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High-dimensional characterization of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
The acute clinical manifestations of COVID-19 have been well characterized 1,2, but the post-acute sequelae of this disease have not been comprehensively described. Here we use the national healthcare databases of the US Department of Veterans Affairs to systematically and comprehensively identify 6-month incident sequelae-including diagnoses, medication use and laboratory abnormalities-in patients with COVID-19 who survived for at least 30 days after diagnosis. We show that beyond the first 30 days of illness, people with COVID-19 exhibit a higher risk of death and use of health resources. Our high-dimensional approach identifies incident sequelae in the respiratory system, as well as several other sequelae that include nervous system and neurocognitive disorders, mental health disorders, metabolic disorders, cardiovascular disorders, gastrointestinal disorders, malaise, fatigue, musculoskeletal pain and anaemia. We show increased incident use of several therapeutic agents-including pain medications (opioids and non-opioids) as well as antidepressant, anxiolytic, antihypertensive and oral hypoglycaemic agents-as well as evidence of laboratory abnormalities in several organ systems. Our analysis of an array of prespecified outcomes reveals a risk gradient that increases according to the severity of the acute COVID-19 infection (that is, whether patients were not hospitalized, hospitalized or admitted to intensive care). Our findings show that a substantial burden of health loss that spans pulmonary and several extrapulmonary organ systems is experienced by patients who survive after the acute phase of COVID-19. These results will help to inform health system planning and the development of multidisciplinary care strategies to reduce chronic health loss among individuals with COVID-19.
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“This is typically referred to as a post-covid syndrome, characterized by several symptoms affecting quality of life (1–5).”
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Golla, R., Vuyyuru, S. K., Kante, B., Kedia, S., & Ahuja, V. (2022) · Postgraduate Medical Journal · doi:10.1136/pmj-2022-141749 · Cited by 5
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InfluentialLong COVID: Where Are We in 2023?
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“Some studies also demonstrated the risk of developing hyperglycemia and diabetes after SARSCoV-2 infection [8,31].”
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Association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and new-onset atrial fibrillation
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SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 Variant Infection of Human Colon Epithelial Cells
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Neuropathological assessment of the olfactory bulb and tract in individuals with COVID-19
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“…disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome corona-virus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), spread rapidly throughout the world, culminating in a global pandemic that imposed substantial human suffering and loss of life as well as unprecedented social and economic consequences [6].”
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Acute and Long COVID Intestinal Changes in an Experimental Model of Coronavirus in Mice
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Global Challenges After a Global Challenge: Lessons Learned from the COVID-19 Pandemic
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Temporal Geospatial Analysis of COVID-19 Pre-Infection Determinants of Risk in South Carolina
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“The identified PIDRs may also shed light on the populations and regions vulnerable to PASC in South Carolina during post-COVID-19 care.”
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Is anticoagulant therapy necessary after hospitalization with COVID-19 pneumonia?
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Mental Impact of COVID-19 – Fear, Stress, Anxiety, Depression and Sequels
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“11,47 We were also able to compare temporal-informed phenotypes between survivors of severe COVID-19 vs survivors of nonsevere COVID-19, and we correlated several temporal-informed phenotypic associations with changes in vital signs or laboratory values from the pretesting to postacute periods.”
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Irritable bowel syndrome: current aspects of etiology, pathogenesis, clinic and treatment: A review
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ACE2, From the Kidney to SARS-CoV-2: Donald Seldin Award Lecture 2023
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Multilayer metabolomic integration reveals bioenergetic disruption in Long COVID
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“Long COVID is defined as a complex syndrome affecting a great number of bodily organs and systems, including general or musculoskeletal, cardiovascular, neuropsychiatric, renal, endocrine, gastrointestinal and dermatologic dimensions [7, 8].”
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“4,8 It should also be acknowledged that diagnoses such as coronary artery disease and peripheral arterial disease reflect long-standing atherosclerotic processes that develop over decades.”
InfluentialSpriņģe, M. L., Vaivode, K., Saksis, R., Vainšeļbauma, N. M., Ansone, L., Brīvība, M., Niedra, H., & Rovīte, V. (2026) · Journal of Translational Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12967-026-08081-6 · Cited by 7
“Both acute COVID-19 and Long-COVID symptoms manifest across multiple organ systems; notably, pulmonary and cardio-vascular complications pose a serious threat to the life and health span of patients [3, 4, 16].”
Havdal, L. B., Selvakumar, J. P., Berven, L. L., Stiansen-Sonerud, T., Zetterberg, H., Blennow, K., Holmøy, T., & Wyller, V. B. (2024) · Frontiers in Neurology · doi:10.3389/fneur.2024.1345787 · Cited by 4
“However, a substantial portion of individuals experience persistent post-infective symptoms (1–3).”
