Cited by 430Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and EducationMachine Learning in HealthcareTopic Modeling

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 63 of the 64 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; none of the 25 sources its claims cite is checked for support yet.

Almanac — Retrieval-Augmented Language Models for Clinical Medicine

Open access

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Large language models (LLMs) have recently shown impressive zero-shot capabilities, whereby they can use auxiliary data, without the availability of task-specific training examples, to complete a variety of natural language tasks, such as summarization, dialogue generation, and question answering. However, despite many promising applications of LLMs in clinical medicine, adoption of these models has been limited by their tendency to generate incorrect and sometimes even harmful statements. METHODS: We tasked a panel of eight board-certified clinicians and two health care practitioners with evaluating Almanac, an LLM framework augmented with retrieval capabilities from curated medical resources for medical guideline and treatment recommendations. The panel compared responses from Almanac and standard LLMs (ChatGPT-4, Bing, and Bard) versus a novel data set of 314 clinical questions spanning nine medical specialties. RESULTS: Almanac showed a significant improvement in performance compared with the standard LLMs across axes of factuality, completeness, user preference, and adversarial safety. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show the potential for LLMs with access to domain-specific corpora to be effective in clinical decision-making. The findings also underscore the importance of carefully testing LLMs before deployment to mitigate their shortcomings. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.).

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

Almanac is a retrieval-augmented LLM framework for open-ended clinical question answering that grounds responses in curated sources and provides citations. In a clinician-graded evaluation on the novel ClinicalQA benchmark, Almanac outperformed ChatGPT-4, Bing, and Bard on factuality, completeness, preference, and adversarial safety.

Key findings

  • Across ClinicalQA, Almanac had the best mean ranks (lower is better): factuality 1.96±0.06, completeness 1.85±0.06, and preference 1.87±0.06, with significant differences from counterparts by Nemenyi testing (P<0.01); Bard performed significantly worse.
  • Almanac provided correct and trustworthy citations for 91% of ClinicalQA questions, compared with 82% for Bing; ChatGPT-4 citations were mostly nonexistent or unrelated, and Bard either relied on intrinsic knowledge or refused to cite sources.
  • In adversarial prompting, Almanac scored 100% correct versus Bard 77%, Bing 70%, and ChatGPT-4 7%. For errors of input, ChatGPT-4 and Almanac caught missing inputs, whereas Bard and Bing refused to perform clinical calculations.
  • On the LiveQA test set of 102 questions, Almanac obtained an average score of 2.85, versus the best-performing model reported in the associated publication at 0.637, described as a 347% improvement.

Methods

  • Almanac combines a vector database (Qdrant v1.3.0) initialized with more than 500 clinical calculators from MDCalc, a browser limited to PubMed, UpToDate, and BMJ Best Practices, a retriever using OpenAI text-embedding-ada-002 with threshold λ=0.83 and n=10, and gpt-4-0613 with an 8192-token maximum. Articles were chunked into 1000-token passages.
  • The evaluation used ClinicalQA, a novel benchmark of 314 open-ended clinical questions generated by a panel of eight board-certified clinicians and two health care practitioners with an average of 10.5 years of experience across nine medical specialties. A subset of 25 questions was used for adversarial prompting, and five clinical calculation vignettes were used for errors of input.
  • Clinician panelists independently ranked outputs from Almanac, ChatGPT-4, Bing, and Bard on factuality, completeness, and preference. Statistical significance was assessed with the Friedman test at P<0.01 followed by Nemenyi post hoc pairwise comparisons; citation quality was scored binary, and LiveQA responses were manually scored 0–3.

Limitations

  • The paper states that Almanac has limitations in ranking information sources by criteria such as evidence level, study type, and publication date; it uses general-purpose retrievers and language models that could be fine-tuned; ClinicalQA metrics are subjective and rely on human graders, posing scalability challenges; and integration into health care should be cautious because of flaws in generating accurate responses and handling questions lacking straightforward answers.
  • The paper also notes that off-the-shelf adversarial resilience becomes less effective as adversarial prompts decrease in word count, requiring careful λ tuning to balance true- and false-positive findings, and that Almanac still struggled with specific resources such as providing a clinical or physician recommendation.
  • Evident from the text: complete blinding was not possible because of differing prose styles; alternate retrieval strategies were not explored; adversarial evaluation used only a subset of 25 ClinicalQA questions; and all evaluations were conducted before July 30, 2023, with specific model versions.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1056/aioa2300068

Cites

63 of 64 references verified1 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

0 of 25 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

Show all 28 claims

  • Probably not a substantial claim. 15
  • It may state two separate claims as one. 24
32 of 32
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    As clinical evidence continues to grow, curated content becomes less accessible and more confined to error-prone search tools and time-consuming appraisal techniques that fail to address the unique needs of individual patients.

