The DOI matches its Crossref record; 38 of the 38 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
Open accessOverview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The source backs part of the claim, not all of it — or backs it for a different population, condition or comparison.
In the citing paper
“The “global warming hiatus”47,48, is seen in Fig. 1e, referring to a decade (2000 to 2009) during which global mean SSTA changed less than in the previous or subsequent decade.”
From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [48]
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M. C., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., Miller, H. L., & Chen, Z. (2007) · Cited by 23,398
(2013) · Cited by 6,752
The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300
Meinshausen, M. A., Smith, S. J., Calvin, K., Daniel, J. S., Kainuma, M., Lamarque, J., Matsumoto, K., Montzka, S. A., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K., et al. (2011) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z · Cited by 3,781
Global surface temperature change
Hansen, J., Ruedy, R., Sato, M., & Lo, K. (2010) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1029/2010rg000345 · Cited by 3,081
Saier, M. H. (2007) · Water Air & Soil Pollution · doi:10.1007/s11270-007-9372-6 · Cited by 1,981
Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling
Kosaka, Y., & Xie, S. (2013) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature12534 · Cited by 1,701
Self-citationMorice, C. P., Kennedy, J. J., Rayner, N. A., & Jones, P. D. (2012) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2011jd017187 · Cited by 1,657
Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus
England, M. H., McGregor, S., Spence, P., Meehl, G. A., Timmermann, A., Cai, W., Gupta, A. S., McPhaden, M. J., Purich, A., & Santoso, A. (2014) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2106 · Cited by 1,356
Self-citationImproved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise
Domingues, C. M., Church, J. A., White, N. J., Gleckler, P. J., Wijffels, S., Barker, P. M., & Dunn, J. R. (2008) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature07080 · Cited by 763
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Fundamentals and advances in magnesium alloy corrosion
Esmaily, M., Svensson, J., Fajardo, S., Birbilis, N., Frankel, G. S., Virtanen, S., Arrabal, R., Thomas, S., & Johansson, L. G. (2017) · Progress in Materials Science · doi:10.1016/j.pmatsci.2017.04.011 · Cited by 2,120
The Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM): the main progress from CMIP5 to CMIP6
Wu, T., Lu, Y., Fang, Y., Xin, X., Li, L., Li, W., Jie, W., Zhang, J., Liu, Y., Zhang, L., et al. (2019) · Geoscientific Model Development · doi:10.5194/gmd-12-1573-2019 · Cited by 1,069
Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability
Turner, J. C., Lu, H., White, I., King, J., Phillips, T., Hosking, J. S., Bracegirdle, T. J., Marshall, G. J., Mulvaney, R., & Deb, P. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature18645 · Cited by 772
Taking climate model evaluation to the next level
Eyring, V., Cox, P. M., Flato, G. M., Gleckler, P. J., Abramowitz, G., Caldwell, P., Collins, W. D., Gier, B. K., Hall, A. D., Hoffman, F. M., et al. (2019) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y · Cited by 748
Self-citationRecent pause in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 due to enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake
Keenan, T. F., Prentice, I. C., Canadell, J. G., Williams, C. A., Wang, H., Raupach, M., & Collatz, G. J. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms13428 · Cited by 493
Reconciling controversies about the ‘global warming hiatus’
Medhaug, I., Stolpe, M. B., Fischer, E. M., & Knutti, R. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature22315 · Cited by 456
Recently amplified arctic warming has contributed to a continual global warming trend
Huang, J., Zhang, X., Zhang, Q., Lin, Y., Hao, M., Luo, Y. M., Zhao, Z., Yao, Y., Chen, X., Wang, L., et al. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0009-5 · Cited by 323
