Impact of analytical and biological variations on classification of diabetes using fasting plasma glucose, oral glucose tolerance test and HbA1c
Open accessAbstract
Historically, diabetes is diagnosed by measuring fasting (FPG) and two-hour post oral glucose load (OGTT) plasma concentration and interpreting it against recommended clinical thresholds of the patient. More recently, glycated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) has been included as a diagnostic criterion. Within-individual biological variation (CVi), analytical variation (CVa) and analytical bias of a test can impact on the accuracy and reproducibility of the classification of a disease. A test with large biological and analytical variation increases the likelihood of erroneous classification of the underlying disease state of a patient. Through numerical simulations based on the laboratory results generated from a large population health survey, we examined the impact of CVi, CVa and bias on the classification of diabetes using fasting plasma glucose (FPG), oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and HbA1c. From the results of the simulations, HbA1c has comparable performance to FPG and is better than OGTT in classifying subjects with diabetes, particularly when laboratory methods with smaller CVa are used. The use of the average of the results of the repeat laboratory tests has the effect of ameliorating the combined (analytical and biological) variation. The averaged result improves the consistency of the disease classification.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Analytical errors can contribute to erroneous laboratory results, which can lead to inappropriate disease classification and clinical decision making.
“Analytical errors can contribute to erroneous laboratory results, which, in turn, can lead to inappropriate disease classification and clinical decision making.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Standards of Medical Care in Diabetes
Power, D. V. (2006) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/diacare.29.02.06.dc05-1593 · Cited by 8,672 · see citing works
Current databases on biological variation: pros, cons and progress
C. Ricós, V. A. (1999) · Scandinavian Journal of Clinical and Laboratory Investigation · doi:10.1080/00365519950185229 · Cited by 987 · see citing works
Generation and Application of Data on Biological Variation in Clinical Chemistry
Fraser, G. G., & Harris, E. K. (1989) · Critical Reviews in Clinical Laboratory Sciences · doi:10.3109/10408368909106595 · Cited by 868 · see citing works
A1c versus glucose testing: a comparison
Sacks, D. B. (2011) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc10-1546 · Cited by 461 · see citing works
Sacks, D. B., Arnold, M. A., Bakris, G. L., Bruns, D. E., Horvath, A. R., Kirkman, M. S., Lernmark, Å., Metzger, B. E., & Nathan, D. M. (2011) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc11-9997 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
Glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) for the diagnosis of diabetes mellitus—Practical implications
Colagiuri, S. (2011) · Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice · doi:10.1016/j.diabres.2011.06.025 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
(2015) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc16-s001 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
College of American Pathologists
Gressner, A. M., & Gressner, O. A. (2019) · Springer Reference Medizin · doi:10.1007/978-3-662-48986-4_768 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Repeating Tests: Different Roles in Research Studies and Clinical Medicine
Monach, P. A. (2012) · Biomarkers in Medicine · doi:10.2217/bmm.12.57 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Loh, T. P., Ma, S., Heng, D., & Khoo, C. M. (2016) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0162102 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Van Uytfanghe, K., Ehrenkranz, J., Halsall, D., Hoff, K., Loh, T. P., Spencer, C. A., Köhrle, J., & ATA Thyroid Function Tests Writing Group (2023) · Thyroid® · doi:10.1089/thy.2023.0169 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
“94 To prevent inaccurate measurements affecting clinical decision making, analytical performance specifications (APSs) have been established to safeguard assay performance.”
BackgroundSelf-citationBiological variation: Understanding why it is so important?
Badrick, T. C. (2021) · Practical Laboratory Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.plabm.2020.e00199 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Lim, W., Ma, S., Heng, D., Tai, E. S., Khoo, C. M., & Loh, T. P. (2018) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-018-29998-z · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Self-citationDefinition and Classification of Diabetes and Prediabetes and Emerging Data on Phenotypes
Colagiuri, S. (2021) · Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinics of North America · doi:10.1016/j.ecl.2021.06.004 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Gebremariam, L. W., Chiang, C., Yatsuya, H., Hilawe, E. H., Kahsay, A. B., Godefay, H., Abraham, L., Hirakawa, Y., Iso, H., & Aoyama, A. (2018) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-018-27519-6 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Smith, A. F., Shinkins, B., Hall, P. S., Hulme, C. T., & Messenger, M. (2019) · Clinical Chemistry · doi:10.1373/clinchem.2018.300954 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Zhu, K., Meng, Z., Tian, Y., Gu, R. C., Xu, Z.-K., Fang, H., Liu, W., Huang, W., Ding, G., & Xiao, W. (2021) · Journal of Ethnopharmacology · doi:10.1016/j.jep.2021.113991 · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Thewjitcharoen, Y., Elizabeth, A. J., Butadej, S., Nakasatien, S., Chotwanvirat, P., Wanothayaroj, E., Krittiyawong, S., Himathongkam, T., & Himathongkam, T. (2019) · BMC Endocrine Disorders · doi:10.1186/s12902-019-0339-6 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Diabetes detection in women with gestational diabetes and polycystic ovarian syndrome
Hanna, F., Wu, P., Heald, A. H., & Fryer, A. A. (2023) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj-2022-071675 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Bell, K., Doust, J. A., McGeechan, K., Horvath, A. R., Barratt, A. L., Hayen, A. D., Semsarian, C., & Irwig, L. (2020) · Journal of Hypertension · doi:10.1097/hjh.0000000000002614 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
Outcome-based analytical performance specifications: current status and future challenges
Horvath, A. R., Bell, K., Ceriotti, F., Jones, G. R. D., Loh, T. P., Lord, S. J., & Sandberg, S. (2024) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2024-0125 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Self-citationLot-to-lot reagent verification: challenges and possible solutions
Loh, T. P., Sandberg, S., & Horvath, A. R. (2022) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2022-0092 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Self-citationFallstricke bei der Diabetesdiagnostik: Wird zu lax mit Laborwerten umgegangen?
