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Dynamic and thermodynamic changes in mean and extreme precipitation under changed climate
Open accessAbstract
Extreme precipitation has been projected to increase more than the mean under future changed climate, but its mechanism is not clear. We have separated the ‘dynamic’ and ‘thermodynamic’ components of the mean and extreme precipitation changes projected in 6 climate model experiments. The dynamic change is due to the change in atmospheric motion, while the thermodynamic change is due to the change in atmospheric moisture content. The model results consistently show that there are areas with small change or decreases in the thermodynamic change for mean precipitation mainly over subtropics, while the thermodynamic change for extreme precipitation is an overall increase as a result of increased atmospheric moisture. The dynamic changes play a secondary role in the difference between mean and extreme and are limited to lower latitudes. Over many parts of mid‐ to high latitudes, mean and extreme precipitation increase in comparable magnitude due to a comparable thermodynamic increase.
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Citations
Cites
Conceptual Framework for Changes of Extremes of the Hydrological Cycle with Climate Change
Trenberth, K. E. (1999) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1023/a:1005488920935 · Cited by 571
Cited by
Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming
Held, I. M., & Soden, B. J. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3990.1 · Cited by 4,959
Atmospheric Warming and the Amplification of Precipitation Extremes
Allan, R. P., & Soden, B. J. (2008) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1160787 · Cited by 1,562
Kharin, V. V., Zwiers, F. W., Zhang, X., & Hegerl, G. C. (2007) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli4066.1 · Cited by 1,103
Increase in hourly precipitation extremes beyond expectations from temperature changes
Lenderink, G., & van Meijgaard, E. (2008) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo262 · Cited by 1,072
Ocean salinities reveal strong global water cycle intensification during 1950 to 2000.
Durack, P. J., Wijffels, S. E., & Matear, R. J. (2012) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1212222 · Cited by 1,070
Metadata
- Authors
- Emori, S., & Brown, S. J.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2005-09
- Volume
- 32
- Issue
- 17
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W2112338674
- Cited by
- 647
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 10.66
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