BackgroundRen, L., Liu, Y., Wang, Y., Wu, C., Guo, L., Chen, L., Wang, X., Xiao, Y., Huang, L., Zhong, J., et al. (2024) · 中国科学通报:英文版 · doi:10.1016/j.scib.2024.07.011 · Cited by 4
COVID-19 in Veterans: A Narrative Review
Chuang, Y.-C., Tsai, H.-W., Liu, S., Wu, M., & Liu, P. (2022) · Risk Management and Healthcare Policy · doi:10.2147/rmhp.s354814 · Cited by 4
“The extrapulmonary systems that are affected include the cardiovascular, hematologic, endocrine, dermatological, gastrointestinal, renal, and neurological systems, as well as mental health.(9)”
BackgroundEnfermedad renal en la COVID-19 persistente: un objetivo inmediato para Nefrología
de Francisco, A. M., & Fresnedo, G. F. (2022) · Nefrología · doi:10.1016/j.nefro.2022.04.004 · Cited by 4
“Un estudio de EEUU que utilizó registros de salud electrónicos de la Administración de Salud de Veteranos (VHA) para realizar una evaluación integral del Covid-19 prolongado encontró que el COVID-19 aumentó el riesgo de ERC y que este riesgo fue mayor entre quienes tenían una enfermedad grave [30]”
BackgroundStrengthening Asset-backed Pension Systems in a Post-COVID World
OECD (2022) · OECD eBooks · doi:10.1787/288cb3cf-en · Cited by 4
van Wijhe, M., Fogh, K., Ethelberg, S., Iversen, K. K., Nielsen, H. I., Østergaard, L. J., Andersen, B. S., Bundgaard, H., Jørgensen, C. S., Scharff, B. F. S. S., et al. (2022) · Open Forum Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1093/ofid/ofac679 · Cited by 4
“of initial infection and female sex were strongly related to long-COVID symptoms, but asthma and other respiratory conditions was only a risk factor for worsening of shortness of breath but not for other long-COVID symptoms [4, 6, 12, 14, 15, 26].”
Woo, M. S., Mayer, C., Brehm, T. T., Andersen, G., Weigel, A., Löwe, B., Lohse, A. W., Addo, M. M., Gerloff, C. P., Knobloch, J. K. ‐., et al. (2023) · Brain Communications · doi:10.1093/braincomms/fcad092 · Cited by 4
“tigue, headaches, shortness of breath, fever or cognitive impairment.(4) Currently, there is no clear consensus regarding the definition of post-acute sequelae.”
BackgroundAn alternative mechanism for skeletal muscle dysfunction in long-term post-viral lung disease
Martin, R. A., Keeler, S. P., Wu, K., Shearon, W. J., Patel, D., Li, J., Hoang, M., Hoffmann, C. M., Hughes, M. E., & Holtzman, M. J. (2023) · American Journal of Physiology-Lung Cellular and Molecular Physiology · doi:10.1152/ajplung.00338.2022 · Cited by 6
Patterns of Opioid and Non-Opioid Analgesic Consumption in Patients with Post-COVID-19 Conditions
Carrasco‐Garrido, P., Palacios‐Ceña, D., Hernández‐Barrera, V., Jiménez‐Trujillo, I., Gallardo-Pino, C., & Fernández‐de‐las‐Peñas, C. (2023) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm12206586 · Cited by 4
“Al-Aly et al., in an investigation into the characterization of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19, identified incident sequelae such as musculoskeletal pain and showed an increased incident use of several therapeutic approaches, including pain medications (opioids and non-opioids) [47].”
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“In a large veterans ’ study from the U.S. in 2021, Al-Aly et al. [101] showed that even 30 days after the initial diagnosis of COVID-19, there was an increased likelihood that renal function was still impaired [101].”
BackgroundTyrkalska, S. D., Pérez-Sánz, F., Franco‐Martínez, L., Rubio, C. P., Tvarijonaviciute, A., Martínez-Subiela, S., Hernández, M. J. M., González-Aumatell, A., Carreras‐Abad, C., Marsal, È. D., et al. (2024) · Frontiers in Cellular and Infection Microbiology · doi:10.3389/fcimb.2024.1396263 · Cited by 4
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“However, the post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection—referred to as long COVID—include several long-term neurologic disorders [4,5].”
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Blood matters: the hematological signatures of Coronavirus infection
Toro, A. R., Arévalo, A. P., Pereira-Gómez, M., Sabater, A. A., Zizzi, E. A., Perbolianachis, P., Pascual, G., Lage-Vickers, S., Pórfido, J. L., Achinelli, I., et al. (2024) · Cell Death and Disease · doi:10.1038/s41419-024-07247-8 · Cited by 4
“A growing body of evidence links abnormal RBC dynamics to COVID-19, with several studies suggesting that the virus may induce hemolysis [5, 28 – 30].”