Increasing occurrence of cold and warm extremes during the recent global warming slowdown
Johnson, N. C., Xie, S., Kosaka, Y., & Li, X. (2018) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-04040-y · Cited by 322
Self-citationThe Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (RFMIP): experimental protocol for CMIP6
Pincus, R. L., Forster, P. M. D. F., & Stevens, B. (2016) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3447-2016 · Cited by 331
No trends in spring and autumn phenology during the global warming hiatus
Wang, X., Xiao, J., Li, X., Cheng, G., Ma, M., Zhu, G., Arain, M. A., Black, T. A., & Jassal, R. S. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-019-10235-8 · Cited by 291
Recommendations for diagnosing effective radiative forcing from climate models for CMIP6
Forster, P. M. D. F., Richardson, T. B., Maycock, A. C., Smith, C., Samset, B. H., Myhre, G., Andrews, T., Pincus, R. L., & Schulz, M. (2016) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1002/2016jd025320 · Cited by 281
Young people's burden: requirement of negative CO 2 emissions
Hansen, J., Sato, M., Kharecha, P., von Schuckmann, K., Beerling, D. J., Cao, J., Marcott, S., Masson-Delmotte, V., Prather, M. J., Rohling, E. J., et al. (2017) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-8-577-2017 · Cited by 266
Quantifying Progress Across Different CMIP Phases With the ESMValTool
Bock, L., Lauer, A., Schlund, M., Barreiro, M., Bellouin, N., Jones, C., Meehl, G. A., Predoi, V., Roberts, M. J., & Eyring, V. (2020) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1029/2019jd032321 · Cited by 246
Self-citationInitialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Meehl, G. A., Richter, J. H., Teng, H., Capotondi, A., Cobb, K., Doblas-Reyes, F., Donat, M. G., England, M. H., Fyfe, J. C., Han, W., et al. (2021) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x · Cited by 231
Self-citationThe early 20th century warming: Anomalies, causes, and consequences
Hegerl, G. C., Brönnimann, S., Schurer, A., & Cowan, T. (2018) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.522 · Cited by 227
Global rainfall erosivity projections for 2050 and 2070
Panagos, P., Borrelli, P., Matthews, F., Liakos, L., Bezak, N., Diodato, N., & Ballabio, C. (2022) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127865 · Cited by 225
Meehl, G. A., Hu, A., Santer, B. D., & Xie, S. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3107 · Cited by 223
Self-citationThe tropical Pacific as a key pacemaker of the variable rates of global warming
Kosaka, Y., & Xie, S. (2016) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo2770 · Cited by 213
Self-citationChen, B., & Liu, Z. (2016) · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · doi:10.1002/2016jd024917 · Cited by 206
Schaller, N., Sillmann, J., Anstey, J. A., Fischer, E. M., Grams, C. M., & Russo, S. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aaba55 · Cited by 206
The extreme El Niño of 2015–2016 and the end of global warming hiatus
Hu, S., & Fedorov, A. V. (2017) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2017gl072908 · Cited by 203
Global temperature evolution: recent trends and some pitfalls
Rahmstorf, S., Foster, G., & Cahill, N. (2017) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa6825 · Cited by 193
Ardhuin, F., Stopa, J. E., Chapron, B., Collard, F., Husson, R., Jensen, R. E., Johannessen, J. A., Mouche, A. A., Passaro, M., Quartly, G. D., et al. (2019) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00124 · Cited by 193
Causes of climate change over the historical record
Hegerl, G. C., Brönnimann, S., Cowan, T., Friedman, A. R., Hawkins, E., Iles, C. E., Müller, W. A., Schurer, A., & Undorf, S. (2019) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab4557 · Cited by 201
Self-citationHe, H., Wang, S., Zhang, L., Wang, J., Ren, X., Zhou, L., Piao, S. L., Yan, H., Ju, W., Gu, F., et al. (2019) · National Science Review · doi:10.1093/nsr/nwz021 · Cited by 191
Meehl, G. A., Hu, A., & Teng, H. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms11718 · Cited by 190
Self-citationThe global warming hiatus: Slowdown or redistribution?
