Cited by 9Global Cancer Incidence and ScreeningCancer Risks and FactorsColorectal Cancer Screening and Detection

Cancer incidence trends in New York State and associations with common population-level exposures 2010–2018: an ecological study

Open access
Yuan, Haokun, Kehm, Rebecca D., Daaboul, Josephine M., Lloyd, Susan E., McDonald, Jasmine A., Mu, Lina, Tehranifar, Parisa, Zhang, Kai +2 more·2024·Scientific Reports

Abstract

The impact of common environmental exposures in combinations with socioeconomic and lifestyle factors on cancer development, particularly for young adults, remains understudied. Here, we leveraged environmental and cancer incidence data collected in New York State at the county level to examine the association between 31 exposures and 10 common cancers (i.e., lung and bronchus, thyroid, colorectal, kidney and renal pelvis, melanoma, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and leukemia for both sexes; corpus uteri and female breast cancer; prostate cancer), for three age groups (25–49, 50–69, and 70–84 year-olds). For each cancer, we stratified by age group and sex, and applied regression models to examine the associations with multiple exposures simultaneously. The models included 642,013 incident cancer cases during 2010–2018 and found risk factors consistent with previous reports (e.g., smoking and physical inactivity). Models also found positive associations between ambient air pollutants (ozone and PM 2.5) and prostate cancer, female breast cancer, and melanoma of the skin across multiple population strata. Additionally, the models were able to better explain the variation in cancer incidence data among 25–49 year-olds than the two older age groups. These findings support the impact of common environmental exposures on cancer development, particularly for younger age groups.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/s41598-024-56634-w

Cites

2 of 2 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Yuan et al. reported a significant association between PM2.5, black carbon, and NO3- and melanoma in different age groups of men in New York, USA.

    “the study by Yuan et al. [83] reported a significant association between PM2.5, black carbon, and NO3- and melanoma in different age groups of men in New York, USA.”

    From Air Pollution and Skin Diseases: A Systematic Review of Epidemiological Evidence (2026) · cites this paper as [83]

    The Results section reports statistically significant associations between PM2.5-related variables and melanoma of the skin in men, and describes an association with the PM2.5 mineral-dust component across age groups. The passages available from our copy do not establish the claimed melanoma associations for black carbon or NO3−; Table 1 instead lists black carbon (BC) in a model for thyroid cancer in men aged 25–49. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 59

