The DOI matches its Crossref record; 105 of the 105 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Temporally Compound Heat Wave Events and Global Warming: An Emerging Hazard
Open accessAbstract
The temporal structure of heat waves having substantial human impact varies widely, with many featuring a compound structure of hot days interspersed with cooler breaks. In contrast, many heat wave definitions employed by meteorologists include a continuous threshold‐exceedance duration criterion. This study examines the hazard of these diverse sequences of extreme heat in the present, and their change with global warming. We define compound heat waves to include those periods with additional hot days following short breaks in heat wave duration. We apply these definitions to analyze daily temperature data from observations, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory global climate model simulations of the past and projected climate, and synthetically generated time series. We demonstrate that compound heat waves will constitute a greater proportion of heat wave hazard as the climate warms and suggest an explanation for this phenomenon. This result implies that in order to limit heat‐related mortality and morbidity with global warming, there is a need to consider added vulnerability caused by the compounding of heat waves.
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Cites
Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate: A review
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Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980
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More Intense, More Frequent, and Longer Lasting Heat Waves in the 21st Century
Meehl, G. A., & Tebaldi, C. (2004) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1098704 · Cited by 4,322
Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to U.S. crop yields under climate change
Schlenker, W., & Roberts, M. J. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0906865106 · Cited by 3,420
Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study
Gasparrini, A., Guo, Y., Hashizume, M., Lavigne, E., Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J., Tobias, A., Tong, S., Rocklöv, J., Forsberg, B., et al. (2015) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(14)62114-0 · Cited by 2,965
The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves
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Future climate risk from compound events
Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Seneviratne, S. I., Ward, P. J., Pitman, A., AghaKouchak, A., Bresch, D. N., Leonard, M., Wahl, T., et al. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3 · Cited by 2,527
Cited by
Extreme Weather and Climate Change: Population Health and Health System Implications
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Self-citationUnderstanding and managing connected extreme events
Raymond, C., Horton, R. M., Zscheischler, J., Martius, O., AghaKouchak, A., Balch, J., Bowen, S. G., Camargo, S. J., Hess, J., Kornhuber, K., et al. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0790-4 · Cited by 708
Self-citationDevelopment of future heatwaves for different hazard thresholds
Vogel, M. M., Zscheischler, J., Fischer, E. M., & Seneviratne, S. I. (2020) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2019jd032070 · Cited by 152
Chen, T.-L., Lin, H., & Chiu, Y.-H. (2022) · Urban Climate · doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2021.101054 · Cited by 56
Evaluation of CORDEX- South Asia regional climate models for heat wave simulations over India
Singh, S., Mall, R. K., Dadich, J., Verma, S., Singh, J. V., & Gupta, A. (2021) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105228 · Cited by 35
Metadata
- Authors
- Baldwin, J. W., Dessy, J. B., Vecchi, G. A., & Oppenheimer, M.
- Venue
- Earth's Future
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2019-04
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 411-427
- ISSN
- 2328-4277 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2920170650
- Cited by
- 267
- References
- 105
- FWCI
- 13.69
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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