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Spatially Extended Tests of a Neural Network Parametrization Trained by Coarse‐Graining
Open accessAbstract
General circulation models (GCMs) typically have a grid size of 25–200 km. Parametrizations are used to represent diabatic processes such as radiative transfer and cloud microphysics and account for subgrid‐scale motions and variability. Unlike traditional approaches, neural networks (NNs) can readily exploit recent observational data sets and global cloud‐system resolving model (CRM) simulations to learn subgrid variability. This article describes an NN parametrization trained by coarse‐graining a near‐global CRM simulation with a 4‐km horizontal grid spacing. The NN predicts the residual heating and moistening averaged over (160 km) 2 grid boxes as a function of the coarse‐resolution fields within the same atmospheric column. This NN is coupled to the dynamical core of a GCM with the same 160‐km resolution. A recent study described how to train such an NN to be stable when coupled to specified time‐evolving advective forcings in a single‐column model, but feedbacks between NN and GCM components cause spatially extended simulations to crash within a few days. Analyzing the linearized response of such an NN reveals that it learns to exploit a strong synchrony between precipitation and the atmospheric state above 10 km. Removing these variables from the NN's inputs stabilizes the coupled simulations, which predict the future state more accurately than a coarse‐resolution simulation without any parametrizations of subgrid‐scale variability, although the mean state slowly drifts.
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“Previous studies found that running extended simulations with hybrid models is challenging due to numerical instabilities and climate drift21.”
From Neural general circulation models for weather and climate (2024) · cites this paper as [21]
In the citing paper
“The lack of coupling between machine-learning components and the governing equations during training potentially causes serious problems, such as instability and climate drift21.”
From Neural general circulation models for weather and climate (2024) · cites this paper as [21]
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Metadata
- Authors
- Brenowitz, N. D., & Bretherton, C. S.
- Affiliations
- University of Washington (US)
- Corresponding author
- Brenowitz, Noah D.
- Venue
- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2019-08
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 2728-2744
- ISSN
- 1942-2466 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2930756996
- Cited by
- 231
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2026: 21 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 45 · 2023: 50 · 2022: 30 · 2021: 47 · 2020: 20 · 2019: 2
- FWCI
- 9.88
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (cc-by)
- Funders
- Alfred P. Sloan Foundation (3835)
- Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation (2013-10-29)
- U.S. Department of Energy (DE-SC0012451, DE-SC0016433)
- Washington Research Foundation
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
- Keywords
- neural network parametrization, coarse-graining, cloud-resolving model, subgrid-scale processes, linear stability analysis, model drift
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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