Yan, X., Boyer, T., Trenberth, K. E., Karl, T. R., Xie, S., Nieves, V., Tung, K. K., & Roemmich, D. H. (2016) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1002/2016ef000417 · Cited by 183
Self-citationSimmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Dee, D. P., Hersbach, H., Hirahara, S., & Thépaut, J. (2016) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.2949 · Cited by 177
Prominent role of volcanism in Common Era climate variability and human history
Büntgen, U., Arseneault, D., Boucher, É., Churakova (Sidorova), O. V., Gennaretti, F., Crivellaro, A., Hughes, M. K., Kirdyanov, A. V., Klippel, L., Krusic, P. J., et al. (2020) · Dendrochronologia · doi:10.1016/j.dendro.2020.125757 · Cited by 177
Deep and abyssal ocean warming from 35 years of repeat hydrography
Desbruyères, D. G., Purkey, S. G., McDonagh, E. L., Johnson, G. C., & King, B. (2016) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2016gl070413 · Cited by 173
BCC-CSM2-HR: a high-resolution version of the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model
Wu, T., Yu, R., Lu, Y., Jie, W., Fang, Y., Zhang, J., Zhang, L., Xin, X., Li, L., Wang, Z., et al. (2021) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-14-2977-2021 · Cited by 171
Enhanced warming constrained by past trends in equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature gradient
Watanabe, M., Dufresne, J., Kosaka, Y., Mauritsen, T., & Tatebe, H. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00933-3 · Cited by 161
Self-citationHuman influence on the seasonal cycle of tropospheric temperature
Santer, B. D., Po–Chedley, S., Zelinka, M. D., Cvijanović, I., Bonfils, C., Durack, P. J., Fu, Q., Kiehl, J. T., Mears, C. A., Painter, J. F., et al. (2018) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aas8806 · Cited by 161
Self-citationMyhre, G., Aas, W., Cherian, R., Collins, W. J., Faluvegi, G., Flanner, M. G., Forster, P. M. D. F., Hodnebrog, Ø., Klimont, Z., Lund, M. T., et al. (2017) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-17-2709-2017 · Cited by 154
Temporal changes in global soil respiration since 1987
Lei, J., Guo, X. Y., Zeng, Y., Zhou, J. Z., Gao, Q., & Yang, Y. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-020-20616-z · Cited by 161
Lewandowsky, S., Cook, J., & Lloyd, E. (2018) · Synthese · doi:10.1007/s11229-016-1198-6 · Cited by 151
Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies
Bulgin, C. E., Merchant, C. J., & Ferreira, D. (2020) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-64785-9 · Cited by 150
“The “global warming hiatus” 47,48 , is seen in Fig.”
BackgroundDecadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenges and Opportunities
Cassou, C., Kushnir, Y., Hawkins, E., Pirani, A., Kucharski, F., Kang, I., & Caltabiano, N. (2017) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-16-0286.1 · Cited by 144
Self-citationGlobal diurnal temperature range (DTR) changes since 1901
Sun, X., Ren, G., You, Q., Ren, Y., Xu, W., Xue, X., Zhan, Y.-J., Zhang, S., & Zhang, P. (2018) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4329-6 · Cited by 144
Huang, B., Menne, M. J., Boyer, T., Freeman, E., Gleason, B. E., Lawrimore, J. H., Liu, C., Rennie, J., Schreck, C. J., Sun, F., et al. (2019) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-19-0395.1 · Cited by 134
Recent wind-driven change in Subantarctic Mode Water and its impact on ocean heat storage
Gao, L., Rintoul, S. R., & Yu, W. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0022-8 · Cited by 125
Frankignoul, C., Gastineau, G., & Kwon, Y. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-17-0009.1 · Cited by 123
Significant impact of forcing uncertainty in a large ensemble of climate model simulations
Fyfe, J. C., Kharin, V., Santer, B. D., Cole, J. N. S., & Gillett, N. P. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2016549118 · Cited by 126
Self-citationWhat Caused the Global Surface Warming Hiatus of 1998–2013?
