The DOI matches its Crossref record; 38 of the 38 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
Open accessOverview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“The “global warming hiatus”47,48, is seen in Fig. 1e, referring to a decade (2000 to 2009) during which global mean SSTA changed less than in the previous or subsequent decade.”
From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [48]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M. C., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., Miller, H. L., & Chen, Z. (2007) · Cited by 23,398
(2013) · Cited by 6,752
The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300
Meinshausen, M. A., Smith, S. J., Calvin, K., Daniel, J. S., Kainuma, M., Lamarque, J., Matsumoto, K., Montzka, S. A., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z · Cited by 3,781
Global surface temperature change
Hansen, J., Ruedy, R., Sato, M., & Lo, K. (2010) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2010rg000345 · Cited by 3,081
Saier, M. H. (2007) · Water Air & Soil Pollution · doi:10.1007/s11270-007-9372-6 · Cited by 1,981
Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling
Kosaka, Y., & Xie, S. (2013) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature12534 · Cited by 1,701
Self-citationMorice, C. P., Kennedy, J. J., Rayner, N. A., & Jones, P. D. (2012) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2011jd017187 · Cited by 1,657
Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus
England, M. H., McGregor, S., Spence, P., Meehl, G. A., Timmermann, A., Cai, W., Gupta, A. S., McPhaden, M. J., Purich, A., & Santoso, A. (2014) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2106 · Cited by 1,356
Self-citationImproved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise
Domingues, C. M., Church, J. A., White, N. J., Gleckler, P. J., Wijffels, S., Barker, P. M., & Dunn, J. R. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature07080 · Cited by 763
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 301–394 of 394
Boland, E., Dittus, A. J., Jones, D. C., Josey, S. A., & Sinha, B. (2023) · Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans · doi:10.1029/2022jc018725 · Cited by 3
Huang, X., Ma, L., Liu, T., Sun, B., Chen, Y., & Qiao, Z. (2023) · Water · doi:10.3390/w15142522 · Cited by 3
Spatial and Temporal Variability of the Surface Temperature in the Black Sea Between 2000-2022
Çokacar, T. (2023) · Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University Journal of Marine Sciences and Fisheries · doi:10.46384/jmsf.1386973 · Cited by 3
Regional trend changes in recent surface warming
Zang, C., Jochner-Oette, S., Cortés, J., Rammig, A., & Menzel, A. (2018) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4524-5 · Cited by 3
Ollila, A. (2020) · Physical Science International Journal · doi:10.9734/psij/2020/v24i230174 · Cited by 3
Combined Oceanic Influences on Continental Climates
Kitoh, A., Mohíno, E., Ding, Y., Rajendran, K., Ambrizzi, T., Marengo, J. A., & Magaña, V. O. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108610995.008 · Cited by 4
Warming hiatus of extreme temperature across China’s cold regions during 1998–2018
Ma, L., Lu, R., & Chen, D. (2022) · Frontiers of Earth Science · doi:10.1007/s11707-021-0950-5 · Cited by 3
Zhao, L., Wang, S., Wu, C., Los, S. A., Lyu, S., Meng, X., Wen, L., Luo, S., Ao, Y., & Li, Z. (2020) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos11010105 · Cited by 3
Eldevik, T., Smedsrud, L. H., Li, C., Årthun, M., Madonna, E., & Svendsen, L. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108610995.007 · Cited by 3
Empirical-Statistical Downscaling
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.006 · Cited by 3
Trends in UAH Zonal Mean Lower Troposphere TemperaturesPreprint
Munshi, J. (2017) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2985439 · Cited by 3
Qin, Z., Wang, T., Chen, H., & Gao, Y. (2024) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.8548 · Cited by 2
Are we heading towards a global decrease in coregonine catches?