  1. [3]Wu S Substantial contribution of extrinsic risk factors to cancer development Nature 2016 529 7584 43 47 10.1038/nature16166 26675728 PMC4836858 · DOI
  2. [4]Sung H Emerging cancer trends among young adults in the USA: Analysis of a population-based cancer registry Lancet Public Health 2019 4 3 E137 E147 10.1016/S2468-2667(18)30267-6 30733056 · DOI · Paper page
  3. [5]Ugai T Is early-onset cancer an emerging global epidemic? Current evidence and future implications Nat. Rev. Clin. Oncol. 2022 19 10 656 673 10.1038/s41571-022-00672-8 36068272 PMC9509459 · DOI
  4. [6]Kehm RD 40 Years of change in age- and stage-specific cancer incidence rates in US women and men JNCI Cancer Spectr. 2019 3 3 038 10.1093/jncics/pkz038 PMC6686848 31414075 · DOI
  5. [7]Yang W Kehm RD Terry MB Survival model methods for analyses of cancer incidence trends in young adults Stat. Med. 2020 39 7 1011 1024 10.1002/sim.8458 32022306 PMC7288576 · DOI
  6. [8]Bachand A Meta-analyses of occupational exposure as a painter and lung and bladder cancer morbidity and mortality 1950–2008 Crit. Rev. Toxicol. 2010 40 2 101 125 10.3109/10408440903352826 20085479 · DOI
  7. [9]Navarro KM Wildland firefighter smoke exposure and risk of lung cancer and cardiovascular disease mortality Environ. Res. 2019 173 462 468 10.1016/j.envres.2019.03.060 30981117 · DOI
  8. [10]Lee DJ Cancer risk among career male and female Florida firefighters: Evidence from the Florida Firefighter Cancer Registry (1981–2014) Am. J. Ind. Med. 2020 63 4 285 299 10.1002/ajim.23086 31930542 · DOI
  9. [11]Demers PA Carcinogenicity of occupational exposure as a firefighter Lancet Oncol. 2022 23 8 985 986 10.1016/S1470-2045(22)00390-4 35780778 · DOI
  10. [12]Ammenheuser MM Frequencies of hprt mutant lymphocytes in smokers, non-smokers, and former smokers Environ. Mol. Mutagen 1997 30 2 131 138 10.1002/(SICI)1098-2280(1997)30:2<131::AID-EM5>3.0.CO;2-Q 9329637 · DOI
  11. [13]Cole J Skopek TR International commission for protection against environmental mutagens and carcinogens. Working paper no. 3. Somatic mutant frequency mutation rates and mutational spectra in the human population in vivo Mutat. Res. 1994 304 1 33 105 10.1016/0027-5107(94)90320-4 7506357 · DOI
  12. [15]Backer LC Household exposures to drinking water disinfection by-products: Whole blood trihalomethane levels J. Expos. Sci. Environ. Epidemiol. 2000 10 4 321 326 10.1038/sj.jea.7500098 10981726 · DOI
  13. [16]Zeinomar N Environmental exposures and breast cancer risk in the context of underlying susceptibility: A systematic review of the epidemiological literature Environ. Res. 2020 187 109346 10.1016/j.envres.2020.109346 32445942 PMC7314105 · DOI
  14. [17]Lemarchand C Breast cancer risk in relation to ambient concentrations of nitrogen dioxide and particulate matter: Results of a population-based case-control study corrected for potential selection bias (the CECILE study) Environ. Int. 2021 155 106604 10.1016/j.envint.2021.106604 34030067 · DOI
  15. [18]Ćwieląg-Drabek M Could inequalities of prostate cancer occurrence be explained by environmental risk factors?: Małgorzata Ćwieląg-Drabek Eur. J. Public Health 2017 27 suppl_3 ckx186 10.1093/eurpub/ckx186.174 · DOI
  16. [19]Huang F Relationship between exposure to PM2.5 and lung cancer incidence and mortality: A meta-analysis Oncotarget 2017 8 26 43322 43331 10.18632/oncotarget.17313 28487493 PMC5522148 · DOI
  17. [20]Hamra GB Lung cancer and exposure to nitrogen dioxide and traffic: A systematic review and meta-analysis Environ. Health Perspect. 2015 123 11 1107 1112 10.1289/ehp.1408882 25870974 PMC4629738 · DOI
  18. [21]Parent ME Traffic-related air pollution and prostate cancer risk: a case-control study in Montreal, Canada Occup. Environ. Med. 2013 70 7 511 518 10.1136/oemed-2012-101211 23531743 · DOI
  19. [22]Youogo LMK Ambient air pollution and prostate cancer risk in a population-based Canadian case-control study Environ. Epidemiol. 2022 6 4 e219 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000219 35975163 PMC9374191 · DOI
  20. [23]Wang A Abstract 1437: Ambient air pollution and risk of prostate cancer: The multiethnic cohort study Cancer Res. 2022 82 12_Supplement 1437 1437 10.1158/1538-7445.AM2022-1437 · DOI
  21. [24]Kim KJ Shin J Choi J Cancer risk from exposure to particulate matter and ozone according to obesity and health-related behaviors: A nationwide population-based cross-sectional study Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev. 2019 28 2 357 362 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-18-0508 30420440 · DOI
