A global meta-analysis on the ecological drivers of forest restoration success
Open accessAbstract
Two billion ha have been identified globally for forest restoration. Our meta-analysis encompassing 221 study landscapes worldwide reveals forest restoration enhances biodiversity by 15–84% and vegetation structure by 36–77%, compared with degraded ecosystems. For the first time, we identify the main ecological drivers of forest restoration success (defined as a return to a reference condition, that is, old-growth forest) at both the local and landscape scale. These are as follows: the time elapsed since restoration began, disturbance type and landscape context. The time elapsed since restoration began strongly drives restoration success in secondary forests, but not in selectively logged forests (which are more ecologically similar to reference systems). Landscape restoration will be most successful when previous disturbance is less intensive and habitat is less fragmented in the landscape. Restoration does not result in full recovery of biodiversity and vegetation structure, but can complement old-growth forests if there is sufficient time for ecological succession.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Values of biodiversity and vegetation structure after forest restoration remained below those found in old-growth forests.
“A global meta-analysis found that forest restoration can increase biodiversity (mammals, birds, herpetofauna, invertebrates, and plants) by 15-84% and vegetation structure (biomass, cover, stem density, and height or amount of leaf litter) by 36-77% above degraded ecosystems-although values remained below those found in old-growth forests (119).”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [119]
The Results section reports that biodiversity and vegetation-structure values in restored systems were lower than in reference systems. The comparison does not establish the result specifically for old-growth forests: the paper's reference systems also included less-disturbed forests. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredA global meta-analysis found that forest restoration can increase biodiversity (mammals, birds, herpetofauna, invertebrates, and plants) by 15-84% above degraded ecosystems.
“A global meta-analysis found that forest restoration can increase biodiversity (mammals, birds, herpetofauna, invertebrates, and plants) by 15-84% and vegetation structure (biomass, cover, stem density, and height or amount of leaf litter) by 36-77% above degraded ecosystems-although values remained below those found in old-growth forests (119).”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [119]
A global meta-analysis found that forest restoration can increase vegetation structure (biomass, cover, stem density, and height or amount of leaf litter) by 36-77% above degraded ecosystems.
“A global meta-analysis found that forest restoration can increase biodiversity (mammals, birds, herpetofauna, invertebrates, and plants) by 15-84% and vegetation structure (biomass, cover, stem density, and height or amount of leaf litter) by 36-77% above degraded ecosystems-although values remained below those found in old-growth forests (119).”
From Restoring Degraded Lands (2021) · cites this paper as [119]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach.
Guthery, F. S., Burnham, K. P., & Anderson, D. R. (2003) · The Journal of Wildlife Management · doi:10.2307/3802723 · Cited by 41,495 · see citing works
Borenstein, M., Hedges, L. V., Higgins, J. P. T., & Rothstein, H. R. (2009) · doi:10.1002/9780470743386 · Cited by 14,225 · see citing works
Terrestrial ecoregions of the world: a new map of life on Earth
Olson, D. M., Dinerstein, E., Wikramanayake, E. D., Burgess, N. D., Powell, G. V. N., Underwood, E. C., D'amico, J. A., Itoua, I., Strand, H. E., Morrison, J. C., et al. (2001) · BioScience · doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2001)051[0933:teotwa]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 8,488 · see citing works
The meta-analysis of response ratios in experimental ecology
Hedges, L. V., Gurevitch, J., & Curtis, P. S. (1999) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/0012-9658(1999)080[1150:tmaorr]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 4,704 · see citing works
Methodological issues and advances in biological meta-analysis
Nakagawa, S., & Santos, E. S. A. (2012) · Evolutionary Ecology · doi:10.1007/s10682-012-9555-5 · Cited by 1,032 · see citing works
Visualizing samples with box plots
Krzywinski, M., & Altman, N. (2014) · Nature Methods · doi:10.1038/nmeth.2813 · Cited by 576 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 23
- Menz M. H. M., Dixon K. W. & Hobbs R. J. Hurdles and opportunities for landscape-scale restoration. Science 339, 526– 527 (2013). 23372001
- Clewell A. F. & Aronson J. Ecological Restoration: Principles, Values, and Structure of an Emerging Profession Island Press (2007).
- Suding K.. Committing to ecological restoration. Science 348, 638– 640 (2015). 25953995
- Bullock J. M., Aronson J., Newton A. C., Pywell R. F. & Rey Benayas J. M. Restoration of ecosystem services and biodiversity: conflicts and opportunities. Trends Ecol. Evol. 26, 541– 549 (2011). 21782273
- Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Biodiversity Synthesis Island Press (2005).
- Rey Benayas J. M., Newton A. C., Diaz A. & Bullock J. M. Enhancement of biodiversity and ecosystem services by ecological restoration: a meta-analysis. Science 325, 1121– 1124 (2009). 19644076
- Curran M., Hellweg S. & Beck J. Is there any empirical support for biodiversity offset policy? Ecol. Appl. 24, 617– 631 (2014). 24988764
- Dent D. H. & Wright S. J. The future of tropical species in secondary forests: a quantitative review. Biol. Conserv. 142, 2833– 2843 (2009).