Landgraf, R., Nauck, M. A., Freckmann, G., Müller, U., Heinemann, L., Kellerer, M., & Müller‐Wieland, D. (2018) · DMW - Deutsche Medizinische Wochenschrift · doi:10.1055/a-0673-2156 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Cremona, A., O’Gorman, C. S., Ismail, K. I., Hayes, K., Donnelly, A., Hamilton, J. K., & Cotter, A. M. (2021) · Clinical Nutrition ESPEN · doi:10.1016/j.clnesp.2021.08.002 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Setting analytical performance specifications using HbA1c as a model measurand
Loh, T. P., Smith, A. F., Bell, K., Lord, S. J., Ceriotti, F., Jones, G. R. D., Bossuyt, P. M., Sandberg, S., & Horvath, A. R. (2021) · Clinica Chimica Acta · doi:10.1016/j.cca.2021.10.016 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Self-citationWang, T., Liu, C., Shu, S., Zhang, Q., & Olatunji, O. J. (2022) · Frontiers in Bioscience-Landmark · doi:10.31083/j.fbl2707206 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Goyal, A., Gupta, S., Gupta, Y., & Tandon, N. (2020) · Diabetes & Metabolic Syndrome Clinical Research & Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.dsx.2020.05.039 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Sitasuwan, T., & Lertwattanarak, R. (2020) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-041269 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Çubukçu, H. C. (2025) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2024-1195 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Continuous glucose monitoring as a tool in early-stage type 1 diabetes
Carr, A. L. J., Sutton, H., Agesen, R. M., Bonifacio, E., Bosi, E., Gillard, P., Swaby, R., Vercauteren, J., & Besser, R. E. J. (2026) · Diabetologia · doi:10.1007/s00125-026-06707-4 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Precision Verification: Effect of Experiment Design on False Acceptance and False Rejection Rates
Lim, C. Y., Markus, C., & Loh, T. P. (2021) · American Journal of Clinical Pathology · doi:10.1093/ajcp/aqab049 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Self-citationDias, A. C., Jácomo, R. H., Nery, L. F. A., & Naves, L. A. (2023) · Clinica Chimica Acta · doi:10.1016/j.cca.2023.117688 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Ajayi, E. I. O., Modo, E. U., Kiakubu, O. T., & Molehin, O. R. (2019) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-813822-9.00035-7 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
White, S., Gong, H., Zhu, L., Doust, J. A., Loh, T. P., Lord, S. J., Horvath, A. R., McGeechan, K., & Bell, K. (2021) · Journal of Clinical Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.12.025 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationDaultrey, H. E., Oliver, N. S., Wright, J. E., Levett, T. J., & Chakera, A. J. (2024) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc24-0225 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Electrochemical biosensors for enhanced detection of diabetes mellitus
Zhi, Y., Xie, S., & Wei, B. (2025) · Clinica Chimica Acta · doi:10.1016/j.cca.2025.120221 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Fallstricke bei der Diabetesdiagnostik: Wird zu lax mit Laborwerten umgegangen?
