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High-dimensional characterization of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
The acute clinical manifestations of COVID-19 have been well characterized 1,2, but the post-acute sequelae of this disease have not been comprehensively described. Here we use the national healthcare databases of the US Department of Veterans Affairs to systematically and comprehensively identify 6-month incident sequelae-including diagnoses, medication use and laboratory abnormalities-in patients with COVID-19 who survived for at least 30 days after diagnosis. We show that beyond the first 30 days of illness, people with COVID-19 exhibit a higher risk of death and use of health resources. Our high-dimensional approach identifies incident sequelae in the respiratory system, as well as several other sequelae that include nervous system and neurocognitive disorders, mental health disorders, metabolic disorders, cardiovascular disorders, gastrointestinal disorders, malaise, fatigue, musculoskeletal pain and anaemia. We show increased incident use of several therapeutic agents-including pain medications (opioids and non-opioids) as well as antidepressant, anxiolytic, antihypertensive and oral hypoglycaemic agents-as well as evidence of laboratory abnormalities in several organ systems. Our analysis of an array of prespecified outcomes reveals a risk gradient that increases according to the severity of the acute COVID-19 infection (that is, whether patients were not hospitalized, hospitalized or admitted to intensive care). Our findings show that a substantial burden of health loss that spans pulmonary and several extrapulmonary organ systems is experienced by patients who survive after the acute phase of COVID-19. These results will help to inform health system planning and the development of multidisciplinary care strategies to reduce chronic health loss among individuals with COVID-19.
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“This is typically referred to as a post-covid syndrome, characterized by several symptoms affecting quality of life (1–5).”
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Robust Nonnegative Matrix Factorization With Self-Initiated Multigraph Contrastive Fusion
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Severe COVID-19 is a T cell immune dysregulatory disorder triggered by SARS-CoV-2
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Characteristics of animal models for COVID‐19
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“A US study from the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) conducted a comprehensive study of long COVID and reported that COVID-19 increased the risk of chronic kidney disease, and the chance was found to be higher who were severely ill [127].”
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Long COVID in people living with HIV
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“Although they continue to be identified, there are now several well established risk factors for Long COVID [14,18,26,45].”
BackgroundBikdeli, B., Khairani, C. D., Krishnathasan, D., Bejjani, A., Armero, A., Tristani, A., Davies, J., Porio, N. D., Assi, A. A., Nauffal, V., et al. (2023) · Thrombosis Research · doi:10.1016/j.thromres.2023.05.019 · Cited by 16
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Evolution of Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Post-COVID Patients
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“…have been studied under a variety of names including post-acute COVID-19 syndrome (Nalbandian et al., 2021) and post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (Al-Aly et al., 2021), among others (A clinical case definition of post COVID-19 condition by a Delphi consensus, 6 October 2021; Phillips &…”
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Assiri, A. M., Alamaa, T., Elenezi, F., Alsagheir, A. I., Alzubaidi, L. M. Y., TIeyjeh, I., Alhomod, A. S., Gaffas, E. M., & Amer, S. A. (2024) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.52827 · Cited by 18
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“Long COVID is a disabling syndrome where patients experience lethargy, chest pain, and neurological symptoms including autonomic instability and loss of clarity of thought (brain fog).(37) If long COVID is due to a dysfunctional immune response, this syndrome might be less likely to occur with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infec…”
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New Insights into SARS-CoV-2 and Cancer Cross-Talk: Does a Novel Oncogenesis Driver Emerge?
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Machine learning identifies long COVID patterns from electronic health records
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Metabolic Profile of Patients with Long COVID: A Cross-Sectional Study
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“Whether there is a causal association of inflammatory and infection-related factors with mental disorders frequently observed in COVID-19 patients (Al-Aly et al., 2021; Huang et al., 2021; Hüfner et al., 2022; Sahanic et al., 2023), needs further validation.”
