The DOI matches its Crossref record; 26 of the 26 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
A stratospheric influence on the winter NAO and North Atlantic surface climate
Abstract
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has a profound effect on winter climate variability around the Atlantic basin. Strengthening of the NAO in recent decades has altered surface climate in these regions at a rate far in excess of global mean warming. However, only weak NAO trends are reproduced in climate simulations of the 20th Century, even with prescribed climate forcings and historical sea‐surface conditions. Here we show that the unexplained strengthening of the NAO can be fully simulated in a climate model by imposing observed trends in the lower stratosphere. This implies that stratospheric variability needs to be reproduced in models to fully simulate surface climate variations in the North Atlantic sector. Despite having little effect on global mean warming, we show that downward coupling of observed stratospheric circulation changes to the surface can account for the majority of change in regional surface climate over Europe and North America between 1965 and 1995.
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Self-citationAnnular Modes in the Extratropical Circulation. Part I: Month-to-Month Variability*
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Stratospheric Harbingers of Anomalous Weather Regimes
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Self-citationTropical Origins for Recent North Atlantic Climate Change
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The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction
Bauer, P., Thorpe, A., & Brunet, G. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature14956 · Cited by 2,729
The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations
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A signal-to-noise paradox in climate science
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Self-citationDecadal to multidecadal variability and the climate change background
Parker, D., Folland, C., Scaife, A., Knight, J., Colman, A., Baines, P., & Dong, B. (2007) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2007jd008411 · Cited by 306
Self-citationEuropean Climate Extremes and the North Atlantic Oscillation
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Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Scaife, A. A., Knight, J. R., Vallis, G. K., & Folland, C. K.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2005-09-28
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 18
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W1626438176
- Cited by
- 318
- References
- 26
- FWCI
- 13.79
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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- Scaife, A. A., Knight, J. R., Vallis, G. K., & Folland, C. K. (2005). A stratospheric influence on the winter NAO and North Atlantic surface climate. Geophysical Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005gl023226
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
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