The DOI matches its Crossref record; 24 of the 24 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Tipping points: Early warning and wishful thinking
Abstract
The causes for and possible predictions of rapid climate changes are poorly understood. The most pronounced changes observed, beside the glacial terminations, are the Dansgaard‐Oeschger events. Present day general circulation climate models simulating glacial conditions are not capable of reproducing these rapid shifts. It is thus not known if they are due to bifurcations in the structural stability of the climate or if they are induced by stochastic fluctuations. By analyzing a high resolution ice core record we exclude the bifurcation scenario, which strongly suggests that they are noise induced and thus have very limited predictability.
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Cites
Climate Change 2007: Mitigation of Climate Change
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The fluctuation-dissipation theorem
Kubo, R. (1966) · Reports on Progress in Physics · doi:10.1088/0034-4885/29/1/306 · Cited by 5,094
Early-warning signals for critical transitions
Scheffer, M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W. A., Brovkin, V., Carpenter, S. R., Dakos, V., Held, H., van Nes, E. H., Rietkerk, M., & Sugihara, G. (2009) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature08227 · Cited by 4,854
Evidence for general instability of past climate from a 250-kyr ice-core record
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Self-citationTipping elements in the Earth’s climate system
Lenton, T. M., Held, H., Kriegler, E., Hall, J. W., Lucht, W., Rahmstorf, S., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0705414105 · Cited by 3,982
A High-Resolution Absolute-Dated Late Pleistocene Monsoon Record from Hulu Cave, China
Wang, Y. J., Cheng, H., Edwards, R. L., An, Z. S., Wu, J. Y., Shen, C.-C., & Dorale, J. A. (2001) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1064618 · Cited by 3,208
High-resolution record of Northern Hemisphere climate extending into the last interglacial period
North Greenland Ice Core Project members (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature02805 · Cited by 3,170
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Cited by
Anticipating Critical Transitions
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S. R., Lenton, T. M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W., Dakos, V., van de Koppel, J., van de Leemput, I. A., Levin, S. A., van Nes, E. H., et al. (2012) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1225244 · Cited by 2,208
Slow down and be critical before using early warning signals in psychopathology
Helmich, M. A., Schreuder, M. J., Bringmann, L. F., Riese, H., Snippe, E., & Smit, A. C. (2024) · Nature Reviews Psychology · doi:10.1038/s44159-024-00369-y · Cited by 39
Metadata
- Authors
- Ditlevsen, P. D., & Johnsen, S. J.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2010-10
- Volume
- 37
- Issue
- 19
- Pages
- 10440
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W1545410837
- Cited by
- 332
- References
- 24
- FWCI
- 9.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
