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Vascular Effects of Early versus Late Postmenopausal Treatment with Estradiol
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Data suggest that estrogen-containing hormone therapy is associated with beneficial effects with regard to cardiovascular disease when the therapy is initiated temporally close to menopause but not when it is initiated later. However, the hypothesis that the cardiovascular effects of postmenopausal hormone therapy vary with the timing of therapy initiation (the hormone-timing hypothesis) has not been tested. METHODS: A total of 643 healthy postmenopausal women were stratified according to time since menopause (<6 years [early postmenopause] or ≥10 years [late postmenopause]) and were randomly assigned to receive either oral 17β-estradiol (1 mg per day, plus progesterone [45 mg] vaginal gel administered sequentially [i.e., once daily for 10 days of each 30-day cycle] for women with a uterus) or placebo (plus sequential placebo vaginal gel for women with a uterus). The primary outcome was the rate of change in carotid-artery intima-media thickness (CIMT), which was measured every 6 months. Secondary outcomes included an assessment of coronary atherosclerosis by cardiac computed tomography (CT), which was performed when participants completed the randomly assigned regimen. RESULTS: After a median of 5 years, the effect of estradiol, with or without progesterone, on CIMT progression differed between the early and late postmenopause strata (P=0.007 for the interaction). Among women who were less than 6 years past menopause at the time of randomization, the mean CIMT increased by 0.0078 mm per year in the placebo group versus 0.0044 mm per year in the estradiol group (P=0.008). Among women who were 10 or more years past menopause at the time of randomization, the rates of CIMT progression in the placebo and estradiol groups were similar (0.0088 and 0.0100 mm per year, respectively; P=0.29). CT measures of coronary-artery calcium, total stenosis, and plaque did not differ significantly between the placebo group and the estradiol group in either postmenopause stratum. CONCLUSIONS: Oral estradiol therapy was associated with less progression of subclinical atherosclerosis (measured as CIMT) than was placebo when therapy was initiated within 6 years after menopause but not when it was initiated 10 or more years after menopause. Estradiol had no significant effect on cardiac CT measures of atherosclerosis in either postmenopause stratum. (Funded by the National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health; ELITE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00114517.).
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“One included study (35) was an observational analysis of CV events of a randomized trial evaluating electrocautery of ovaries versus gonadotropins in women with clomipheneresistant polycystic ovarian syndrome (36).”
From Cardiovascular Risk Following Fertility Therapy (2017) · cites this paper as [36]
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BackgroundEstrogen, menopause, and Alzheimer’s disease: understanding the link to cognitive decline in women
Mervosh, N. L., & Devi, G. (2025) · Frontiers in Molecular Biosciences · doi:10.3389/fmolb.2025.1634302 · Cited by 62
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“7,8,13,14 The timing hypothesis posits that hormones started at the time of menopause may reduce cardio-vascular risk and events, whereas hormones started further from menopause can increase risk.”
Genetic, Molecular, and Cellular Determinants of Sex-Specific Cardiovascular Traits
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JCS 2023 Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Coronary Artery Disease
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“A third potential reason for a timing effect could be the same as indicated in studies on hormone replacement therapy (Hodis et al. , 2016), that prevention of a decline in cardiovascular health may be more easily achieved than reversal of already established detrimental changes in the vascular…”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialSex and Gender Aspects in Vascular Ageing – Focus on Epidemiology, Pathophysiology, and Outcomes
Seeland, U., Nemcsik, J., Lønnebakken, M. T., Kublickiene, K. R., Schluchter, H., Park, C. M., Pucci, G., Mozos, I. M., & Bruno, R. M. (2021) · Heart Lung and Circulation · doi:10.1016/j.hlc.2021.07.006 · Cited by 47
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Safety and benefit considerations for menopausal hormone therapy
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“Postmenopausal women without CVD at baseline (n = 643) were randomized to daily oral estradiol with (if women had a uterus) or without (if no uterus) vaginal micronized progesterone gel for 10 days each month or to placebo; women were randomized according to time since menopause (<6 years, n = 271; ≥10 years, n = 372)…”
MethodResultLi, C., Lin, X., Lin, Y., Lin, Y., & Lin, H. (2023) · Phytomedicine · doi:10.1016/j.phymed.2023.155137 · Cited by 44
Estrogen Signaling in the Adrenal Cortex
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Estradiol Therapy After Menopause Mitigates Effects of Stress on Cortisol and Working Memory
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Assessing assumptions for statistical analyses in randomised clinical trials
Nielsen, E. E., Nørskov, A. K., Lange, T., Thabane, L., Wetterslev, J., Beyersmann, J., de Uña‐Álvarez, J., Torri, V., Billot, L., Putter, H., et al. (2019) · BMJ Evidence-Based Medicine · doi:10.1136/bmjebm-2019-111174 · Cited by 44
“This trial, however, did neither specify the nature of the alternative analyses nor report the results of these assessments in the main publication.(4)”
A Contemporary View of Menopausal Hormone Therapy
Levy, B. S., & Simon, J. A. (2024) · Obstetrics and Gynecology · doi:10.1097/aog.0000000000005553 · Cited by 45
“In contrast to the KEEPS trial, the ELITE (Early Versus Late Postmenopausal Treatment With Estra-diol) 26 study did find significant benefit for oral estra-diol-17 b therapy on carotid intima – media thickness accumulation of plaque.”
