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The 2003 heat wave in Europe: A shape of things to come? An analysis based on Swiss climatological data and model simulations
Open accessAbstract
The 2003 heat wave that affected much of Europe from June to September bears a close resemblance to what many regional climate models are projecting for summers in the latter part of the 21st century. Model results suggest that under enhanced atmospheric greenhouse‐gas concentrations, summer temperatures are likely to increase by over 4°C on average, with a corresponding increase in the frequency of severe heat waves. Statistical features of the 2003 heat wave for the Swiss site of Basel are investigated and compared to both past, 20th century events and possible future extreme temperatures based on model simulations of climatic change. For many purposes, the 2003 event can be used as an analog of future summers in coming decades in climate impacts and policy studies.
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Citations
Cited by
Impact of regional climate change on human health
Patz, J. A., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Holloway, T., & Foley, J. A. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature04188 · Cited by 3,103
Coumou, D., & Rahmstorf, S. (2012) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1452 · Cited by 2,289
Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003
Stott, P. A., Stone, D. A., & Allen, M. R. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03089 · Cited by 1,735
Perkins, S. E. (2015) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.05.014 · Cited by 875
Dramatically increasing chance of extremely hot summers since the 2003 European heatwave
Christidis, N., Jones, G. S., & Stott, P. A. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2468 · Cited by 573
Metadata
- Authors
- Beniston, M.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2004-01
- Volume
- 31
- Issue
- 2
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2079188864
- Cited by
- 644
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 33.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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- Beniston, M. (2004). The 2003 heat wave in Europe: A shape of things to come? An analysis based on Swiss climatological data and model simulations. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2003gl018857
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