- Gardner T. A.. The Value of primary, secondary, and plantation forests for a Neotropical herpetofauna. Conserv. Biol. 21, 775– 787 (2007). 17531055
- Gibson L.. Primary forests are irreplaceable for sustaining tropical biodiversity. Nature 478, 378– 381 (2011). 21918513
- Meli P., Rey Benayas J. M, Balvanera P. & Martínez Ramos M. Restoration enhances wetland biodiversity and ecosystem service supply, but results are context-dependent: a meta-analysis. PLoS ONE 9, e93507 (2014). 24743348 PMC3990551
- Bowen M. E., McAlpine C. A., House A. P. N. & Smith G. C. Regrowth forests on abandoned agricultural land: a review of their habitat values for recovering forest fauna. Biol. Conserv. 140, 273– 296 (2007).
- Leite M., de S., Tambosi L. R., Romitelli I. & Metzger J. P. Landscape ecology perspective in restoration projects for biodiversity conservation: a review. Nat. Conserv. 11, 108– 118 (2013).
- Cole L. E. S., Bhagwat S. A. & Willis K. J. Recovery and resilience of tropical forests after disturbance. Nat. Commun. 5, 3906 (2014). 24844297 PMC4354292
- Martin P. A., Newton A. C. & Bullock J. M. Carbon pools recover more quickly than plant biodiversity in tropical secondary forests. Proc. Biol. Sci. 280, 20132236 (2013). 24197410 PMC3826225
- Chazdon R. L. Second Growth: The Promise Of Tropical Forest Regeneration in an Age of Deforestation Univ. Chicago Press (2014).
- Chazdon R. L.. The potential for species conservation in tropical secondary forests. Conserv. Biol. 23, 1406– 1417 (2009). 20078641
- Pardini R., de Arruda Bueno A., Gardner T. A., Prado P. I. & Metzger J. P. Beyond the fragmentation threshold hypothesis: regime shifts in biodiversity across fragmented landscapes. PLoS ONE 5, e13666 (2010). 21060870 PMC2965145
- Wortley L., Hero J.-M. & Howes M. Evaluating ecological restoration success: a review of the literature. Restoration Ecol. 21, 537– 543 (2013).
- Houerou H. N. L. Restoration and rehabilitation of arid and semiarid Mediterranean ecosystems in North Africa and West Asia: a review. Arid. L. Res. Manag. 14, 3– 14 (2000).
- Jones H. P. & Schmitz O. J. Rapid recovery of damaged ecosystems. PLoS ONE 4, e5653 (2009). 19471645 PMC2680978
- Crawley M. J. The R Book Wiley (2007).
- Bolker B. M. Ecological Models and Data in R Princeton Univ. Press (2008).
Cited by
Sorted by citations
The biodiversity and ecosystem service contributions and trade-offs of forest restoration approaches
Hua, F., Bruijnzeel, L. A., Meli, P., Martin, P. A., Zhang, J., Nakagawa, S., Miao, X., Wang, W., McEvoy, C., Peña-Arancibia, J. L., et al. (2022) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abl4649 · Cited by 831 · see citing works
Global restoration opportunities in tropical rainforest landscapes
Brancalion, P. H. S., Niamir, A., Broadbent, E., Crouzeilles, R., Barros, F. S. M., Almeyda Zambrano, A. M., Baccini, A., Aronson, J., Goetz, S., Reid, J. L., et al. (2019) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.aav3223 · Cited by 493 · see citing works
Self-citationAcevedo‐Charry, O., & Aide, T. M. (2019) · Oikos · doi:10.1111/oik.06252 · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Arneth, A., Olsson, L., Cowie, A., Erb, K.-H., Hurlbert, M., Kurz, W. A., Mirzabaev, A., & Rounsevell, M. D. A. (2021) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-012320-054809 · Cited by 106 · see citing works
“A global meta-analysis found that forest restoration can increase biodiversity (mammals, birds, herpetofauna, invertebrates, and plants) by 15–84% and vegetation structure (biomass, cover, stem density, and height or amount of leaf litter) by 36–77% above degraded ecosystems—although values remained below those found…”
BackgroundHoenle, P. O., Donoso, D. A., Argoti, A., Staab, M., von Beeren, C., & Blüthgen, N. (2022) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1002/eap.2559 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
(2022) · Climate Change and Land · doi:10.1017/9781009157988.003 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
- Authors
- Crouzeilles, R., Curran, M., Ferreira, M. S., Lindenmayer, D. B., Grelle, C. E. V., & Rey Benayas, J. M.
- Affiliations
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (BR)
- ETH Zurich (CH)
- Australian National University (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Crouzeilles, Renato
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2016-05-19
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 11666-11666
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4874030
- OpenAlex
- W2398582793
- Cited by
- 652
- References
- 6
- Citations by year
- 2026: 87 · 2025: 81 · 2024: 62 · 2023: 69 · 2022: 64 · 2021: 71 · 2020: 89 · 2019: 59 · 2018: 40 · 2017: 25 · 2016: 4
- FWCI
- 4.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature Communications (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- e_Buah (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- ANU Open Research (Australian National University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- ANU Open Research (Australian National University) (submittedVersion)
- Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- ETH Zürich Research Collection (cc-by)
- Funders
- Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions, Australian Research Council
- Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior
- Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
- Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro
- Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Insect Science › Forest Ecology and Biodiversity Studies
- Keywords
- forest restoration, restoration success, ecological drivers, biodiversity recovery, vegetation structure, old-growth forest, secondary forest, selective logging, disturbance intensity, habitat fragmentation, landscape context, ecological succession, degraded ecosystems
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Biodiversity, Environmental Restoration and Remediation, Forests
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review