Anneville, O., Alric, B., Chang, C., Baer, J., Bourinet, F., Brinker, A., Bunnell, D. B., Goulon, C., Holmgren, K., Hsieh, C., et al. (2025) · International Journal of Limnology · doi:10.1051/limn/2025003 · Cited by 2
Mohan, S. (2025) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104969 · Cited by 2
Sajidh, C. K., Chatterjee, A., Murtugudde, R. G., McPhaden, M. J., Shenoi, S. S. C., & Vinayachandran, P. N. M. (2025) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.70157 · Cited by 2
Bastard, P., Couderc, A., Kwon, T., Hogan, J., Niel, O., Cambier, A., Ali, L., Smaïne, D., Maisin, A., Deschênes, G., et al. (2019) · Experimental and Clinical Transplantation · doi:10.6002/ect.2019.0174 · Cited by 2
Zhang, Y., Wang, J., & Watson, A. E. (2023) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs15153707 · Cited by 2
Semgomba, D. S., Deng, J., & King’uza, P. H. (2025) · Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection · doi:10.4236/gep.2025.133002 · Cited by 2
Lu, J., Zhao, J., Zhang, H., Li, H., Sha, L., Wang, J., Dong, X., Edwards, R. L., & Cheng, H. (2025) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2024jd042995 · Cited by 2
Jiang, N., Shen, M., & Yang, Z. (2025) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104891 · Cited by 2
Abrupt trend change in global mean sea level and its components in the early 2010s
Leclercq, L., Oelsmann, J., Cazenave, A., Passaro, M., Jevrejeva, S., Connors, S., Legeais, J., Birol, F., & Abarca-del-Río, R. (2026) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-025-03149-5 · Cited by 2
A Slight Temperature Warming Trend Occurred over Lake Ontario from 2001 to 2018
Ouyang, X., Chen, D., Zhou, S., Zhang, R., Yang, J., Hu, G., Dou, Y., & Liu, Q. (2021) · Land · doi:10.3390/land10121315 · Cited by 2
The role of olfaction in relation to stress and fear.
Bombail, V. (2017) · CABI eBooks · doi:10.1079/9781786391599.0136 · Cited by 2
Intercomparison of the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature v4 and v3b Datasets
Wang, J., & Chen, X. (2018) · Journal of Ocean University of China · doi:10.1007/s11802-018-3347-7 · Cited by 2
Yu, J., Campos, E. J. D., Du, Y., Eldevik, T., Gille, S. T., Losada, T., McPhaden, M. J., & Smedsrud, L. H. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108610995.002 · Cited by 2
Climate Change and Impacts on Variability and Interactions
Cazenave, A., Meehl, G. A., Montoya, M., Toggweiler, J. R., & Wieners, C. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108610995.010 · Cited by 2
Self-citationAtlantic impacts on subdecadal warming over the tropical Pacific in the 2000s
Mochizuki, T., & Watanabe, M. (2022) · Frontiers in Climate · doi:10.3389/fclim.2022.1040352 · Cited by 2
Decadal Scale Variability of Larsen Ice Shelf Melt Captured by Antarctic Peninsula Ice Core
Emanuelsson, B. D., Thomas, E. R., Humby, J. D., & Vladimirova, D. (2022) · Geosciences · doi:10.3390/geosciences12090344 · Cited by 2
Detecting breakpoints in global temperaturePreprint
Duan, J., Zhao, L., Wang, Q., & Li, P. X. (2019) · doi:10.5194/esd-2019-45 · Cited by 2
Variations in spring leaf phenology and leaf freezing damage of common woody species in China
Tao, Z., & Junhu, D. A. I. (2023) · 地理科学进展 · doi:10.18306/dlkxjz.2023.04.012 · Cited by 1
Climate change in Brazil: evolutionary, comparative and forecast study
Menegassi, S. R. O., Lopes, L. F. D., Morais, H., Alencar, A. P., Lopes, F. G., & Barca, F. A. (2023) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-023-04778-6 · Cited by 1
Sun, Q., & Du, Y. (2025) · Geoscience Letters · doi:10.1186/s40562-025-00413-6 · Cited by 1
Ducarme, B., Hopuare, M., Li, X., Maamaatuaiahutapu, K., & Barriot, J. (2026) · Regional Studies in Marine Science · doi:10.1016/j.rsma.2026.104950 · Cited by 1
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.005 · Cited by 1
Marquis, B., Lamara, M., Roy, A., Rossi, S., Bergeron, Y., Godbout, J., Aubin, I., & Perron, M. E. (2024) · Environmental Research Climate · doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ad8d00 · Cited by 1
Seepage, objectivity, and climate science
O’Loughlin, R. (2019) · Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A · doi:10.1016/j.shpsa.2019.07.002 · Cited by 1