Xie, S., & Kosaka, Y. (2017) · Current Climate Change Reports · doi:10.1007/s40641-017-0063-0 · Cited by 113
Self-citationBeyond Counting Climate Consensus
Pearce, W., Grundmann, R., Hulme, M., Raman, S., Kershaw, E. H., & Tsouvalis, J. (2017) · Environmental Communication · doi:10.1080/17524032.2017.1333965 · Cited by 119
Tropical Pacific SST Drivers of Recent Antarctic Sea Ice Trends
Purich, A., England, M. H., Cai, W., Chikamoto, Y., Timmermann, A., Fyfe, J. C., Frankcombe, L. M., Meehl, G. A., & Arblaster, J. M. (2016) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0440.1 · Cited by 109
Self-citationDistinct global warming rates tied to multiple ocean surface temperature changes
Yao, S., Luo, J., Huang, G., & Wang, P. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3304 · Cited by 107
Li, H., Wu, Y., Liu, S., & Xiao, J. (2021) · Agricultural and Forest Meteorology · doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108384 · Cited by 103
Steady global surface warming from 1973 to 2022 but increased warming rate after 1990
Samset, B. H., Zhou, C., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Lund, M. T., Marotzke, J., & Zelinka, M. D. (2023) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-023-01061-4 · Cited by 100
Causes of irregularities in trends of global mean surface temperature since the late 19th century
Folland, C. K., Boucher, O., Colman, A. W., & Parker, D. E. (2018) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.aao5297 · Cited by 99
Deser, C., Guo, R., & Lehner, F. (2017) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2017gl074273 · Cited by 92
Spatial and temporal agreement in climate model simulations of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Henley, B. J., Meehl, G. A., Power, S. B., Folland, C. K., King, A. D., Brown, J. N., Karoly, D. J., Delage, F. P. D., Gallant, A., Freund, M. B., et al. (2017) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa5cc8 · Cited by 87
Self-citationBüntgen, U., Krusic, P. J., Verstege, A., Sangüesa‐Barreda, G., Wagner, S., Camarero, J. J., Ljungqvist, F. C., Zorita, E., Oppenheimer, C., Konter, O., et al. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0526.1 · Cited by 86
Continuous rise of the tropopause in the Northern Hemisphere over 1980–2020
Meng, L., Liu, J. J., Tarasick, D. W., Randel, W. J., Steiner, A. K., Wilhelmsen, H., Wang, L., & Haimberger, L. (2021) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abi8065 · Cited by 95
Cohen, J. L. (2016) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2016gl069102 · Cited by 86
Comparing Tropospheric Warming in Climate Models and Satellite Data
Santer, B. D., Solomon, S., Pallotta, G., Mears, C. A., Po–Chedley, S., Fu, Q., Wentz, F., Zou, C., Painter, J. F., Cvijanović, I., et al. (2016) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0333.1 · Cited by 85
Self-citationHuang, B., Liu, C., Freeman, E., Graham, G., Smith, T., & Zhang, H. (2021) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-21-0001.1 · Cited by 90
Growing Threats From Unprecedented Sequential Flood‐Hot Extremes Across China
Liao, Z., Chen, Y., Li, W., & Zhai, P. (2021) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2021gl094505 · Cited by 84
Tropical Pacific impacts on cooling North American winters
Sigmond, M., & Fyfe, J. C. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3069 · Cited by 78
Self-citationContributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to the Recent Pacific Decadal Variations
Hua, W., Dai, A., & Qin, M. (2018) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2018gl079033 · Cited by 79
Sévellec, F., & Drijfhout, S. (2018) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-05442-8 · Cited by 77
Marode, R. V., Lemma, . A., Sallih, N., Pedapati, S. R., Awang, M. B., & Hassan, A. (2024) · Journal of Magnesium and Alloys · doi:10.1016/j.jma.2024.06.007 · Cited by 82
Elevational range shifts in four mountain ungulate species from the S wiss A lps
Büntgen, U., Greuter, L., Bollmann, K., Jenny, H., Liebhold, A. M., Galván, J. D., Stenseth, N. C., Andrew, C. J., & Mysterud, A. (2017) · Ecosphere · doi:10.1002/ecs2.1761 · Cited by 83
O’Sullivan, M., Spracklen, D. V., Batterman, S. A., Arnold, S. R., Gloor, M. U., & Buermann, W. (2019) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/2018gb005922 · Cited by 76
