The DOI matches its Crossref record; 73 of the 73 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The future of Southeast Asia’s forests
Open accessAbstract
While Southeast Asia’s forests play important roles in biodiversity conservation and global carbon (C) balance, the region is also a deforestation hotspot. Here, we consider the five shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) to portray a range of plausible futures for the region’s forests, employing a state-of-the-art land change modelling procedure and remotely sensed data. We find that by 2050 under the worst-case scenario, SSP 3 (regional rivalry/a rocky road), the region’s forests would shrink by 5.2 million ha. The region’s aboveground forest carbon stock (AFCS) would decrease by 790 Tg C, 21% of which would be due to old-growth forest loss. Conversely, under the best-case scenario, SSP 1 (sustainability/taking the green road), the region is projected to gain 19.6 million ha of forests and 1651 Tg C of AFCS. The choice of the pathway is thus critical for the future of the region’s forests and their ecosystem functions and services.
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Cited by
Hamel, P., & Tan, L. (2022) · Environmental Management · doi:10.1007/s00267-021-01467-w · Cited by 225
Metadata
- Authors
- Estoque, R. C., Ooba, M., Avitabile, V., Hijioka, Y., DasGupta, R., Togawa, T., & Murayama, Y.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2019-04-23
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1829-1829
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2941903067
- Cited by
- 257
- References
- 73
- FWCI
- 12.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Estoque, R. C., Ooba, M., Avitabile, V., Hijioka, Y., DasGupta, R., Togawa, T., & Murayama, Y. (2019). The future of Southeast Asia’s forests. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09646-4
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