The DOI matches its Crossref record; 1 of the 1 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States
Open accessAbstract
More than half (52%) of the spatial and temporal variance in multidecadal drought frequency over the conterminous United States is attributable to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). An additional 22% of the variance in drought frequency is related to a complex spatial pattern of positive and negative trends in drought occurrence possibly related to increasing Northern Hemisphere temperatures or some other unidirectional climate trend. Recent droughts with broad impacts over the conterminous U.S. (1996, 1999–2002) were associated with North Atlantic warming (positive AMO) and northeastern and tropical Pacific cooling (negative PDO). Much of the long-term predictability of drought frequency may reside in the multidecadal behavior of the North Atlantic Ocean. Should the current positive AMO (warm North Atlantic) conditions persist into the upcoming decade, we suggest two possible drought scenarios that resemble the continental-scale patterns of the 1930s (positive PDO) and 1950s (negative PDO) drought.
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Cites
Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures, 1901–85
Folland, C. K., Palmer, T. N., & Parker, D. E. (1986) · Nature · doi:10.1038/320602a0 · Cited by 1,147
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Long-Term Aridity Changes in the Western United States
Cook, E. R., Woodhouse, C. A., Eakin, C. M., Meko, D. M., & Stahle, D. W. (2004) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1102586 · Cited by 1,580
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited
Newman, M., Alexander, M. A., Ault, T. R., Cobb, K. M., Deser, C., Di Lorenzo, E., Mantua, N. J., Miller, A. J., Minobe, S., Nakamura, H., et al. (2016) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-15-0508.1 · Cited by 1,318
Chen, F., Yu, Z., Yang, M., Ito, E., Wang, S., Madsen, D. B., Huang, X., Zhao, Y., Sato, T., John B. Birks, H., et al. (2008) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.10.017 · Cited by 1,249
Climate impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
Knight, J. R., Folland, C. K., & Scaife, A. A. (2006) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2006gl026242 · Cited by 1,209
Seasonal Drought Prediction: Advances, Challenges, and Future Prospects
Hao, Z., Singh, V. P., & Xia, Y. (2018) · Reviews of Geophysics · doi:10.1002/2016rg000549 · Cited by 607
Metadata
- Authors
- McCabe, G. J., Palecki, M. A., & Betancourt, J. L.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2004-03-11
- Volume
- 101
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 4136-4141
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2165937826
- Cited by
- 1,126
- References
- 1
- FWCI
- 37.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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- McCabe, G. J., Palecki, M. A., & Betancourt, J. L. (2004). Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0306738101
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