Role of the atmosphere in seasonal phase locking of El Niño
Abstract
The variations with the seasonal cycle of the atmospheric response to constant SST anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific are investigated with the atmospheric GCM, HadAM3. The equatorial wind response is weakest in January and February when the warmest SSTs are south of the Equator and strongest in April when the warmest SSTs are on the Equator. This may have consequences for the seasonality of the onset and termination of El Niño. Westerly wind anomalies in the tropical Pacific associated with El Niño have previously been observed to shift south of the Equator, weakening on the Equator, during the northern winter. It has been suggested that this may contribute to the termination of El Niño in spring. These experiments demonstrate that such a shift can arise solely in response to the mean seasonal cycle during El Niño and does not require changes in SST anomalies.
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Although not strictly phase-locked to the annual cycle, there is an observed tendency for the warm ENSO phase in the Pacific to develop in Boreal summer or autumn and peak in boreal winter.
“Although not strictly phase-locked to the annual cycle, there is an observed tendency for the warm ENSO phase in the Pacific to develop in Boreal summer or autumn and peak in boreal winter63–65.”
From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [65]
El Nino tends to be a single-year event, with equatorial Pacific SST anomalies decaying in boreal spring (March to May).
“El Nino tends to be a single-year event, with equatorial Pacific SST anomalies decaying in boreal spring (March to May)55,63,65.”
From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [65]
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- Authors
- Spencer, H.
- Affiliations
- University of Reading (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Spencer, Hilary
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2004-12
- Volume
- 31
- Issue
- 24
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W1982949703
- Cited by
- 50
- References
- 14
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 3 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 2 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 3 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 4 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 2.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Geophysical Research Letters (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Keywords
- El Niño, seasonal phase locking, sea surface temperature anomalies, eastern tropical Pacific, westerly wind anomalies, HadAM3
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