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Global water cycle amplifying at less than the Clausius-Clapeyron rate

Open access
Skliris, Nikolaos, Zika, Jan D., Nurser, George, Josey, Simon A., Marsh, Robert·2016·Scientific Reports

Abstract

A change in the cycle of water from dry to wet regions of the globe would have far reaching impact on humanity. As air warms, its capacity to hold water increases at the Clausius-Clapeyron rate (CC, approximately 7% °C−1). Surface ocean salinity observations have suggested the water cycle has amplified at close to CC following recent global warming, a result that was found to be at odds with state-of the art climate models. Here we employ a method based on water mass transformation theory for inferring changes in the water cycle from changes in three-dimensional salinity. Using full depth salinity observations we infer a water cycle amplification of 3.0 ± 1.6% °C−1 over 1950–2010. Climate models agree with observations in terms of a water cycle amplification (4.3 ± 2.0% °C−1) substantially less than CC adding confidence to projections of total water cycle change under greenhouse gas emission scenarios.

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Crossref · 10.1038/srep38752

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Metadata

Authors
Skliris, N., Zika, J. D., Nurser, G., Josey, S. A., & Marsh, R.
Venue
Scientific Reports
Published
2016-12-09
Volume
6
Issue
1
Pages
38752-38752
ISSN
2045-2322 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2560103045
Cited by
175
References
4
FWCI
5.60
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
gold

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