Prospects for a prolonged slowdown in global warming in the early 21st century
Knutson, T. R., Zhang, R., & Horowitz, L. W. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms13676 · Cited by 74
Wuebbles, D. J., Easterling, D. R., Hayhoe, K., Knutson, T. R., Kopp, R. E., Kossin, J. P., Kunkel, K. E., LeGrande, A. N., Mears, C. A., Sweet, W., et al. (2017) · doi:10.7930/j08s4n35 · Cited by 82
Pacific decadal climate variability: Indices, patterns and tropical-extratropical interactions
Henley, B. J. (2017) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.06.004 · Cited by 73
Can southern Australian rainfall decline be explained? A review of possible drivers
McKay, R. C., Boschat, G., Rudeva, I., Pepler, A. S., Purich, A., Dowdy, A. J., Hope, P. K., Gillett, Z. E., & RAUNIYAR, S. P. (2023) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.820 · Cited by 79
Responses of terrestrial water storage to climate variation in the Tibetan Plateau
Wang, J., Chen, X., Hu, Q., & Liu, J. (2020) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124652 · Cited by 69
Distinguishing Trends and Shifts from Memory in Climate Data
Beaulieu, C., & Killick, R. (2018) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-17-0863.1 · Cited by 68
Sayani, H. R., Cobb, K. M., DeLong, K. L., Hitt, N. T., & Druffel, E. R. M. (2019) · Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems · doi:10.1029/2019gc008420 · Cited by 66
Trajectories toward the 1.5°C Paris target: Modulation by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Henley, B. J., & King, A. D. (2017) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2017gl073480 · Cited by 67
Kondô, A., Kurosawa, R., Ryu, J., Matsuoka, M., & Takeuchi, M. (2021) · The Journal of Physical Chemistry C · doi:10.1021/acs.jpcc.1c01470 · Cited by 67
Multidecadal Warming and Density Loss in the Deep Weddell Sea, Antarctica
Strass, V. H., Rohardt, G., Kanzow, T., Hoppema, M., & Boebel, O. (2020) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-20-0271.1 · Cited by 65
A remarkable climate warming hiatus over Northeast China since 1998
Sun, X., Ren, G., Ren, Y., Fang, Y., Liu, Y., Xue, X., & Zhang, P. (2017) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-017-2205-7 · Cited by 63
Ocean Warming Pattern Effect On Global And Regional Climate Change
Xie, S. (2020) · AGU Advances · doi:10.1029/2019av000130 · Cited by 66
Self-citationQuantifying the irreducible uncertainty in near‐term climate projections
Marotzke, J. (2018) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.563 · Cited by 64
Zhang, H., Yuan, N., Ma, Z., & Huang, Y. (2021) · Advances in Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1007/s00376-020-0074-y · Cited by 61
Dong, L. D., & McPhaden, M. J. (2017) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa5dd8 · Cited by 60
Volcanic impact on the climate – the stratospheric aerosol load in the period 2006–2015
Friberg, J., Martinsson, B. G., Andersson, S. M., & Sandvik, O. S. (2018) · Atmospheric chemistry and physics · doi:10.5194/acp-18-11149-2018 · Cited by 65
New insights into natural variability and anthropogenic forcing of global/regional climate evolution
Wu, T., Hu, A., Gao, F., Zhang, J., & Meehl, G. A. (2019) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-019-0075-7 · Cited by 59
Self-citationHu, G., Zhao, L., Wu, T., Wu, X., Park, H., Fedorov, A. N., Wei, Y., Li, R., Zhu, X., Sun, Z., et al. (2021) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148358 · Cited by 59
Najafi, M. R., Zwiers, F. W., & Gillett, N. P. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0189.1 · Cited by 59
Self-citationPredicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Hawkins, E., Bilbao, R. A. F., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Caron, L., Gokhan Danabasoglu, C., Delworth, T. L., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., et al. (2018) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2018gl079362 · Cited by 59
Self-citationLi, Q., Sun, W., Yun, X., Huang, B., Dong, W., Wang, X. L., Zhai, P., & Jones, P. D. (2021) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05502-0 · Cited by 59
Mitchell, D. M., Eunice Lo, Y. T., Seviour, W. J. M., Haimberger, L., & Polvani, L. M. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab9af7 · Cited by 57
Amaya, D. J., Siler, N., Xie, S., & Miller, A. J. (2017) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3921-5 · Cited by 57
