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Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol

Open access
Reilly, J., Prinn, R., Harnisch, J., Fitzmaurice, J., Jacoby, H., Kicklighter, D., Melillo, J., Stone, P., Sokolov, A., Wang, C.·1999·Nature

Abstract

The Kyoto Protocol allows reductions in emissions of several ‘greenhouse’ gases to be credited against a CO2-equivalent emissions limit, calculated using ‘global warming potential’ indices for each gas. Using an integrated global-systems model, it is shown that a multi-gas control strategy could greatly reduce the costs of fulfilling the Kyoto Protocol compared with a CO2-only strategy. Extending the Kyoto Protocol to 2100 without more severe emissions reductions shows little difference between the two strategies in climate and ecosystem effects. Under a more stringent emissions policy, the use of global warming potentials as applied in the Kyoto Protocol leads to considerably more mitigation of climate change for multi-gas strategies than for the—supposedly equivalent—CO2-only control, thus emphasizing the limits of global warming potentials as a tool for political decisions.

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Metadata

Authors
Reilly, J., Prinn, R., Harnisch, J., Fitzmaurice, J., Jacoby, H., Kicklighter, D., Melillo, J., Stone, P., Sokolov, A., & Wang, C.
Venue
Nature
Published
1999-10
Volume
401
Issue
6753
Pages
549-555
ISSN
  • 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
  • 1476-4687
OpenAlex
W1585465957
Cited by
406
References
0
FWCI
69.74
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1038/44069
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Reilly, J., Prinn, R., Harnisch, J., Fitzmaurice, J., Jacoby, H., Kicklighter, D., Melillo, J., Stone, P., Sokolov, A., & Wang, C. (1999). Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/44069

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