Forest response to rising CO2 drives zonally asymmetric rainfall change over tropical land
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A 'CO2 fertilization effect' could increase forest resilience to climatic variability.
“As result, a ‘CO2 fertilization effect’ could increase forest resilience to climatic variability53,54.”
From Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system (2024) · cites this paper as [53]
The Discussion (page unavailable) says tropical forests outside the Amazon are more likely to experience decreasing moisture stress as CO2 rises, which is consistent with a possible increase in resilience. But it does not establish greater resilience to climatic variability generally; it finds the opposite regional response in the Amazon. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIncreases in tree water-use efficiency may reduce forest transpiration and consequently atmospheric moisture flow across the Amazon, potentially reducing forest resilience in the southwest of the biome.
“Moreover, increases in tree water-use efficiency may reduce forest transpiration and consequently atmospheric moisture flow across the Amazon53,56, potentially reducing forest resilience in the southwest of the biome4,37.”
From Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system (2024) · cites this paper as [53]
The Local thermodynamic and circulation anomalies section says rising CO₂ can reduce stomatal conductance and forest transpiration. The Discussion also reports reduced moisture flow over the Amazon. But Differences between Amazon and Indonesian forests attributes the reduction in moisture convergence to non-local influences from Africa, rather than a direct consequence of reduced transpiration within the Amazon. The southwest-resilience clause has separate citations and is not judged here. (LLM, conf=0.83)
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Cites
Allen, C. D., Macalady, A. K., Chenchouni, H., Bachelet, D., McDowell, N., Vennetier, M., Kitzberger, T., Rigling, A., Breshears, D. D., Hogg, E. H. (., et al. (2010) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2009.09.001 · Cited by 7,763 · see citing works
Some simple solutions for heat‐induced tropical circulation
Gill, A. E. (1980) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49710644905 · Cited by 4,394 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 4
- Swann, A. L. S., Hoffman, F. M., Koven, C. D. & Randerson, J. T. Plant responses to increasing CO 2 reduce estimates of climate impacts on drought severity. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 113, 10019-10024 (2016).
- Mittermeier, R. A. et al. Wilderness and biodiversity conservation. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 100, 10309-10313 (2003).
- IPCC Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (eds Stocker, T. F. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013).
- Swann, A. L. S., Fung, I. Y. & Chiang, J. C. H. Mid-latitude afforestation shifts general circulation and tropical precipitation. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 109, 712-716 (2012).
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Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system
Flores, B. M., Montoya, E., Sakschewski, B., Nascimento, N., Staal, A., Betts, R. A., Levis, C., Lapola, D. M., Esquível-Muelbert, A., Jakovac, C., et al. (2024) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06970-0 · Cited by 607 · see citing works
- Authors
- Kooperman, G. J., Chen, Y., Hoffman, F. M., Koven, C. D., Lindsay, K., Pritchard, M. S., Swann, A. L. S., & Randerson, J. T.
- Affiliations
- University of Georgia (US)
- University of California, Irvine (US)
- Oak Ridge National Laboratory (US)
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US)
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- University of Washington (US)
- Corresponding author
- Kooperman, Gabriel J.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2018-04-27
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 434-440
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2801484022
- Cited by
- 138
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 15 · 2019: 24 · 2018: 8
- FWCI
- 8.87
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- escholarship.org
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (1553715, 1321745)
- U.S. Department of Energy
- Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation (GBMF3269)
- Office of Science
- Biological and Environmental Research
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Keywords
- elevated CO2, tropical precipitation, tropical forests, stomatal conductance, transpiration, plant physiological responses, atmospheric circulation, moisture, atmospheric stability, African forests, drought vulnerability, climate change projections
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