ResultHamoda, H., Panay, N., Arya, R., Savvas, M., & on behalf of The British Menopause Society and Women’s Health Concern (2016) · Post Reproductive Health · doi:10.1177/2053369116680501 · Cited by 43
“The ‘Early versus Late Intervention Trial with Estradiol’ (ELITE) by Hodis et al. (2016) reported on the cardiovascular effects of HRT in relation to the timing of initiation of treatment.”
BackgroundSex differences in acute cardiovascular care: a review and needs assessment
Vallabhajosyula, S., Verghese, D., Desai, V. K., Sundaragiri, P. R., & Miller, V. M. (2021) · Cardiovascular Research · doi:10.1093/cvr/cvab063 · Cited by 44
“onary calcification and carotid artery intima-medial thickening when treatment began within 5 years of menopause.(52,56) For women who”
BackgroundReproductive Health as a Marker of Subsequent Cardiovascular Disease
Manson, J. E., & Woodruff, T. K. (2016) · JAMA Cardiology · doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2016.2662 · Cited by 41
Menopause: A Global Perspective and Clinical Guide for Practice
Voedisch, A. J., Dunsmoor-Su, R. F., & Kasirsky, J. (2021) · Clinical Obstetrics & Gynecology · doi:10.1097/grf.0000000000000639 · Cited by 49
Miragem, A. A., & de Bittencourt, P. I. H. (2017) · Human Reproduction Update · doi:10.1093/humupd/dmx020 · Cited by 39
Xu, X., Yan, Q., Liu, X., Li, P., Li, X., Chen, Y., Simoncini, T., Liu, J., Zhu, D., & Fu, X. (2019) · Journal of Biological Chemistry · doi:10.1074/jbc.ra119.008597 · Cited by 39
“The incidence and severity of cardiovascular disease (CVD)5 are significantly increased in postmenopausal women (1).”
MethodInfluentialCiarambino, T., Crispino, P., & Giordano, M. (2022) · Biomedicines · doi:10.3390/biomedicines10123067 · Cited by 39
“Since females are more protected than males against major cardiovascular events, it has long been assumed that estrogen is able to genetically mediate and regulate the expression of eNOS in endothelial cells [47,74] Furthermore, the activation of the enzyme and the formation of NO can also occur through rapid signalin…”
BackgroundMenopause and Chronic Kidney Disease
Ahmed, S. B. (2017) · Seminars in Nephrology · doi:10.1016/j.semnephrol.2017.05.013 · Cited by 38
Honarpisheh, P., & McCullough, L. D. (2019) · British Journal of Pharmacology · doi:10.1111/bph.14675 · Cited by 41
“Women started on oestrogen‐based hormone therapy around the time of menopause have slower progression of atherosclerosis as measured by CIMT compared to placebo‐treated women (Hodis et al., 2016).”
