The DOI matches its Crossref record; 84 of the 84 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Lagged Compound Occurrence of Droughts and Pluvials Globally Over the Past Seven Decades
Open accessAbstract
The drought‐pluvial seesaw—defined as the phenomenon of pluvials (wet spells) following droughts (dry spells)—magnifies the impact of individual pluvial and drought events yet has not been systematically evaluated, especially at the global scale. We apply an event coincidence analysis to explore the aggregated seesaw behavior based on land surface model simulations for the past seven decades (1950–2016). We find that globally, about 5.9% and 7.6% of the land surface have experienced statistically significant (p<0.10) drought‐pluvial seesaw behavior during the boreal spring‐summer and fall‐winter, with an average 11.1% and 11.4% of all droughts being followed by pluvials in the following season, respectively. Although this global frequency pattern is modest and coherent changes cannot be detected at the subcontinental scale, local hot spots of drought‐pluvial seesaw have become more frequent than either droughts or pluvials alone in the last three decades, albeit with a small percentage of area coverage.
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Cites
Controlling the False Discovery Rate: A Practical and Powerful Approach to Multiple Testing
Benjamini, Y., & Hochberg, Y. (1995) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology · doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1995.tb02031.x · Cited by 109,482
Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models
Dai, A. (2013) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1633 · Cited by 4,762
Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management?
Milly, P. C. D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R. M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Lettenmaier, D. P., & Stouffer, R. J. (2008) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1151915 · Cited by 4,537
Liang, X., Lettenmaier, D. P., Wood, E. F., & Burges, S. J. (1994) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/94jd00483 · Cited by 4,051
Global warming and changes in drought
Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., van der Schrier, G., Jones, P. D., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., & Sheffield, J. (2014) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2067 · Cited by 3,382
Self-citationThe Changing Character of Precipitation
Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., Rasmussen, R. M., & Parsons, D. B. (2003) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-84-9-1205 · Cited by 3,196
The influence of autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series
Yue, S., Pilon, P., Phinney, B., & Cavadias, G. (2002) · Hydrological Processes · doi:10.1002/hyp.1095 · Cited by 2,111
Little change in global drought over the past 60 years
Sheffield, J., Wood, E. F., & Roderick, M. L. (2012) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature11575 · Cited by 1,978 · cited 1×
“…Greve et al., 2014; Kangas & Brown, 2007; Lehmann et al., 2015, 2018; Liu & Allan, 2013) and droughts (e.g., Dai, 2013; Sheffield & Wood, 2008b; Sheffield et al., 2012; Trenberth et al., 2014) owing to the lack of observations, use of different metrics, and uncertainties from model simulations…”
BackgroundSelf-citationSheffield, J., Goteti, G., & Wood, E. F. (2006) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli3790.1 · Cited by 1,942
Self-citation
Cited by
McGregor, G. (2024) · Biometeorology · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-69906-1_3 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- He, X., & Sheffield, J.
- Venue
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2020-07-14
- Volume
- 47
- Issue
- 14
- ISSN
- 0094-8276 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-8007
- OpenAlex
- W3025802897
- Cited by
- 253
- References
- 84
- FWCI
- 10.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
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