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Predicting scientific success
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“Indeed, success at publishing is used to evaluate scientists [1] and can help predict their future success [2].”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Acuna, D. E., Allesina, S., & Kording, K. P.
- Affiliations
- Northwestern University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Acuna, Daniel E.
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2012-09-12
- Volume
- 489
- Issue
- 7415
- Pages
- 201-202
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- PMC
- PMC3770471
- OpenAlex
- W1968900087
- Cited by
- 249
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 20 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 23 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 19 · 2016: 21 · 2015: 19 · 2014: 21 · 2013: 22 · 2012: 7
- FWCI
- 25.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (UL1TR000150)
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (R01NS063399)
- National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Library and Information Sciences › scientometrics and bibliometrics research
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Information Systems › Web visibility and informetrics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Psychology Research and Bibliometrics
- Keywords
- h-index, research productivity, citation impact, life scientists, bibliometric analysis
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Drosophila melanogaster, Biological Evolution, Forecasting, Job Application, Research Personnel, Bibliometrics, Peer Review, Research
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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