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Exploring the trade-offs between electric heating policy and carbon mitigation in China
Open accessAbstract
China has enacted a series of policies since 2015 to substitute electricity for in-home combustion for rural residential heating. The Electric Heating Policy (EHP) has contributed to significant improvements in air quality, benefiting hundreds of millions of people. This shift, however, has resulted in a sharp increase in electric loads and associated carbon emissions. Here, we show that China’s EHP will greatly increase carbon emissions. We develop a theoretical model to quantify the carbon emissions from power generation and rural residential heating sectors. We found that in 2015, an additional 101.69–162.89 megatons of CO 2 could potentially be emitted if EHP was implemented in 45–55% of rural residents in Northern China. In 2020, the incremental carbon emission is expected to reach 130.03–197.87 megatons. Fortunately, the growth of carbon emission will slow down due to China’s urbanization progress. In 2030, the carbon emission increase induced by EHP will drop to 119.19–177.47 megatons. Finally, we conclude two kinds of practical pathways toward low-carbon electric heating, and provide techno-economic analyses.
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Cites
China’s environment in a globalizing world
Liu, J., & Diamond, J. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/4351179a · Cited by 1,643
Commitment failures are unlikely to undermine public support for the Paris agreement
Beiser-McGrath, L. F., & Bernauer, T. (2019) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-019-0414-z · Cited by 70
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Carbon emissions of 5G mobile networks in China
Li, T., Yu, L., Ma, Y., Duan, T., Huang, W., Zhou, Y., Jin, D., Li, Y., & Jiang, T. (2023) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-023-01206-5 · Cited by 158
Hou, X., Zhong, S., & Zhao, J. (2022) · Energies · doi:10.3390/en15031183 · Cited by 12
Metadata
- Authors
- Wang, J., Zhong, H., Yang, Z., Wang, M., Kammen, D. M., Liu, Z., Ma, Z., Xia, Q., & Kang, C.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2020-11-27
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 6054-6054
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3108191825
- Cited by
- 227
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 7.61
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Wang, J., Zhong, H., Yang, Z., Wang, M., Kammen, D. M., Liu, Z., Ma, Z., Xia, Q., & Kang, C. (2020). Exploring the trade-offs between electric heating policy and carbon mitigation in China. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19854-y
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