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Impact of the QBO on surface winter climate
Abstract
The European winter surface climate response to the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and its dependence on stratospheric resolution is cleanly assessed in idealized seasonal hindcasts with two versions of the Hadley Centre's atmospheric general circulation model. The standard 38‐level version extends to an altitude of 39 km while the extended 60‐level version has enhanced stratospheric resolution and reaches 84‐km altitude. We show that both models generate a realistic stratospheric polar and surface European Arctic Oscillation (AO) response to the QBO for winter hindcasts initialized on 1 December and suggest that the better representation of the QBO in the L60 model will lead to improved forecasts at seasonal‐to‐multiannual timescales.
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Cited by
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Doblas‐Reyes, F. J., García‐Serrano, J., Lienert, F., Biescas, A. P., & Rodrigues, L. R. L. (2013) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.217 · Cited by 478
A signal-to-noise paradox in climate science
Scaife, A. A., & Smith, D. (2018) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-018-0038-4 · Cited by 411
Self-citationHigh‐latitude influence of the quasi‐biennial oscillation
Anstey, J. A., & Shepherd, T. G. (2014) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.2132 · Cited by 278
An overview of the Earth system science of solar geoengineering
Irvine, P. J., Kravitz, B., Lawrence, M. G., & Muri, H. (2016) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.423 · Cited by 239
Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Meehl, G. A., Richter, J. H., Teng, H., Capotondi, A., Cobb, K., Doblas-Reyes, F., Donat, M. G., England, M. H., Fyfe, J. C., Han, W., et al. (2021) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x · Cited by 231
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Metadata
- Authors
- Marshall, A. G., & Scaife, A. A.
- Venue
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2009-09-19
- Volume
- 114
- Issue
- D18
- ISSN
- 0148-0227 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2085568860
- Cited by
- 185
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 7.70
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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