MethodBone and heart health in menopause
Nash, Z., Wattar, B. H. A., & Davies, M. C. (2022) · Best Practice & Research Clinical Obstetrics & Gynaecology · doi:10.1016/j.bpobgyn.2022.03.002 · Cited by 43
Advances in diagnosis and treatment of perimenopausal syndrome
Chen, W., Chen, M., Tang, H., Wei, W., Shao, P., Dou, S., Wu, J., Lu, B., Shi, R., & Chen, J. (2023) · Open Life Sciences · doi:10.1515/biol-2022-0754 · Cited by 37
Bhupathiraju, S. N., Grodstein, F., ROSNER, B. A., Stampfer, M. J., Hu, F. B., Willett, W. C., & Manson, J. E. (2017) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwx131 · Cited by 37
“Still, there were no differences in coronary artery disease, assessed by coronary artery stenosis, after 5 years of therapy (45).”
Sex Hormones and Healthy Psychological Aging in Women
Navarro‐Pardo, E., Holland, C., & Cano, A. (2018) · Frontiers in Aging Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnagi.2017.00439 · Cited by 36
“The notion of a critical period for positive cognitive effect or avoidance of a negative impact on cognition or increase in dementia risk is mirrored in investigations of HT where HT is shown to be beneficial in the early peri- and post-menopausal period, but not in older women or those who may already have advanced a…”
BackgroundEstrogen-mediated protection against coronary heart disease: The role of the Notch pathway
Fortini, F., Sega, F. V. D., Caliceti, C., Lambertini, E., Pannuti, A., Peiffer, D. S., Balla, C., & Rizzo, P. (2019) · The Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology · doi:10.1016/j.jsbmb.2019.02.008 · Cited by 37
Mei, Y., Williams, J. S., Webb, E. K., Shea, A. K., MacDonald, M. J., & Al‐Khazraji, B. K. (2022) · Frontiers in Rehabilitation Sciences · doi:10.3389/fresc.2022.825147 · Cited by 37
“, more than 10 years after menopause) (110).”
BackgroundIschemic stroke across sexes: What is the status quo?
Liberale, L., Carbone, F., Montecucco, F., Gebhard, C., Lüscher, T. F., Wegener, S., & Camici, G. G. (2018) · Frontiers in Neuroendocrinology · doi:10.1016/j.yfrne.2018.05.001 · Cited by 37
Ramesh, S., James, M. T., Holroyd-Leduc, J. M., Wilton, S. B., Sola, D. Y., & Ahmed, S. B. (2022) · Physiological Reports · doi:10.14814/phy2.15298 · Cited by 42
Sex and stroke risk factors: A review of differences and impact
Hanna, M., Wabnitz, A., & Grewal, P. (2024) · Journal of Stroke and Cerebrovascular Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2024.107624 · Cited by 49
Sex and sex steroids as determinants of cardiovascular risk
Cignarella, A., Bolego, C., & Barton, M. (2024) · Steroids · doi:10.1016/j.steroids.2024.109423 · Cited by 39
Cardiometabolic Effects of Endocrine Treatment of Estrogen Receptor–Positive Early Breast Cancer
Cheung, Y.-M. M., Ramchand, S. K., Yeo, B. J., & Grossmann, M. (2019) · Journal of the Endocrine Society · doi:10.1210/js.2019-00096 · Cited by 37
“10 years postmenopausal [8, 9], the so-called “timing hypothesis” [10].”