Severe Testing and Characterization of Change Points in Climate Time Series
Ricketts, J. H., & Jones, R. N. (2021) · IntechOpen eBooks · doi:10.5772/intechopen.98364 · Cited by 1
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.007 · Cited by 1
Muller, J., Paxton, C. H., Collins, J. M., & Zhu, Y.-J. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-01949-4_155 · Cited by 1
Wang, Y. (2018) · UVic’s Research and Learning Repository (University of Victoria) · Cited by 1
The Economics of Climate ChangePreprint
Pellerin, M., & Rodriguez, J. (2020) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3715848 · Cited by 2
Asli, H. E., & azeroual, M. (2025) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.5179117 · Cited by 1
US lawmakers expand probe of climate study
Tollefson, J. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature.2016.19463
Visconti, G. (2017) · Springer climate · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-65669-4_7
Reinforcement of Climate Hiatus by Decadal Modulation of Daily Cloud CyclePreprint
Yin, J., & Porporato, A. M. (2018) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1803.01752
Kim, D., Oka, T., Estrada, F., & Pierre Perron, Z. (2018) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1805.09937
Castaldi, B. (2019) · Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations (Universidade de São Paulo) · doi:10.11606/t.21.2019.tde-11012019-162043
CLIVAR Science Plan and Implementation Strategy
Bracco, A., Stammer, D. B., & CEN, U. H. (2018) · doi:10.36071/clivar.rp.6.2018
Ward, P. L. (2020) · American Journal of Physical Chemistry · doi:10.11648/j.ajpc.20200903.13
Uncertainty in Future Projections, and Approaches for Representing Uncertainty
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.008
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. W., Jacobs, J., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.003 · Cited by 1
Đánh giá tác động của biến đổi khí hậu đến nhiệt độ và lượng mưa khu vực tỉnh Quảng Bình
Cảnh, L. Q., Vân, H. N. T., Thành, N. T., Huy, N. Đ., Quang, T. H., & Tài, Đ. T. (2021) · Journal of Hydro-meteorology · doi:10.36335/vnjhm.2021(724).1-14
Warming enhanced the climate temporal effects on vegetation across SiberiaPreprint
Shi, S., Wang, P., Zhang, Y., & Yu, J. (2021) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-365406/v1
Impacts, Adaptation, Vulnerability, and Decision-Making
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.002
Assessing Climate-Change Impacts at the Regional Scale
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.004
Huang, X., Ma, L., Liu, T., Sun, B., Chen, Y., Qiao, Z., & Liang, L. (2021) · Environmental Science and Pollution Research · doi:10.1007/s11356-021-14190-0
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.011
Condensed Matter Researches in Cryospheric Science
Marcelli, A., Maggi, V., & Xiao, C. (2019) · MDPI eBooks · doi:10.3390/books978-3-03921-324-5
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.001
Guidance and Recommendations for Use of (Downscaled) Climate Information
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.009
The Future of Regional Downscaling
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.010
Mechoso, C. R. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108610995.001
Huang, X., Ma, L., Liu, T., Sun, B., Chen, Y., & Qiao, Z. (2022) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1391791/v1
Mechoso, C. R. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108610995.011
Kotamarthi, R., Hayhoe, K., Mearns, L. O., Wuebbles, D. J., Jacobs, J. M., & Jurado, J. (2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108601269.012
Review of the bg-2020-139 manuscript
(2020) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-2020-139-rc2
Tapia, A. J. S. F., Lee, J., Hwang, J. H., Zargaran, A., Kim, N. J., & Lee, B. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4153556
Tapia, A. J. S. F., Lee, J., Hwang, J. H., Zargaran, A., Kim, N. J., & Lee, B. (2022) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4153560
Future Earth and the Earth’s Fluid Environment
Beer, T., Li, J., & Alverson, K. (2018) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781316761489.010