BackgroundReview of Hyperpolarized Pulmonary Functional 129Xe MR for Long‐COVID
Wild, J. M., Gleeson, F. V., Svenningsen, S., Grist, J. T., Saunders, L. C., Collier, G. J., Sharma, M., Tcherner, S., Mozaffaripour, A., Matheson, A. M., et al. (2023) · Journal of Magnetic Resonance Imaging · doi:10.1002/jmri.28940 · Cited by 14
Increased blood pressure after nonsevere COVID-19
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InfluentialIncidence and Impact of Acute Pericarditis in Hospitalized Patients With COVID‐19
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“This study confirmed anxiety and depression were significant associated with insomnia among recovered COVID19 patients, which is in line with previous studies (10, 36, 37, 39, 40).”
ResultAshktorab, H., Challa, S. R., Singh, G., Nanduri, S., Ibrahim, M., Martirosyan, Z., Whitsell, P., Chirumamilla, L. G., Shayegh, N. A., Watson, K., et al. (2023) · Digestive Diseases and Sciences · doi:10.1007/s10620-023-08176-w · Cited by 14
“Al-Aly et al. also noted a significant burden of esophageal disorders, dysphagia, and abdominal pain, raising questions about the effect of COVID-19 on gastrointestinal motility [21].”
Rocha, R. P. S., Andrade, A. C. D. S., Melanda, F. N., & Muraro, A. P. (2024) · Cadernos de Saúde Pública · doi:10.1590/0102-311xen027423 · Cited by 25
“Survivors are at high risk of psychiatric outcomes, such as anxiety and depression 34 , with the frequency of depressive symptoms more than 12 weeks after SARS-CoV-2 infection ranging from 11% to 28% 35 .”
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Long-term Persistence of Neutralizing Antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 Following Infection
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Searching for Factors Influencing the Severity of the Symptoms of Long COVID
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“A range of sequelae remain after cure, including respiratory neurological disorders, neurocognitive disorders, mental health disorders, metabolic disorders, cardiovascular disorders, gastrointestinal disorders, and more.(35) Moreover, there are no specific drugs available to control the virus, and the vaccine’s effect…”
BackgroundGrubišić, B., Švitek, L., Ormanac, K., Sabo, D., Mihaljević, I., Bilić-Čurčić, I., & Kolarić, T. O. (2023) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms241411576 · Cited by 18
COVID Vaccination as a Strategy for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Fundora, M. P., Kamidani, S., & Oster, M. E. (2023) · Current Cardiology Reports · doi:10.1007/s11886-023-01950-2 · Cited by 13
“Compared to control groups, patients after COVID-19 were found to have over 12 times increased risk of lipid metabolism disorders, over 8 times higher risk of diabetes mellitus [27], even in previously healthy patients [34, 35].”
