The DOI matches its Crossref record; 36 of the 36 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Anthropogenic shift towards higher risk of flash drought over China
Open accessAbstract
Flash droughts refer to a type of droughts that have rapid intensification without sufficient early warning. To date, how will the flash drought risk change in a warming future climate remains unknown due to a diversity of flash drought definition, unclear role of anthropogenic fingerprints, and uncertain socioeconomic development. Here we propose a new method for explicitly characterizing flash drought events, and find that the exposure risk over China will increase by about 23% ± 11% during the middle of this century under a socioeconomic scenario with medium challenge. Optimal fingerprinting shows that anthropogenic climate change induced by the increased greenhouse gas concentrations accounts for 77% ± 26% of the upward trend of flash drought frequency, and population increase is also an important factor for enhancing the exposure risk of flash drought over southernmost humid regions. Our results suggest that the traditional drought-prone regions would expand given the human-induced intensification of flash drought risk.
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Cites
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Future climate risk from compound events
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Self-citationAnthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California
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Cited by
Agbehadji, I. E., Mabhaudhi, T., Botai, J., & Masinde, M. (2023) · Climate · doi:10.3390/cli11090188 · Cited by 48
Metadata
- Authors
- Yuan, X., Wang, L., Wu, P., Ji, P., Sheffield, J., & Zhang, M.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2019-10-11
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 4661-4661
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2980132210
- Cited by
- 486
- References
- 36
- FWCI
- 20.66
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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