The DOI matches its Crossref record; 61 of the 61 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Global and Regional Increase of Precipitation Extremes Under Global Warming
Abstract
Global warming is expected to change the regime of extreme precipitation. Physical laws translate increasing atmospheric heat into increasing atmospheric water content that drives precipitation changes. Within the literature, general agreement is that extreme precipitation is changing, yet different assessment methods, data sets, and study periods may result in different patterns and rates of change. Here we perform a global analysis of 8,730 daily precipitation records focusing on the 1964–2013 period when the global warming accelerates. We introduce a novel analysis of the N largest extremes in records having N complete years within the study period. Based on these extremes, which represent more accurately heavy precipitation than annual maxima, we form time series of their annual frequency and mean annual magnitude. The analysis offers new insights and reveals (1) global and zonal increasing trends in the frequency of extremes that are highly unlikely under the assumption of stationarity and (2) magnitude changes that are not as evident. Frequency changes reveal a coherent spatial pattern with increasing trends being detected in large parts of Eurasia, North Australia, and the Midwestern United States. Globally, over the last decade of the studied period we find 7% more extreme events than the expected number. Finally, we report that changes in magnitude are not in general correlated with changes in frequency.
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Citations
Cites
Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
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More extreme precipitation in the world’s dry and wet regions
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Cited by
Climate Extremes and Compound Hazards in a Warming World
AghaKouchak, A., Chiang, F., Huning, L. S., Love, C. A., Mallakpour, I., Mazdiyasni, O., Moftakhari, H., Papalexiou, S. M., Ragno, E., & Sadegh, M. (2020) · Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences · doi:10.1146/annurev-earth-071719-055228 · Cited by 1,103
Self-citationThe Pakistan Flood of August 2022: Causes and Implications
Nanditha, J. S., Kushwaha, A. P., Singh, R., Malik, I., Solanki, H., Chuphal, D. S., Dangar, S., Mahto, S. S., Vegad, U., & Mishra, V. (2023) · Earth's Future · doi:10.1029/2022ef003230 · Cited by 269
SCDNA: a serially complete precipitation and temperature dataset for North America from 1979 to 2018
Tang, G., Clark, M. P., Newman, A. J., Wood, A. W., Papalexiou, S. M., Vionnet, V., & Whitfield, P. H. (2020) · Earth System Science Data · doi:10.5194/essd-12-2381-2020 · Cited by 82
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Metadata
- Authors
- Papalexiou, S. M., & Montanari, A.
- Venue
- Water Resources Research
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2019-06
- Volume
- 55
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 4901-4914
- ISSN
- 0043-1397 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-7973
- OpenAlex
- W2944607176
- Cited by
- 721
- References
- 61
- FWCI
- 33.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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