BackgroundResultInfluentialPulmonale Manifestationen bei Long-COVID
Sommer, N., & Schmeck, B. (2022) · Die Innere Medizin · doi:10.1007/s00108-022-01371-3 · Cited by 14
Multi-organ impairment and Long COVID: a 1-year prospective, longitudinal cohort studyPreprint
Dennis, A., Cuthbertson, D. J., Wootton, D. G., Crooks, M. G., Gabbay, M., Eichert, N., Mouchti, S., Pansini, M., Roca‐Fernández, A., Thomaides-Brears, H. B., et al. (2022) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2022.03.18.22272607 · Cited by 14
The need for a multi-level drug targeting strategy to curb the COVID-19 pandemic
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Transcriptomics and RNA-Based Therapeutics as Potential Approaches to Manage SARS-CoV-2 Infection
Arriaga-Canon, C., Contreras‐Espinosa, L., Rebollar‐Vega, R., Montiel-Manríquez, R., Cedro‐Tanda, A., García-Gordillo, J. A., Álvarez-Gómez, R. M., Jiménez-Trejo, F. J., Hernández, C. C., & Herrera, L. A. (2022) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms231911058 · Cited by 14
COVID-19: Insights into long-term manifestations and lockdown impacts
Hilbold, E. A., Bär, C., & Thum, T. (2023) · Journal of sport and health science/Journal of Sport and Health Science · doi:10.1016/j.jshs.2023.02.006 · Cited by 17
The Association of Endothelin-1 with Early and Long-Term Mortality in COVID-19
Turgunova, L., Mekhantseva, I. V., Laryushina, Y. M., Alina, A., Bacheva, I., Zhumadilova, Z., & Turmukhambetova, A. (2023) · Journal of Personalized Medicine · doi:10.3390/jpm13111558 · Cited by 13
Journey mapping long COVID: Agency and social support for long-hauling
Figueiredo, B., Sheahan, J., Luo, S., Bird, S. R., Wan, D. W. L., Xenos, S., Itsiopoulos, C., Jessup, R. L., & Zheng, Z. (2023) · Social Science & Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2023.116485 · Cited by 13
Lui, D. T. W., Xiong, X., Cheung, C., Lai, F. T. T., Li, X., Wan, E. Y. F., Chui, C. S. L., Chan, E. W., Cheng, F. W. T., Chung, M. S. H., et al. (2024) · Journal of Bone and Mineral Research · doi:10.1093/jbmr/zjae041 · Cited by 14
de Havenon, A., Callaghan, B. C., Xu, Y., Connor, M., Hill, C. E., Ney, J. P., & Esper, G. J. (2024) · Neurology · doi:10.1212/wnl.0000000000209248 · Cited by 14
Long COVID after SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy in the United States
Zang, C., Guth, D. J., Bruno, A. M., Xu, Z., Li, H., Ammar, N., Chew, R., Güthe, N., Hadley, E., Kaushal, R., et al. (2025) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-025-57849-9 · Cited by 12
Importance of diabetes management during the COVID-19 pandemic
Pettus, J., & SKOLNIK, N. (2021) · Postgraduate Medicine · doi:10.1080/00325481.2021.1978704 · Cited by 13
“survived the disease were approximately 39% more likely to have a diabetes diagnosis in the 6 months after infection [15].”
BackgroundKopanczyk, R., Kumar, N., & Papadimos, T. J. (2021) · Journal of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Anesthesia · doi:10.1053/j.jvca.2021.09.051 · Cited by 13
Scott, A., Chambers, R. B., Reimbaeva, M., Atwell, J. E., Baillon-Plot, N., Draica, F., & Tarallo, M. (2022) · Journal of Medical Economics · doi:10.1080/13696998.2022.2037917 · Cited by 13
Cost-effectiveness of casirivimab/imdevimab in patients with COVID-19 in the ambulatory setting
Jovanoski, N., Kuznik, A., Becker, U., Hussein, M. A., & Briggs, A. H. (2022) · Journal of Managed Care & Specialty Pharmacy · doi:10.18553/jmcp.2022.21469 · Cited by 15
It Ain’t Over 'Til It's Over: SARS CoV-2 and Post-infectious Gastrointestinal Dysmotility
Coles, M. J., Masood, M., Crowley, M., Hudgi, A. R., Okereke, C., & Klein, J. A. (2022) · Digestive Diseases and Sciences · doi:10.1007/s10620-022-07480-1 · Cited by 15
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Matta, J., Wiernik, E., Robineau, O., Severi, G., Touvier, M., Gouraud, C., Vedrines, C. O., Pitron, V., Ranque, B., Hoertel, N., et al. (2023) · Journal of Psychosomatic Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychores.2023.111326 · Cited by 13
Tam, C. C., Qiao, S., Garrett, C. M., Zhang, R., Aghaei, A., Aggarwal, A., Litwin, A. H., & Li, X. (2023) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0289413 · Cited by 14
“, an extra 8–22 times per 1,000 patients) than patients without a COVID-19 diagnosis [17].”