  22. [25]Villanueva CM Colorectal cancer and long-term exposure to trihalomethanes in drinking water: A multicenter case-control study in Spain and Italy Environ. Health Perspect. 2017 125 1 56 65 10.1289/EHP155 27383820 PMC5226692 · DOI
  23. [26]Karagas MR Disinfection byproducts in drinking water and skin cancer? A hypothesis Cancer Causes Control 2008 19 5 547 548 10.1007/s10552-008-9116-y 18219581 PMC2640837 · DOI
  24. [28]Moolgavkar SH Impact of reduced tobacco smoking on lung cancer mortality in the United States during 1975–2000 J. Natl. Cancer Inst. 2012 104 7 541 548 10.1093/jnci/djs136 22423009 PMC3317881 · DOI
  25. [29]Knuchel-Takano A Modelling the implications of reducing smoking prevalence: The benefits of increasing the UK tobacco duty escalator to public health and economic outcomes Tob. Control 2018 27 e2 e124 e129 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2017-053860 29212863 · DOI
  26. [30]Ordonez-Mena JM Quantification of the smoking-associated cancer risk with rate advancement periods: Meta-analysis of individual participant data from cohorts of the CHANCES consortium BMC Med. 2016 14 62 10.1186/s12916-016-0607-5 27044418 PMC4820956 · DOI
  27. [36]Zavala VA Cancer health disparities in racial/ethnic minorities in the United States Br. J. Cancer 2021 124 2 315 332 10.1038/s41416-020-01038-6 32901135 PMC7852513 · DOI
  28. [37]Ward E Cancer disparities by race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status CA Cancer J. Clin. 2004 54 2 78 93 10.3322/canjclin.54.2.78 15061598 · DOI
  29. [38]Bushe CJ Schizophrenia and breast cancer incidence: A systematic review of clinical studies Schizophr. Res. 2009 114 1–3 6 16 10.1016/j.schres.2009.07.012 19695837 · DOI
  30. [39]Osborn DP Relative incidence of common cancers in people with severe mental illness. Cohort study in the United Kingdom THIN primary care database Schizophr Res. 2013 143 1 44 9 10.1016/j.schres.2012.11.009 23218562 · DOI
  31. [40]Hiraki A Teeth loss and risk of cancer at 14 common sites in Japanese Cancer Epidemiol. Biomark. Prev. 2008 17 5 1222 1227 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-07-2761 18483345 · DOI
  32. [41]Lo CH Periodontal disease, tooth loss, and risk of oesophageal and gastric adenocarcinoma: A prospective study Gut 2021 70 3 620 621 10.1136/gutjnl-2020-321949 32690603 PMC7855151 · DOI
  33. [43]Chen J Dietary factors and early-onset colorectal cancer in the United States-an ecologic analysis Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev. 2022 32 217 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-22-0442 PMC9905219 36129804 · DOI
  34. [44]Yoo W A study of effects of multicollinearity in the multivariable analysis Int. J. Appl. Sci. Technol. 2014 4 5 9 19 25664257 PMC4318006
  35. [45]Gareth J An Introduction to Statistical Learning: With Applications in R 2013 Springer
  36. [47]Schwarz G Estimating the dimension of a model Ann. Stat. 1978 6 2 461 464 10.1214/aos/1176344136 · DOI · Paper page
  37. [49]Rothman KJ No adjustments are needed for multiple comparisons Epidemiology 1990 1 1 43 46 10.1097/00001648-199001000-00010 2081237 · DOI · Paper page
  38. [50]Villeneuve PJ Residential exposure to fine particulate matter air pollution and incident breast cancer in a cohort of Canadian women Environ. Epidemiol. 2018 2 3 e021 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000021 · DOI
  39. [51]Robert SA Socioeconomic risk factors for breast cancer: Distinguishing individual-and community-level effects Epidemiology 2004 15 442 450 10.1097/01.ede.0000129512.61698.03 15232405 · DOI
  40. [52]Lundqvist A Socioeconomic inequalities in breast cancer incidence and mortality in Europe—A systematic review and meta-analysis Eur. J. Public Health 2016 26 5 804 813 10.1093/eurpub/ckw070 27221607 PMC5054273 · DOI
  41. [53]Akinyemiju TF Residential environment and breast cancer incidence and mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis BMC Cancer 2015 15 191 10.1186/s12885-015-1098-z 25885593 PMC4396806 · DOI
  42. [55]Wang Y Zhao Y Ma S Racial differences in six major subtypes of melanoma: Descriptive epidemiology BMC Cancer 2016 16 1 691 10.1186/s12885-016-2747-6 27576582 PMC5004333 · DOI
  43. [56]Whetstone S Health disparities in uterine cancer: Report from the uterine cancer evidence review conference Obstet. Gynecol. 2022 139 4 645 659 10.1097/AOG.0000000000004710 35272301 PMC8936152 · DOI
  44. [57]Parikh PV Wei Y PAHs and PM2.5 emissions and female breast cancer incidence in metro Atlanta and rural Georgia Int. J. Environ. Health Res. 2016 26 4 458 66 10.1080/09603123.2016.1161178 26983363 · DOI
  45. [58]Rossing MA Recreational physical activity and risk of papillary thyroid cancer (United States) Cancer Causes Control 2001 12 10 881 885 10.1023/A:1013757030600 11808706 · DOI
