The serotonin theory of depression: a systematic umbrella review of the evidence
Open accessAbstract
The serotonin hypothesis of depression is still influential. We aimed to synthesise and evaluate evidence on whether depression is associated with lowered serotonin concentration or activity in a systematic umbrella review of the principal relevant areas of research. PubMed, EMBASE and PsycINFO were searched using terms appropriate to each area of research, from their inception until December 2020. Systematic reviews, meta-analyses and large data-set analyses in the following areas were identified: serotonin and serotonin metabolite, 5-HIAA, concentrations in body fluids; serotonin 5-HT 1A receptor binding; serotonin transporter (SERT) levels measured by imaging or at post-mortem; tryptophan depletion studies; SERT gene associations and SERT gene-environment interactions. Studies of depression associated with physical conditions and specific subtypes of depression (e.g. bipolar depression) were excluded. Two independent reviewers extracted the data and assessed the quality of included studies using the AMSTAR-2, an adapted AMSTAR-2, or the STREGA for a large genetic study. The certainty of study results was assessed using a modified version of the GRADE. We did not synthesise results of individual meta-analyses because they included overlapping studies. The review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020207203). 17 studies were included: 12 systematic reviews and meta-analyses, 1 collaborative meta-analysis, 1 meta-analysis of large cohort studies, 1 systematic review and narrative synthesis, 1 genetic association study and 1 umbrella review. Quality of reviews was variable with some genetic studies of high quality. Two meta-analyses of overlapping studies examining the serotonin metabolite, 5-HIAA, showed no association with depression (largest n = 1002). One meta-analysis of cohort studies of plasma serotonin showed no relationship with depression, and evidence that lowered serotonin concentration was associated with antidepressant use ( n = 1869). Two meta-analyses of overlapping studies examining the 5-HT 1A receptor (largest n = 561), and three meta-analyses of overlapping studies examining SERT binding (largest n = 1845) showed weak and inconsistent evidence of reduced binding in some areas, which would be consistent with increased synaptic availability of serotonin in people with depression, if this was the original, causal abnormaly. However, effects of prior antidepressant use were not reliably excluded. One meta-analysis of tryptophan depletion studies found no effect in most healthy volunteers ( n = 566), but weak evidence of an effect in those with a family history of depression ( n = 75). Another systematic review ( n = 342) and a sample of ten subsequent studies ( n = 407) found no effect in volunteers. No systematic review of tryptophan depletion studies has been performed since 2007. The two largest and highest quality studies of the SERT gene, one genetic association study ( n = 115,257) and one collaborative meta-analysis ( n = 43,165), revealed no evidence of an association with depression, or of an interaction between genotype, stress and depression. The main areas of serotonin research provide no consistent evidence of there being an association between serotonin and depression, and no support for the hypothesis that depression is caused by lowered serotonin activity or concentrations. Some evidence was consistent with the possibility that long-term antidepressant use reduces serotonin concentration.
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The serotonin deficit hypothesis postulates lowered serotonin in affective disorders and that SSRIs alleviate symptoms by normalizing serotonin levels.
“Another point of contention is the “serotonin deficit hypothesis” which postulates lowered serotonin in affective disorders and that SSRIs alleviate symptoms by normalizing serotonin levels (Moncrieff et al., 2023).”
From Revisiting the SSRI vs. placebo debate in the treatment of social anxiety disorder: the role of expectancy effects, neural responsivity, and monoamine transporters (2025) · cites this paper as Moncrieff et al., 2023
The Introduction describes the proposed link between lowered serotonin and depression and the assumption that SSRI effects implicate serotonin. The Results section on the serotonin transporter says SSRIs are thought to increase serotonin in the synaptic cleft. The paper does not extend the hypothesis to affective disorders generally or state that symptom relief occurs by normalizing serotonin levels; its Discussion says the serotonin theory of depression is not empirically substantiated. (LLM, conf=0.83)
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- Authors
- Moncrieff, J., Cooper, R. E., Stockmann, T., Amendola, S., Hengartner, M. P., & Horowitz, M. A.
- Affiliations
- North East London NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- University of Greenwich (GB)
- Sapienza University of Rome (IT)
- ZHAW Zurich University of Applied Sciences (CH)
- Corresponding author
- Moncrieff, Joanna
- ORCID
- Venue
- Molecular Psychiatry
- Published
- 2022-07-20
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 3243-3256
- ISSN
- 1359-4184 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-5578
- PMC
- PMC10618090
- OpenAlex
- W4285891880
- Cited by
- 960
- References
- 13
- Citations by year
- 2026: 180 · 2025: 226 · 2024: 256 · 2023: 228 · 2022: 68
- FWCI
- 27.77
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Molecular Psychiatry (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- FOCUS The Journal of Lifelong Learning in Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- Zürcher Hochschule für Angewandte Wissenschaften digital collection (Zurich University of Applied Sciences) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- IRIS Research product catalog (Sapienza University of Rome) (submittedVersion)
- Research Portal (King's College London) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- ZHAW Digital Collection
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cellular and Molecular Neuroscience › Neurotransmitter Receptor Influence on Behavior
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Treatment of Major Depression
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Biological Psychiatry › Tryptophan and brain disorders
- Keywords
- depression, serotonin, 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid, serotonin transporter, 5-HT1A receptor, tryptophan depletion, gene-environment interaction, antidepressant use, plasma serotonin, postmortem brain, serotonin metabolites, bipolar depression, genetic association studies, antidepressant response prediction, treatment-resistant depression, depression subtypes
- MeSH terms
- Antidepressive Agents, Depression, Humans, Hydroxyindoleacetic Acid, Serotonin, Tryptophan, Receptor, Serotonin, 5-HT1A, Serotonin Plasma Membrane Transport Proteins
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