BackgroundCastro, V. M., Gunning, F. M., & Perlis, R. H. (2021) · medRxiv · doi:10.1101/2021.09.28.21264259 · Cited by 14
Baena, C. P., Joarder, T., Ahmed, N. U., & Chowdhury, R. (2022) · Maturitas · doi:10.1016/j.maturitas.2022.07.008 · Cited by 12
“102 following the infection, an excess risk of chronic respiratory failure, cardiac rhythm disorders, acute coronary syndromes, hypercoagulability, encephalopathy, dementia, memory difficulties, stroke, kidney injury, diabetes, and anemia have been reported (potentially increasing the burden on individuals and on the…”
BackgroundAre Patients with Covid-19 at Risk of Long-Term Chronic Kidney Disease?
Kemeç, Z., & Akgül, F. (2023) · Nigerian Journal of Clinical Practice · doi:10.4103/njcp.njcp_382_22 · Cited by 12
Bovine Serum Albumin-Protected Gold Nanoclusters for Sensing of SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies and Virus
Shen, Q., Hossain, F., Fang, C., Shu, T., Zhang, X., Law, J. L., Logan, M. R., Houghton, M., Tyrrell, D. L., Joyce, M., et al. (2023) · ACS Applied Materials & Interfaces · doi:10.1021/acsami.3c03705 · Cited by 12
Polysomnographic parameters in long-COVID chronic insomnia patients
Rouen, A., Taïeb, J., Caetano, G., Pitron, V., Elbaz, M., Salmon, D., & Léger, D. (2023) · Dialogues in Clinical Neuroscience · doi:10.1080/19585969.2023.2222714 · Cited by 12
“Symptoms most commonly reported are shortness of breath, fatigue, and cognitive dysfunction/brain fog (Al-Aly et al. 2021; Soriano et al. 2022).”
BackgroundLiontos, A., Biros, D., Kavakli, A., Matzaras, R., Tsiakas, I., Athanasiou, L., Samanidou, V., Konstantopoulou, R., Vagias, I., Panteli, A., et al. (2023) · Viruses · doi:10.3390/v15071468 · Cited by 12
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van Zon, S. K. R., Ballering, A., Brouwer, S., Rosmalen, J. G. M., Boezen, H. M., Mierau, J. O., Franke, H. L., Dekens, J. A. M., Deelen, P., Lanting, P., et al. (2023) · European Journal of Public Health · doi:10.1093/eurpub/ckad152 · Cited by 12
Nair, S., Nova‐Lamperti, E., Gonzalo Labarca, T., Kulasinghe, A., Short, K. R., Carrión, F., & Salomón, C. (2023) · Journal of Translational Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12967-023-04552-2 · Cited by 12
“…analysis of US electronic health database identifies that COVID-19 diagnosis is associated with increased incidence of hypertension, chest pain, coronary atherosclerosis and heart failure compared to healthy controls and changes in a graded manner according to the severity of the disease [127].”
BackgroundPrevalence and Risk Factors of Post-Acute Sequelae of Covid-19 Among United States Veterans
Stephens, M. D., Gazmararian, J. A., & Khakharia, A. (2023) · Annals of Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.annepidem.2023.11.006 · Cited by 12
Zhang, Y., Romieu-Hernandez, A., Boehmer, T. K., Azziz‐Baumgartner, E., Carton, T. W., Gundlapalli, A. V., Fearrington, J., Nagavedu, K., Dea, K., Moyneur, É., et al. (2024) · BMC Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1186/s12879-024-09076-8 · Cited by 12
“Studies have reported that 10–50% of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 develop new and persistent symptoms and conditions after the acute infection [1–4].”