  46. [59]Fiore M Physical activity and thyroid cancer risk: A case-control study in Catania (South Italy) Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2019 16 8 1428 10.3390/ijerph16081428 31013573 PMC6517930 · DOI
  47. [60]Olshan AF Workshop to identify critical windows of exposure for children's health: Cancer work group summary Environ. Health Perspect. 2000 108 Suppl 3 595 597 10.1289/ehp.00108s3595 10852858 PMC1637821 · DOI
  48. [61]Anderson LM Critical windows of exposure for children's health: Cancer in human epidemiological studies and neoplasms in experimental animal models Environ. Health Perspect. 2000 108 Suppl 3 573 594 10.1289/ehp.00108s3573 10852857 PMC1637809 · DOI
  49. [62]Kelly FJ Fussell JC Size, source and chemical composition as determinants of toxicity attributable to ambient particulate matter Atmos. Environ. 2012 60 504 526 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.06.039 · DOI
  50. [63]Weinmayr G Particulate matter air pollution components and incidence of cancers of the stomach and the upper aerodigestive tract in the European Study of Cohorts of Air Pollution Effects (ESCAPE) Environ. Int. 2018 120 163 171 10.1016/j.envint.2018.07.030 30096610 · DOI
  51. [64]Lequy E Contribution of long-term exposure to outdoor black carbon to the carcinogenicity of air pollution: Evidence regarding risk of cancer in the Gazel cohort Environ. Health Perspect. 2021 129 3 37005 10.1289/EHP8719 33759553 PMC7989243 · DOI
  52. [65]Lim EH Exposure to low-level ambient air pollution and the relationship with lung and bladder cancer in older men, in Perth, Western Australia Br. J. Cancer 2023 129 9 1500 1509 10.1038/s41416-023-02411-x 37684355 PMC10628106 · DOI
  53. [66]Raaschou-Nielsen O Particulate matter air pollution components and risk for lung cancer Environ. Int. 2016 87 66 73 10.1016/j.envint.2015.11.007 26641521 · DOI
  54. [67]Su M The association between exposure to PM2.5 components from coal combustion and mortality in female breast cancer patients Environ. Res. Lett. 2023 18 10 104001 10.1088/1748-9326/acf590 · DOI
  55. [68]Parrón T Environmental exposure to pesticides and cancer risk in multiple human organ systems Toxicol. Lett. 2014 230 2 157 165 10.1016/j.toxlet.2013.11.009 24269242 · DOI
  56. [69]Marquez-Bravo LG Concentrations of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in New York City community garden soils: Potential sources and influential factors Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 2016 35 2 357 367 10.1002/etc.3215 26636429 · DOI
  57. [70]Seyyedsalehi MS Boffetta P Per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) exposure and risk of kidney, liver, and testicular cancers: A systematic review and meta-analysis Med. Lav. 2023 114 5 e2023040 37878255 PMC10627102
  58. [71]Field RW A review of residential radon case-control epidemiologic studies performed in the United States Rev. Environ. Health 2001 16 3 151 167 10.1515/REVEH.2001.16.3.151 11765906 · DOI
  59. [72]Harley NH Robbins ES Radon and leukemia in the Danish study: another source of dose Health Phys. 2009 97 4 343 347 10.1097/HP.0b013e3181ad8018 19741363 · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Yuan, H., Kehm, R. D., Daaboul, J. M., Lloyd, S. E., McDonald, J. A., Mu, L., Tehranifar, P., Zhang, K., Terry, M. B., & Yang, W.
Affiliations
  • Columbia University (US)
  • Columbia University Irving Medical Center (US)
  • University at Buffalo, State University of New York (US)
  • State University of New York (US)
Corresponding author
Yang, Wan
Venue
Scientific Reports
Published
2024-03-26
Volume
14
Issue
1
Pages
7141-7141
ISSN
2045-2322 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4393192757
Cited by
9
References
2
Citations by year
2026: 3 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 3
FWCI
1.54
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Scientific Reports (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
National Institutes of Health (R01CA257971)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Cancer Risks and Factors
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Colorectal Cancer Screening and Detection
Keywords
cancer incidence, environmental exposure, young adults, ambient air pollution, ozone, PM2.5, prostate cancer, female breast cancer, melanoma, smoking, physical inactivity, socioeconomic factors, lifestyle factors, New York State
MeSH terms
Aged, Air Pollutants, Air Pollution, Breast Neoplasms, Environmental Exposure, Humans, Male, Melanoma, New York, Prostatic Neoplasms, Incidence, Particulate Matter, Young Adult

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review