The DOI matches its Crossref record; 4 of the 4 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Causes and implications of the unforeseen 2016 extreme yield loss in the breadbasket of France
Open accessAbstract
In 2016, France, one of the leading wheat-producing and wheat-exporting regions in the world suffered its most extreme yield loss in over half a century. Yet, yield forecasting systems failed to anticipate this event. We show that this unprecedented event is a new type of compound extreme with a conjunction of abnormally warm temperatures in late autumn and abnormally wet conditions in the following spring. A binomial logistic regression accounting for fall and spring conditions is able to capture key yield loss events since 1959. Based on climate projections, we show that the conditions that led to the 2016 wheat yield loss are projected to become more frequent in the future. The increased likelihood of such compound extreme events poses a challenge: farming systems and yield forecasting systems, which often support them, must adapt.
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Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production
Lesk, C., Rowhani, P., & Ramankutty, N. (2016) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature16467 · Cited by 3,883
Agroecology and the design of climate change-resilient farming systems
Altieri, M. A., Nicholls, C. I., Henao, A., & Lana, M. A. (2015) · Agronomy for Sustainable Development · doi:10.1007/s13593-015-0285-2 · Cited by 1,472
Cited by
Understanding and managing connected extreme events
Raymond, C., Horton, R. M., Zscheischler, J., Martius, O., AghaKouchak, A., Balch, J., Bowen, S. G., Camargo, S. J., Hess, J., Kornhuber, K., et al. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0790-4 · Cited by 708
Estimating resilience of crop production systems: From theory to practice
Zampieri, M., Weissteiner, C. J., Grizzetti, B., Toreti, A., van den Berg, M., & Dentener, F. (2020) · Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139378 · Cited by 113
Metadata
- Authors
- Ben-Ari, T., Boé, J., Ciais, P., Lecerf, R., Van der Velde, M., & Makowski, D.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2018-04-24
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1627-1627
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2800451846
- Cited by
- 219
- References
- 4
- FWCI
- 17.51
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Ben-Ari, T., Boé, J., Ciais, P., Lecerf, R., Van der Velde, M., & Makowski, D. (2018). Causes and implications of the unforeseen 2016 extreme yield loss in the breadbasket of France. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04087-x
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