Adolescent vaping and nicotine use in 2017-2018 - U.S. national estimates
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To the Editor: Geserick et al. (Oct.4 issue) 1 report tracking body-mass index (BMI) in individual children over time.However, they did not use longitudinal analytic strategies.Although Figures 1 and 2 (available with the full text of their article
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In 2019, 25.4% of 12th graders used e-cigarettes within the last 30 days, an increase of 131% from two years earlier.
“According to Monitoring the Future survey data (Miech et al., 2019), 25.4% of 12th graders in 2019 used e-cigarettes within the last thirty days, an increase of 131% from two years previously”
From Unique, long-term effects of nicotine on adolescent brain. (2020) · cites this paper as Miech et al., 2019
The To the Editor section reports Monitoring the Future data showing an increase in nicotine vaping among 12th graders from 2017 to 2018. It does not report 2019 use, a 25.4% prevalence, or a 131% increase over two years; those specifics are not supported by this paper. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredE-cigarette use was almost as prevalent among 10th graders, and 8th graders showed a 157% increase in 30-day e-cigarette use over the last two years.
“Use of e-cigarettes was almost as prevalent among 10th graders, and was particularly troubling among 8th graders who showed a 157% increase in 30-day e-cigarette use over the last two years.”
From Unique, long-term effects of nicotine on adolescent brain. (2020) · cites this paper as Miech et al., 2019
The ‘To the Editor’ results report increased nicotine vaping among both 10th- and 8th-graders from 2017 to 2018. They give an 8th-grade increase of 2.6 percentage points over one year, not a 157% increase over two years, and do not establish that use among 10th-graders was almost as prevalent as among 12th-graders. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn the United States, tobacco cigarette use has declined in recent years while e-cigarette use has increased exponentially.
“Whereas the use of tobacco cigarettes has declined in the United States within recent years, the use of electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) has increased exponentially (Cullen et al., 2019; Miech et al., 2019).”
From Unique, long-term effects of nicotine on adolescent brain. (2020) · cites this paper as Miech et al., 2019
In “TO THE EDITOR” (page unavailable), the paper reports a sharp rise in nicotine vaping among U.S. adolescents from 2017 to 2018 and says use of six other nicotine products declined, though not significantly. It does not establish exponential growth or a decline in cigarette use across the U.S. population as a whole. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn recent years, cigarette use among teenagers has declined while nicotine vaping has increased substantially.
“Although there has been a decline in teen use of cigarettes in recent years, there has been a huge increase in nicotine vaping.”
From Unique, long-term effects of nicotine on adolescent brain. (2020) · cites this paper as Miech et al., 2019
The To the Editor section reports a sharp increase in nicotine vaping from 2017 to 2018. It also says use of each of six other nicotine products declined in a sample of 12th-graders, but those declines were not statistically significant; it does not establish a broader, multi-year decline in cigarette use among teenagers. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe advent of electronic cigarette products has led to a resurgence of nicotine use among adolescents.
“the advent of electronic cigarette products has led to a resurgence of nicotine use among adolescents [167, 168]”
From Consequences of adolescent drug use (2023) · cites this paper as [168]
Most nicotine users initiate smoking during adolescence and establish daily use before the age of 18.
“Most nicotine users initiate smoking during adolescence and establish daily use before the age of 18 [106–108].”
From Nicotine on the developing brain. (2023) · cites this paper as [106]
The “TO THE EDITOR” section reports nicotine-vaping prevalence among 8th-, 10th-, and 12th-graders, not when nicotine users first smoked or began daily use. Searches for smoking initiation and daily use before age 18 found no passage addressing either point. (LLM, conf=0.77)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
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- Authors
- Miech, R., Johnston, L., O’Malley, P. M., Bachman, J. G., & Patrick, M. E.
- Affiliations
- University of Michigan (US)
- University of Minnesota (US)
- Venue
- New England Journal of Medicine
- Publisher
- Massachusetts Medical Society
- Published
- 2019-01-10
- Volume
- 380
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 192-193
- ISSN
- 0028-4793 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-4406
- PMC
- PMC7310988
- OpenAlex
- W2903818578
- Cited by
- 213
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 10 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 41 · 2020: 54 · 2019: 39 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 23.21
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- New England Journal of Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute on Drug Abuse (R01-DA-001411 to R. Miech, P.I.)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Smoking Behavior and Cessation
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Impact of Technology on Adolescents
- Keywords
- youth vaping, nicotine use, electronic cigarettes, adolescent tobacco use, body mass index, longitudinal analysis
- MeSH terms
- Vaping, Adolescent, Health Policy, Humans, Nicotine, United States
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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