Improving clinical outcomes through attention to sex and hormones in research
Mielke, M. M., & Miller, V. M. (2021) · Nature Reviews Endocrinology · doi:10.1038/s41574-021-00531-z · Cited by 40
Menopausal hormone therapy for primary prevention: why the USPSTF is wrong
Langer, R. D., Simon, J. A., Pines, A., Løbo, R. A., Hodis, H. N., Pickar, J. H., Archer, D. F., Sarrel, P. M., & Utian, W. H. (2017) · Climacteric · doi:10.1080/13697137.2017.1362156 · Cited by 36
Link between Endometriosis, Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease, and the Health of Women Midlife
Taşkın, Ö., Rikhraj, K. J. K., Tan, J., Sedlak, T., Rowe, T., & Bedaiwy, M. A. (2019) · Journal of Minimally Invasive Gynecology · doi:10.1016/j.jmig.2019.02.022 · Cited by 37
Murphy, J., McKenna, M. M., Abdelazim, S., Battiwalla, M., & Stratton, P. (2019) · Transplantation and Cellular Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.bbmt.2019.07.038 · Cited by 35
Menopausal hormone therapy: a better and safer future
Davey, D. A. (2018) · Climacteric · doi:10.1080/13697137.2018.1439915 · Cited by 34
Cerebrovascular disease in women
Kumar, A., & McCullough, L. D. (2021) · Therapeutic Advances in Neurological Disorders · doi:10.1177/1756286420985237 · Cited by 35
Physiologically assessed hot flashes and endothelial function among midlife women
Thurston, R. C., Chang, Y., Barinas‐Mitchell, E., Jennings, J. R., von Känel, R., Landsittel, D., & Matthews, K. A. (2018) · Menopause The Journal of The North American Menopause Society · doi:10.1097/gme.0000000000001239 · Cited by 34
“Notably, effect modification by age is a frequent observation for relations between reproductive hormonal factors (eg, hormone therapy) and CVD risk in women.(22,44,45) The mechanisms that may link hot flashes to poorer endothelial function require elucidation.”
Sex-specific risk factors for cardiovascular disease in women-making cardiovascular disease real
Merz, C. N. B., Ramineni, T., & Leong, D. (2018) · Current Opinion in Cardiology · doi:10.1097/hco.0000000000000543 · Cited by 37
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“Use is limited in early menopause, no more than 10 years, because of concerns about cardiovascular safety [35].”
BackgroundAge-Specific Sex Differences in Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Depicted Carotid Intraplaque Hemorrhage
Singh, N., Moody, A. R., Zhang, B., Kaminski, I., Kapur, K., Chiu, S., & Tyrrell, P. N. (2017) · Stroke · doi:10.1161/strokeaha.117.017877 · Cited by 33
Targeting estrogen receptor signaling for treating heart failure
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“Hodis et al. [62] discovered that the effects of estradiol (with or without progesterone) on the development of atherosclerosis varied depending on the timing of therapy initiation, with benefit noted when it was started in women who were less than 6 years past menopause but not in those who were…”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Hodis, H. N., Mack, W. J., Henderson, V. W., Shoupe, D., Budoff, M. J., Hwang-Levine, J., Li, Y., Feng, M., Dustin, L., Kono, N., Stanczyk, F. Z., Selzer, R. H., & Azen, S. P.
- Affiliations
- General Department of Preventive Medicine (VN)
- Stanford University (US)
- University of California, Los Angeles (US)
- Venue
- New England Journal of Medicine
- Publisher
- Massachusetts Medical Society
- Published
- 2016-03-31
- Volume
- 374
- Issue
- 13
- Pages
- 1221-1231
- ISSN
- 0028-4793 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-4406
- PMC
- PMC4921205
- OpenAlex
- W2330799317
- Cited by
- 779
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2026: 95 · 2025: 67 · 2024: 54 · 2023: 72 · 2022: 80 · 2021: 83 · 2020: 65 · 2019: 77 · 2018: 73 · 2017: 74 · 2016: 36
- FWCI
- 86.77
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- New England Journal of Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute on Aging (R01-AG024154-S2, R01AG-024154-01-05, R01AG024154, R01AG-024154-06-08)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Menopause: Health Impacts and Treatments
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Endocrinology › Estrogen and related hormone effects
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Hormonal and reproductive studies
- Keywords
- hormone replacement therapy, estradiol, timing of hormone therapy initiation, carotid intima-media thickness, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary artery calcium, coronary artery stenosis, coronary plaque, cardiovascular risk, menopause, progesterone, oral estradiol, cardiac CT, cardiovascular disease prevention, postmenopausal women
- MeSH terms
- Administration, Intravaginal, Administration, Oral, Carotid Arteries, Coronary Artery Disease, Drug Administration Schedule, Estradiol, Female, Humans, Middle Aged, Progesterone, Estrogen Replacement Therapy, Linear Models, Postmenopause, Disease Progression, Atherosclerosis, Carotid Intima-Media Thickness
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