Muller, J., Paxton, C. H., Collins, J. M., & Zhu, Y.-J. (2022) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-38948-2_155-1
Karmouche, S. (2023) · doi:10.5194/egusphere-2022-1013-ac2
Karmouche, S. (2023) · doi:10.5194/egusphere-2022-1013-ac1
(2017) · Edward Elgar Publishing eBooks · doi:10.4337/9781785363801.00022
Jakobson, E. (2023) · doi:10.5194/egusphere-2023-1637-ac1
Jakobson, E. (2023) · doi:10.5194/egusphere-2023-1637-ac2
Jakobson, E. (2023) · doi:10.5194/egusphere-2023-1637-ac3
Electrochemical Corrosion Behavior of Mg-8Li-2 and Mg-8Li-2Zn Alloys
Perugu, C. S., Jangde, A., Suwas, S., & Kumar, S. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-38141-6_28
The Energetics of the 1998 Pacific Decadal TransitionPreprint
Mauget, S. A. (2024) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-4220062/v1
Gu, P., Gan, B., Cai, W., Wang, H., & Wu, L. (2024) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2023gl107772
Rapid 21st century warming in the Southern Indian Ocean driven by altered inter-basin connectionsPreprint
Chatterjee, A., Sajidh, C. K., Murtugudde, R. G., McPhaden, M. J., Shenoi, S. S. C., & Vinayachandran, P. N. M. (2024) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-4247247/v1
Permafrost degradation reverses warming-induced earlier vegetation green-upPreprint
Liu, H., Liang, B., Wang, J., Huntingford, C., Cressey, E. L., Xu, C., Shi, L., Wang, L., Cao, J., Qi, Y., et al. (2024) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-4978339/v1
Martineau, P., Nakamura, H., Kosaka, Y., Behera, S. K., & Nonaka, M. (2024) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00804-0
Self-citationProcesses Underlying the Year‐To‐Year Fluctuations of the Global Mean Surface Temperature
Jiang, A., Jiang, J. H., & Guan, B. (2025) · Atmospheric Science Letters · doi:10.1002/asl.1307
Ocean heat uptake structure shapes future surface temperature change
Li, X., & Li, Q. (2026) · Environmental Research Communications · doi:10.1088/2515-7620/ae6398
Declining tropical sea surface temperature variability under post-2050s greenhouse warming
Wang, G., & Santoso, A. (2026) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02684-z
Assessment of climate change projections in the Chenab River Basin, Western Himalaya
Ougahi, J. H., Mahmood, S. A., Batool, S., Qureshi, J., Ali, M., Masood, A., Khan, K. A., Latif, A., & Ali, W. (2022) · International Journal of Innovations in Science and Technology · doi:10.33411/ijist/500
Fingerprint Evidence for Human Effects on Climate: Advances After the 2009 Endangerment Finding
Santer, B. D., Solomon, S., Thompson, D. W. J., Fu, Q., & Hegerl, G. C. (2026) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2026ef009129
Self-citation
Metadata
- Authors
- Fyfe, J. C., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Mann, M. E., Santer, B. D., Flato, G. M., Hawkins, E., Gillett, N. P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y., & Swart, N. C.
- Affiliations
- Environment and Climate Change Canada (CA)
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- Pennsylvania State University (US)
- Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (US)
- National Centre for Atmospheric Science (GB)
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US)
- Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo (JP)
- Corresponding author
- Fyfe, John C.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2016-02-24
- Volume
- 6
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 224-228
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2285422781
- Cited by
- 394
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 36 · 2022: 27 · 2021: 49 · 2020: 51 · 2019: 43 · 2018: 44 · 2017: 61 · 2016: 39
- FWCI
- 46.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- CentAUR (University of Reading) (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- U.S. Department of Energy (DEFC0297ER62402, FC02-97ER62402)
- Natural Environment Research Council (ncas10009, NE/I020792/1, NE/N006054/1)
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (15H05466)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Keywords
- global warming hiatus, global surface temperature, climate change skepticism, climate change evidence
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review