Return of the ego–Self-referent information as a filter for social prediction: comment on Karniol (2003)
Abstract
The protocentrism paradigm of social prediction (R. Karniol, 2003) challenges the egocentrism paradigm tacitly accepted by many researchers. The author reviews the 2 paradigms comparatively by focusing on 3 conceptual and 3 empirical issues. On conceptual grounds, the author suggests that the egocentrism paradigm has been proven useful because of (a) its greater breadth and parsimony, (b) the difficulties in documenting the origin of protocenters, and (c) the indeterminate nature of self-as-distinct tags (which are crucial to protocentrism). On empirical grounds, the author argues that in research on perceptions of self-other similarities, the egocentric process of social projection is well-established. Self-referent knowledge (a) is most readily accessible, (b) receives greater weight in prediction tasks than does other-referent knowledge, and (c) tends to be suppressed only temporarily, with effort, and incompletely.
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When some information is missing, decision-makers must rely on estimates, and humans tend to err in these estimates, often overestimating their chance of being correct, leading to ego bias.
“Unfortunately, humans tend to err in these estimates, often overestimating their chance of being correct, leading to an implicit, unwarranted preference for their own opinions, an ego bias [52][53][54][55][56][57] .”
From Enhancing human-AI collaboration: The case of colonoscopy (2024) · cites this paper as [54]
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- Authors
- Krueger, J. I.
- Affiliations
- Brown University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Krueger, Joachim I.
- ORCID
- Krueger, Joachim I.
- Venue
- Psychological Review
- Published
- 2003
- Volume
- 110
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 585-590
- ISSN
- 0033-295X (ISSN-L)
- 1939-1471
- OpenAlex
- W2082018056
- Cited by
- 105
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 2 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 7 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 5 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 13.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Psychological Review (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Developmental and Educational Psychology › Child and Animal Learning Development
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Social Representations and Identity
- Keywords
- self-centeredness, social forecasting, self-other similarity, social projection, self-concept, self-conceptualization
- MeSH terms
- Ego, Humans, Interpersonal Relations, Models, Psychological, Research, Social Behavior, Knowledge, Self Psychology
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