, edited by J. T. Houghton, et al., pp. 471 - 523, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2001.
- Mitchell, J. F. B., D. J. Karoly, G. C. Hegerl, F. W. Zwiers, M. R. Allen, and J. Marengo, Detection of climate change and attribution of causes, in Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by J. T. Houghton, et al., pp. 695 -738, Cam- bridge University Press, 2001.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems
Bakun, A., Black, B. A., Bograd, S. J., García-Reyes, M., Miller, A. J., Rykaczewski, R. R., & Sydeman, W. J. (2015) · Current Climate Change Reports · doi:10.1007/s40641-015-0008-4 · Cited by 470 · see citing works
Intensification and spatial homogenization of coastal upwelling under climate change
Wang, D., Gouhier, T. C., Menge, B. A., & Ganguly, A. R. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature14235 · Cited by 447 · see citing works
- Authors
- Mote, P. W., & Mantua, N. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Washington (US)
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2002-12
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 23
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2171510347
- Cited by
- 58
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 2 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 3 · 2016: 3 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 1 · 2013: 6 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 1.79
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Geophysical Research Letters (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Keywords
- coastal upwelling, climate change projections, future climate scenarios, interdecadal variability, ocean productivity, climate model projections, marine ecosystems
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
