The DOI matches its Crossref record; 7 of the 7 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The Combination of Forecasts
Abstract
Two separate sets of forecasts of airline passenger data have been combined to form a composite set of forecasts. The main conclusion is that the composite set of forecasts can yield lower mean-square error than either of the original forecasts. Past errors of each of the original forecasts are used to determine the weights to attach to these two original forecasts in forming the combined forecasts, and different methods of deriving these weights are examined.
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Citations
Cites
Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics.
Aa, Stuart, A., & Ord, K. (1995) · Journal of the American Statistical Association · doi:10.2307/2291187 · Cited by 2,663
The Advanced Theory of Statistics
L., S., Kendall, M. G., & Stuart, A. (1963) · Population · doi:10.2307/1527192 · Cited by 1,840
The Precision of National Income Estimates
Stone, R., Champernowne, D. G., & Meade, J. E. (1942) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.2307/2967664 · Cited by 232
New Methods of Quality Control
Barnard, G. A. (1963) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) · doi:10.2307/2982365 · Cited by 93
Some Statistical Aspects of Adaptive Optimization and Control
Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1992) · Springer series in statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-4380-9_29 · Cited by 91
Harrison, P. J. (1965) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics) · doi:10.2307/2985338 · Cited by 73
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Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Bacon, D. W. (1967) · Cited by 34
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model
Zhang, G. P. (2003) · Neurocomputing · doi:10.1016/s0925-2312(01)00702-0 · Cited by 4,576
Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E., & Volinsky, C. T. (1999) · Statistical Science · doi:10.1214/ss/1009212519 · Cited by 4,118
Ensemble forecasting of species distributions
ARAUJO, M., & NEW, M. (2007) · Trends in Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1016/j.tree.2006.09.010 · Cited by 3,640
Scheet, P. A., & Stephens, M. (2006) · The American Journal of Human Genetics · doi:10.1086/502802 · Cited by 1,959
Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy
Rapach, D. E., Strauss, J., & Zhou, G. (2009) · Review of Financial Studies · doi:10.1093/rfs/hhp063 · Cited by 1,621
Metadata
- Authors
- Bates, J. M., & Granger, C. W. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Nottingham (GB)
- Venue
- Journal of the Operational Research Society
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 1969-12
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 451-468
- ISSN
- 0160-5682 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-9360
- OpenAlex
- W1986528915
- Cited by
- 3,201
- References
- 7
- Citations by year
- 2026: 148 · 2025: 107 · 2024: 127 · 2023: 169 · 2022: 159 · 2021: 151 · 2020: 167 · 2019: 177 · 2018: 132 · 2017: 115 · 2016: 141 · 2015: 161 · 2014: 119 · 2013: 134 · 2012: 131
- FWCI
- 0.85
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of the Operational Research Society (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Grey System Theory Applications
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Applied Mathematics › Statistical and numerical algorithms
- Keywords
- forecast combination, forecast weights, mean squared error, forecast error, forecast accuracy
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