Self-citationBengtsson, L. O., & Hodges, K. I. (2018) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4343-8 · Cited by 55
Observed and Projected Changes to the Precipitation Annual Cycle
Marvel, K., Biasutti, M., Bonfils, C., Taylor, K. E., Kushnir, Y., & Cook, B. I. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0572.1 · Cited by 55
Internal climate variability and projected future regional steric and dynamic sea level rise
Hu, A., & Bates, S. C. (2018) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03474-8 · Cited by 55
Consistency of global warming trends strengthened since 1880s
Li, Q., Sun, W., Huang, B., Dong, W., Wang, X., Zhai, P., & Jones, P. D. (2020) · 中国科学通报:英文版 · doi:10.1016/j.scib.2020.06.009 · Cited by 54
Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change
Hu, G., Zhao, L., Wu, T., Wu, X., Park, H., Li, R., Zhu, X., Ni, J., Zou, D., Hao, J., et al. (2022) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2022ef002835 · Cited by 54
Quantifying stochastic uncertainty in detection time of human-caused climate signals
Santer, B. D., Fyfe, J. C., Solomon, S., Painter, J. F., Bonfils, C., Pallotta, G., & Zelinka, M. D. (2019) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1904586116 · Cited by 54
Self-citationWrestling with Uncertainty in Climate Economic ModelsPreprint
Brock, W. A., & Hansen, L. P. (2017) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3008833 · Cited by 54
Formation and composition of the UTLS aerosol
Martinsson, B. G., Friberg, J., Sandvik, O. S., Hermann, M., van Velthoven, P. F. J., & Zahn, A. (2019) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-019-0097-1 · Cited by 53
Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates
Santer, B. D., Fyfe, J. C., Pallotta, G., Flato, G. M., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Hawkins, E., MANN, M. E., Painter, J. F., Bonfils, C., et al. (2017) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo2973 · Cited by 53
Self-citationPower, S. B., Delage, F. P. D., Wang, G., Smith, I., & Kociuba, G. (2016) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3326-x · Cited by 52
Przybylak, R., & Wyszyński, P. (2019) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-019-02952-3 · Cited by 51
ENSO Low‐Frequency Modulation and Mean State Interactions
Fedorov, A. V., Hu, S., Wittenberg, A. T., Levine, A. F. Z., & Deser, C. (2020) · Geophysical monograph · doi:10.1002/9781119548164.ch8 · Cited by 54
Multi-Model Forecast Quality Assessment of CMIP6 Decadal Predictions
Delgado‐Torres, C., Donat, M. G., González-Reviriego, N., Caron, L., Athanasiadis, P., Bretonnière, P.-A., Dunstone, N., Ho, A.-C., Nicolì, D., Pankatz, K., et al. (2022) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-21-0811.1 · Cited by 49
Metadata
- Authors
- Fyfe, J. C., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Mann, M. E., Santer, B. D., Flato, G. M., Hawkins, E., Gillett, N. P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y., & Swart, N. C.
- Affiliations
- Environment and Climate Change Canada (CA)
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- Pennsylvania State University (US)
- Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (US)
- National Centre for Atmospheric Science (GB)
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US)
- Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo (JP)
- Corresponding author
- Fyfe, John C.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2016-02-24
- Volume
- 6
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 224-228
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2285422781
- Cited by
- 394
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 36 · 2022: 27 · 2021: 49 · 2020: 51 · 2019: 43 · 2018: 44 · 2017: 61 · 2016: 39
- FWCI
- 46.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- CentAUR (University of Reading) (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- U.S. Department of Energy (DEFC0297ER62402, FC02-97ER62402)
- Natural Environment Research Council (ncas10009, NE/I020792/1, NE/N006054/1)
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (15H05466)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Keywords
- global warming hiatus, global surface temperature, climate change skepticism, climate change evidence
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review