Lessons Learned From Characterizing Long COVID Among US Medicare Beneficiaries
Lu, Y., Lindaas, A., Izurieta, H. S., Cozen, M. L., Menis, M. D., Shi, X., Steele, W. R., Wernecke, M., Chillarige, Y., Kelman, J. A., et al. (2025) · Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety · doi:10.1002/pds.70101 · Cited by 4
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“…the high temporalresolutionofthedataanditscoverageoflongperiodsoftimepermitadetailedanalysisofwearabledatasignalsinallphasesofaSARS-CoV-2 infection,i.e.theacutephase(fromtheweekofthepositiveSARS-CoV-2test tofourweeksafterthetest),thesub-acutephase(fourweeksto12weeksafter…”
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COVID-19 Pandemic–Related Exposures and Cognitive Function in Middle-Aged Women
Wang, S., Menor, A., Chibnik, L. B., Kang, J. H., Vyas, C. M., Blacker, D., Kubzansky, L. D., Koenen, K. C., & Roberts, A. L. (2025) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.5532 · Cited by 5
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Functional Outcomes of Severe COVID-19 Patients After a Post-Acute Care Hospitalization
Ramos, J. G. R., Laporte, L. R., de Souza, F. R., & de Andrade, L. F. (2021) · Journal of the American Medical Directors Association · doi:10.1016/j.jamda.2021.09.007 · Cited by 4
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Organbezogene Folgeerscheinungen von COVID‑19 bei Erwachsenen
Hennigs, J. K., Oqueka, T., Harbaum, L., & Klose, H. F. E. (2022) · Bundesgesundheitsblatt - Gesundheitsforschung - Gesundheitsschutz · doi:10.1007/s00103-022-03513-2 · Cited by 4
Post-COVID pain syndrome: a review of international observations
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The comeback effect: How happy are people who have recovered from a COVID-19 infection?
Dahlén, M., Thorbjørnsen, H., Wågert, P. V. H., Hellström, C., Kerstis, B., Lindberg, D., Stier, J., & Elvén, M. (2022) · International Journal of Wellbeing · doi:10.5502/ijw.v12i2.2019 · Cited by 4
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“The symptoms were including loss of smell and taste, and some people may later struggle with headaches, fatigue, weakness and confusion(3,5).”
BackgroundPostcovid Syndrome – The New Reality
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Critical role of diagnostic SARS-CoV-2 T cell assays for immunodeficient patients
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“Le RR de décès augmentait progressivement avec l ́âge pour atteindre 74,5 (IC à 95 % [60,8-91,4]) chez les sujets âgés de 75 ans et plus par rapport à ceux âgés entre 40 et 45 ans.”
Posttraumatic Stress Symptoms Among COVID-19 Survivors After Hospitalization
Sobczak, E., Swafford, E. P., Samano, D., Bass, D., Ghamasaee, P., Kottapally, M., Merenda, A., O’Phelan, K. H., Romano, J. G., Sacco, R. L., et al. (2023) · Journal of Neuropsychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.neuropsych.20220126 · Cited by 4
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“…of 1832 adults, the risk of symptoms > 28 days after SARS-CoV-2 symptoms was higher in unvaccinated at the time of infection [23] while Al-Aly et al. showed that two doses of COVID-19 vaccines would be more effective in reducing post-COVID-19 symptoms with certain vaccines better than others [24].”
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“%) experience symptom resolution within a month [6, 10].”
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The enduring effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on diabetes
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“To differentiate the first subgroup would additionally make sense in terms of known risk factors for LC, which overlap largely with risk factors for severe acute disease progression [10].”
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“However, research has shown that humans are at an increased risk of acute kidney injury and chronic disease following SARS-CoV-2 infection, even if they were not hospitalised [56], and this cat’s renal disease might therefore also be related to SARS-CoV-2 infection.”
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“Even beyond the first 30 days after diagnosis of COVID-19, unfavorable renal symptoms such as urinary tract infections, AKI, and CKD occurred in individuals who required hospitalization [6].”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Al-Aly, Z., Xie, Y., & Bowe, B.
- Affiliations
- VA St. Louis Health Care System (US)
- Venue
- Nature
- Published
- 2021-04-22
- Volume
- 594
- Issue
- 7862
- Pages
- 259-264
- ISSN
- 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-4687
- OpenAlex
- W3153493739
- Cited by
- 1,518
- References
- 46
- Citations by year
- 2026: 95 · 2025: 170 · 2024: 268 · 2023: 365 · 2022: 391 · 2021: 228
- FWCI
- 149.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature (publishedVersion)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs
- American Society of Nephrology
- McDonnell Center for Systems Neuroscience
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Clinical Neurology › Long-Term Effects of COVID-19
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Keywords
- post-COVID-19 sequelae, long COVID, COVID-19 mortality, health resource utilization, pulmonary sequelae, neurocognitive disorders, mental illness, metabolic disorders, cardiovascular disease, gastrointestinal diseases, fatigue, musculoskeletal pain, anemia, medication use, laboratory abnormalities, disease severity, intensive care unit admission, veterans
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 Drug Treatment, Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome, Female, Hospitalization, Humans, Influenza, Human, Male, Outpatients, Risk, Time Factors, United States, United States Department of Veterans Affairs, Cohort Studies, Databases, Factual, Electronic Health Records, Datasets as Topic
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