Landgraf, R., Nauck, M. A., Freckmann, G., Müller, U., Heinemann, L., Kellerer, M., & Müller‐Wieland, D. (2018) · Diabetologie und Stoffwechsel · doi:10.1055/a-0762-8219 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Application of Clinical Blood Metabogram to Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
Lokhov, P. G., Balashova, E. E., Trifonova, O. P., Maslov, D. L., Shestakova, E. A., Shestakova, M. V., & Dedov, I. I. (2024) · Metabolites · doi:10.3390/metabo14030168 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Özcürümez, M. K., Weninger, J., Coşkun, A., Arzideh, F., Streichert, T., Torge, A., Sowa, J., Quast, C., Canbay, A. E., Plebani, M., et al. (2024) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2024-0970 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Impact of heterozygous hemoglobin E on six commercial methods for hemoglobin A1c measurement
Yong, S., Liu, H., Lum, C. L. T., Liu, Q., Sim, S., Chay, F. F. M., Cheng, W. L., Neo, S. F., Chew, S., Ong, L., et al. (2021) · PeerJ Analytical Chemistry · doi:10.7717/peerj-achem.9 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationGlucose Tolerance versus HbA1c Results as Depictive of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus
Khan, S. G., Manzoor, R., Baig, A., Sobia, F., Fazal, N., & Niazi, N. K. (2019) · Journal of College of Physicians And Surgeons Pakistan · doi:10.29271/jcpsp.2019.04.333 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Influence of analytical bias and imprecision on the clinical performance of reference intervals
Tan, R. Z., Markus, C., Vasikaran, S. D., & Loh, T. P. (2025) · Pathology · doi:10.1016/j.pathol.2024.10.009 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationGarcia, D., Ruffolo, A., Mooradally, A. W., Zhou, A., Lazaridis, E. N., & Laurelli, B. (2025) · Journal of Comparative Effectiveness Research · doi:10.57264/cer-2024-0208 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Research progress, challenges and functional applications of hemoglobin glycosylation modification
Wang, W., Hu, S., Chen, Y., Zhang, J., & Cheng, J. (2025) · Food Wellness · doi:10.1016/j.foodw.2025.100020 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
An improved approach to modelling patient reclassification: HbA 1c as an example
Farrell, C.-J. L., Loh, T. P., Badrick, T. C., Jones, G. R. D., & Horvath, A. R. (2026) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2026-0259 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationBell, K., Lord, S. J., Leeflang, M., Horvath, A. R., & Bossuyt, P. M. (2026) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2026-0643 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Nanditha, A., Susairaj, P., Raghavan, A., Vinitha, R., Satheesh, K., Nair, D. R., Jeyaraj, S., Snehalatha, C., & Ramachandran, A. (2022) · Primary care diabetes · doi:10.1016/j.pcd.2022.02.004 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Choy, K. W. (2020) · Internal Medicine Journal · doi:10.1111/imj.14902 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Shirinzadeh, M. (2020) · MacSphere (McMaster University) · doi:10.71548/17855
Lyon, O. A. S., & Inman, M. (2023) · The Journal of Applied Laboratory Medicine · doi:10.1093/jalm/jfac103
Glycemic discordance: How to match glycemia with glycemic indices?
Subramaniam, K. (2023) · IJEM Case Reports · doi:10.4103/ijemcr.ijemcr_5_23
Yurt, E. F., Alpdemir, M., & Şeneş, M. (2026) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2026-0388
Jones, G. R. D. (2026) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2026-0444
Model 1b analytical performance specifications – report on the Prague 2025 workshop
Horvath, A. R., Sandberg, S., Thelen, M., Panteghini, M., Çubukçu, H. C., Rotgers, E., Kilpatrick, E., Bell, K., Jones, G. R. D., & Theodorsson, E. (2026) · Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) · doi:10.1515/cclm-2026-1024
Gürpınar, A. B., Karadağ, C., & Katar, M. (2026) · Clinica Chimica Acta · doi:10.1016/j.cca.2026.122868
Kim, Z., Ha, E. Y., & Park, J. (2026) · Biomolecules · doi:10.3390/biom16101472
- Authors
- Chai, J. H., Ma, S., Heng, D., Yoong, J., Lim, W.-Y., Toh, S.-A., & Loh, T. P.
- Affiliations
- National University of Singapore (SG)
- Ministry of Health (SG)
- Agency for Integrated Care (SG)
- National University Hospital (SG)
- Corresponding author
- Loh, Tze Ping
- Venue
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2017-10-20
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 13721-13721
- ISSN
- 2045-2322 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC5651837
- OpenAlex
- W2766199104
- Cited by
- 50
- References
- 11
- Citations by year
- 2026: 8 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 12 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 4
- FWCI
- 2.63
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Scientific Reports (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- National University of Singapore (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Clinical Laboratory Practices and Quality Control
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Keywords
- diabetes classification, fasting blood glucose, oral glucose tolerance test, HbA1c, analytical variability, biological variation, analytical bias, diagnostic accuracy, numerical simulation
- MeSH terms
- Biological Variation, Individual, Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Blood Glucose, Computer Simulation, Cross-Sectional Studies, Diabetes Mellitus, Diagnostic Errors, Fasting, Female, Glucose Tolerance Test, Glycated Hemoglobin, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Theoretical, Reproducibility of Results, Young Adult
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review