    “However, as clinical evidence continues to grow, curated content becomes less accessible and more confined to error-prone search tools and time-consuming appraisal techniques that fail to address the unique needs of individual patients.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The training data for many proprietary models are often kept confidential, introducing an extra layer of uncertainty in estimating data contamination.

    “More concerning, the training data for many proprietary models are often kept confidential, introducing an extra layer of uncertainty in estimating data contamination.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The predefined sources used by Almanac are trustworthy.

    “By supplementing responses with passages from predefined sources, our grounded system is able to dampen explainability concerns by enabling clinicians to independently verify outputs from trustworthy sources”
3 of 3

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Below-threshold retrieval leads to both an answer and abstention

    Major

    The methods say Almanac answers from intrinsic knowledge when no retrieved articles exceed the threshold. The results say an adversarial prompt lowered retrieval scores below that threshold and caused Almanac to abstain instead.

  • LiveQA test-set citation points to a medical-exams dataset

    Minor

    The methods cite reference 57 for LiveQA, but reference 57 describes a question-answering dataset from medical exams. The LiveQA reference is numbered 55.

  • Step-by-step prompting citation points to a different topic

    Minor

    The text cites reference 56 for the claim about step-by-step prompting, but that reference concerns language-knowledge graph pretraining.

  • Browser-domain citations point to different sources

    Minor

    The browser section cites references 52-54 for PubMed, UpToDate, and BMJ Best Practices, respectively. Reference 52 is BMJ Best Practice, while references 53 and 54 are unrelated papers.

  • BLEU citation points to a LiveQA paper

    Minor

    The evaluation section cites reference 55 for bilingual evaluation understudy, but reference 55 is about the LiveQA task. The BLEU paper appears as reference 53.

5 of 5

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Show all 26 references

Research works printed but not linked: 3

  1. Lewis P Perez E Piktus A et al. Retrieval-augmented generation for knowledge-intensive NLP tasks. NIPS’20: Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems December 2020 (https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/2020/file/6b493230205f780e1bc26945df7481e5-Paper.pdf).
  2. Wolters Kluwer. UpToDate. 2023 (https://www.uptodate.com).
  3. BMJ Publishing Group. BMJ Best Practice. 2023 (http://bestpractice.bmj.com).

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Metadata

Authors
Zakka, C., Shad, R., Chaurasia, A., Dalal, A. R., Kim, J. L., Moor, M., Fong, R., Phillips, C., Alexander, K., Ashley, E., Boyd, J., Boyd, K., Hirsch, K., Langlotz, C., Lee, R., Melia, J., Nelson, J., Sallam, K., Tullis, S., Vogelsong, M. A., Cunningham, J. P., & Hiesinger, W.
Affiliations
  • Stanford Medicine (US)
  • University of Pennsylvania Health System (US)
  • Stanford University (US)
  • Department of Radiology and Biomedical Informatics, Stanford Medicine, Stanford, CA
  • Johns Hopkins University (US)
  • Columbia University (US)
Corresponding author
Zakka, Cyril
Venue
NEJM AI
Published
2024-01-25
Volume
1
Issue
2
ISSN
2836-9386 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4391221150
Cited by
424
References
26
Citations by year
2026: 163 · 2025: 159 · 2024: 99
FWCI
39.53
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
other-oa
Locations
  • NEJM AI (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
Funders
  • National Institutes of Health
  • National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01HL157235)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Health Informatics › Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Topic Modeling
Keywords
retrieval-augmented language models, large language models, medical question answering, clinical guidelines, treatment guidelines, factuality, clinical decision support, almanacs

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