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Historic Fire Regime in Southern California Shrublands
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Abstract: Historical variability in fire regime is a conservative indicator of ecosystem sustainability, and thus understanding the natural role of fire in chaparral ecosystems is necessary for proper fire management. It has been suggested that the “natural” fire regime was one of frequent small fires that fragmented the landscape into a fine‐grained mixture of age classes that precluded large, catastrophic fires. Some researchers claim that this regime was lost because of highly effective fire suppression and conclude that if fire managers could “restore” a regime of frequent fires with widespread prescription burning, they could eliminate the hazard of catastrophic fires. The primary evidence in support of this model is a study that compared contemporary burning patterns in southern California, U.S.A., a region subject to fire suppression, with patterns in northern Baja California, Mexico, where there is less effective fire suppression. We found that differences in fire regime between these two regions are inconclusive and could not be ascribed conclusively to differences in fire suppression. Historical records suggest that the natural fire regime in southern California shrublands was rather coarse‐grained and not substantively different from the contemporary regime. There is no evidence that fire‐management policies have created the contemporary fire regime dominated by massive Santa Ana wind‐driven fires. Increased expenditures on fire suppression and increased loss of property and lives are the result of human demographic patterns that place increasing demand on fire‐suppression forces.
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“For instance, model estimates capture the decreasing mFRI (increasing fire frequency) throughout coastal southern California and the Sierra Nevada between 1951 and 2000 [12,53] (Fig 2AB).”
From Incorporating Anthropogenic Influences into Fire Probability Models: Effects of Human Activity and Climate Change on Fire Activity in California (2016) · cites this paper as [53]
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Holmquist, A. J., Markelz, R. J. C., Martinez, C. C., & Gillespie, R. G. (2024) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.17135 · Cited by 7
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Bendix, J., & Hartnett, J. J. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aace39 · Cited by 6
Vegetation and Fluvial Geomorphology Dynamics after an Urban Fire
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Schoenberg, F. P., Jamie Pompa, A., & Chang, C.-H. (2008) · Environmental and Ecological Statistics · doi:10.1007/s10651-007-0087-z · Cited by 6
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Metadata
- Authors
- Keeley, J. E., & Fotheringham, C. J.
- Affiliations
- United States Geological Survey (US)
- University of California, Los Angeles (US)
- ORCID
- Keeley, Jon E.
- Venue
- Conservation Biology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2001-12-14
- Volume
- 15
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 1536-1548
- ISSN
- 0888-8892 (ISSN-L)
- 1523-1739
- OpenAlex
- W2067817178
- Cited by
- 242
- References
- 53
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 7 · 2018: 14 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 12 · 2014: 14 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 14
- FWCI
- 10.87
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Conservation Biology (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- U.S. Forest Service
- National Institute on Aging
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Rangeland and Wildlife Management
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Forestry › Forest Management and Policy
- Keywords
- fire regimes, chaparral, fire suppression, prescribed burning, catastrophic fire, Santa Ana winds, fire policy, historical fire records, northern Baja California, ecosystem sustainability
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