BackgroundResultRocha, R. P. S., Andrade, A. C. D. S., Melanda, F. N., & Muraro, A. P. (2024) · Cadernos de Saúde Pública · doi:10.1590/0102-311xpt027423 · Cited by 12
Predicting Long COVID in the National COVID Cohort Collaborative Using Super Learner: Cohort Study
Butzin-Dozier, Z., Ji, Y., Li, H., Coyle, J., Shi, J., Phillips, R. V., Mertens, A., Pirracchio, R., van der Laan, M. J., Patel, R. C., et al. (2024) · JMIR Public Health and Surveillance · doi:10.2196/53322 · Cited by 16
“Postacute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC), also known as long COVID, is a loosely categorized consequence of acute infection that is related to dysfunction across multiple biological systems [2].”
InfluentialTimofeeva, A. M., Nikitin, A. O., & Nevinsky, G. A. (2024) · Non-Coding RNA · doi:10.3390/ncrna10050048 · Cited by 13
“Numerous respiratory, cardiovascular, autoimmune, neurological, and psychiatric diseases, along with their associated symptoms, have been documented in relation to long COVID [63–68].”
BackgroundInfection-associated chronic conditions: Why Long Covid is our best chance to untangle Osler’s web
Peluso, M. J., Hanson, M. R., & Deeks, S. G. (2024) · Science Translational Medicine · doi:10.1126/scitranslmed.ado2101 · Cited by 12
Morbidity of SARS-CoV-2 in the evolution to endemicity and in comparison with influenza
Bartha, I., Maher, C., Lavrenko, V. P., Chen, Y.-P., Tao, Q., di Iulio, J., Boundy, K., Kinter, E. T., Yeh, W. W., Corti, D., et al. (2024) · Communications Medicine · doi:10.1038/s43856-024-00633-5 · Cited by 12
“However, there is full awareness of the multiorgan consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection 1,26,27 .”
Ortega‐Martin, E., & Álvarez‐Gálvez, J. (2025) · Health Expectations · doi:10.1111/hex.70290 · Cited by 13
“Although many individuals fully recover, some manifest long ‐ lasting symptoms, even after mild cases [6 – 8].”
Clinical features of patients who visited the outpatient clinic for long COVID in Japan
Ohira, M., Sano, T., & Takao, M. (2022) · eNeurologicalSci · doi:10.1016/j.ensci.2022.100418 · Cited by 12
“The severity of acute COVID-19 was also reported to be related to long COVID in a large study in the United States [4], but some previous reports have not found this link [15,16].”
Ramasawmy, M., Mu, Y., Clutterbuck, D., Pantelic, M., Lip, G. Y. H., Feltz-Cornelis, C. M. V. D., Wootton, D. G., Williams, N. H., Montgomery, H., Cookson, R. M., et al. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0271978 · Cited by 12
Metadata
- Authors
- Al-Aly, Z., Xie, Y., & Bowe, B.
- Affiliations
- VA St. Louis Health Care System (US)
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2021-04-22
- Volume
- 594
- Issue
- 7862
- Pages
- 259-264
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- OpenAlex
- W3153493739
- Cited by
- 1,518
- References
- 46
- Citations by year
- 2026: 95 · 2025: 170 · 2024: 268 · 2023: 365 · 2022: 391 · 2021: 228
- FWCI
- 149.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs
- American Society of Nephrology
- McDonnell Center for Systems Neuroscience
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Clinical Neurology › Long-Term Effects of COVID-19
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Keywords
- post-COVID-19 sequelae, long COVID, COVID-19 mortality, health resource utilization, pulmonary sequelae, neurocognitive disorders, mental illness, metabolic disorders, cardiovascular disease, gastrointestinal diseases, fatigue, musculoskeletal pain, anemia, medication use, laboratory abnormalities, disease severity, intensive care unit admission, veterans
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 Drug Treatment, Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Influenza, Human, Male, Outpatients, Risk, Time Factors, United States, United States Department of Veterans Affairs, Cohort Studies, Databases, Factual, Electronic Health Records, Datasets as Topic
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