The DOI matches its Crossref record; 44 of the 44 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Rapid, global demographic expansions after the origins of agriculture
Open accessAbstract
The invention of agriculture is widely assumed to have driven recent human population growth. However, direct genetic evidence for population growth after independent agricultural origins has been elusive. We estimated population sizes through time from a set of globally distributed whole mitochondrial genomes, after separating lineages associated with agricultural populations from those associated with hunter-gatherers. The coalescent-based analysis revealed strong evidence for distinct demographic expansions in Europe, southeastern Asia, and sub-Saharan Africa within the past 10,000 y. Estimates of the timing of population growth based on genetic data correspond neatly to dates for the initial origins of agriculture derived from archaeological evidence. Comparisons of rates of population growth through time reveal that the invention of agriculture facilitated a fivefold increase in population growth relative to more ancient expansions of hunter-gatherers.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“The rise and dispersal of agricultural populations across Earth’s land was likely driven by increasing rates of population growth sustained by early agricultural economies (93–95), which likely enabled them to dominate Earth’s most productive landscapes, where increasingly intensive agricultural systems became established in most regions of the world, despite the periodic collapse of individual”
From Used planet: a global history (2013) · cites this paper as [94]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
BEAST: Bayesian evolutionary analysis by sampling trees
Drummond, A. J., & Rambaut, A. (2007) · BMC Evolutionary Biology · doi:10.1186/1471-2148-7-214 · Cited by 13,104
Bayesian Coalescent Inference of Past Population Dynamics from Molecular Sequences
Drummond, A. J. (2005) · Molecular Biology and Evolution · doi:10.1093/molbev/msi103 · Cited by 3,094
Mitochondrial genome variation and the origin of modern humans
Ingman, M., Kaessmann, H., Pääbo, S., & Gyllensten, U. B. (2000) · Nature · doi:10.1038/35047064 · Cited by 1,546
Population growth of human Y chromosomes: a study of Y chromosome microsatellites.
Pritchard, J., Seielstad, M., Pérez-Lezaun, A., & Feldman, M. (1999) · Molecular biology and evolution · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a026091 · Cited by 1,201
Farmers and Their Languages: The First Expansions
Diamond, J., & Bellwood, P. (2003) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1078208 · Cited by 1,054
Natural selection shaped regional mtDNA variation in humans
Mishmar, D., Ruiz‐Pesini, E., Golik, P., Macaulay, V. A., Clark, A. G., Hosseini, S., Brandon, M., Easley, K. A., Chen, E., Brown, M. D., et al. (2002) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0136972100 · Cited by 1,040
The Origins And Spread Of Agriculture And Pastoralism In Eurasia
Harris, D. R. (2024) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781003579861 · Cited by 1,010
The Neolithic Transition and the Genetics of Populations in Europe
Ammerman, A. J., & Cavalli-Sforza, L. L. (1984) · Princeton University Press eBooks · doi:10.1515/9781400853113 · Cited by 979
Tracing European Founder Lineages in the Near Eastern mtDNA Pool
Richards, M. B., Macaulay, V. A., Hickey, E., Vega, E., Sykes, B. C., Guida, V., Rengo, C., Sellitto, D., Cruciani, F., Kivisild, T., et al. (2000) · The American Journal of Human Genetics · doi:10.1016/s0002-9297(07)62954-1 · Cited by 952
The Neolithic Transition and the Genetics of Populations in Europe.
Roberts, D. F., Ammerman, A. J., & Cavalli-Sforza, L. L. (1986) · Man · doi:10.2307/2803105 · Cited by 763
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 201–274 of 274
Our fragile intellect: response to Dr Mitchell
Crabtree, G. R. (2013) · Trends in Genetics · doi:10.1016/j.tig.2012.12.005 · Cited by 2
Cotton Agriculture and the Function of Gravel Mulch in the Northern Rio Grande
Kessler, N. V. (2020) · UA Campus Repository (The University of Arizona) · Cited by 2
Jangir, H., Kaler, B., Srivast, G., & Das, M. (2022) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1630965/v1 · Cited by 2
LaPolice, T. M., Williams, M. P., & Huber, C. D. (2024) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2024.04.29.591653 · Cited by 2
Why did doctrinal religions first appear in the Northern Subtropical Zone?
Dunbar, R. (2023) · Evolutionary Human Sciences · doi:10.1017/ehs.2023.13 · Cited by 1
Costanzo, S., Zerboni, A., Cremaschi, M., & Usai, D. (2024) · Quaternary International · doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2024.109592 · Cited by 1
The Effects of Hunting on Tapir Populations
Naranjo, E. J., & Bodmer, R. E. (2024) · Fascinating life sciences · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-65311-7_8 · Cited by 1
Chen, C., Chen, M., Luo, L., Zhu, Y., Chen, H., Zhao, M., Cao, Y., Li, Y., Li, L., Shen, C., et al. (2025) · Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.3389/fevo.2025.1636099 · Cited by 1
Wilson, K. M., Codding, B. F., McCool, W. C., Medina, I. D., Vernon, K. B., & Brewer, S. (2026) · Journal of Archaeological Science · doi:10.1016/j.jas.2026.106523 · Cited by 1
Targeting Zoonotic Spillover Drivers for Global Pandemic Prevention: A Narrative Review
Mpakosi, A., Cholevas, V., Lianou, A., Tziraki, F., Vogiatzis, I., Cholevas, S., Tzouvelekis, I., Mironidou‐Tzouveleki, M., Tsante, K. A., Tsakri, D., et al. (2026) · Microorganisms · doi:10.3390/microorganisms14061316 · Cited by 1
The Q2 Mitochondrial Haplogroup in Oceania
Corser, C. A., McLenachan, P. A., Pierson, M., Harrison, G. L. A., & Penny, D. (2012) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0052022 · Cited by 1
Taylor, P. J., O’Brien, G., & O’Keefe, P. (2015) · ACME · doi:10.14288/acme.v15i2.1287 · Cited by 1
Ma, Z., Liu, S., Li, Z., Ye, M., & Huan, X. (2022) · Frontiers in Earth Science · doi:10.3389/feart.2022.884856 · Cited by 1
Martínez‐Cruz, B., Zalewska, H., & Zalewski, A. (2022) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0266161 · Cited by 1
Malle, B. F. (2025) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108894357.019 · Cited by 1
Sun, Y., Wei, X., Cui, T., Zhang, X., Li, X., & Sun, Y. (2025) · Journal of Archaeological Science · doi:10.1016/j.jas.2025.106256 · Cited by 1
Was the Cro-Magnon the Most Intelligent Modern Human?
Cretan, C. (2016) · Mankind Quarterly · doi:10.46469/mq.2016.57.2.3 · Cited by 1
Agriculture Driving Male Expansion in Neolithic Time
Yu, X.-E., Wang, C., Li, J., Li, H., Chen, C., & Huang, Y. (2016) · Scientia Sinica Vitae · doi:10.1360/n052016-00126 · Cited by 1
Smitz, N., Cornélis, D., Chardonnet, P., Randi, E., & MICHAUX, J. R. (2014) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781139568098.027 · Cited by 1
Rigaud, S., & van Schaik, C. P. (2011) · Human Biology · doi:10.3378/027.083.0506 · Cited by 1
A genetic approach to the relationship between taste perception and lifestyle in Africa.
Oliveira, M. (2012) · Portuguese National Funding Agency for Science, Research and Technology (RCAAP Project by FCT) · doi:10.34626/fsnb-sb52 · Cited by 1
A Study Of Anthropomorphic Figurines In The Neolithic Of Southwest Asia And Southeastern Europe
Feagans, C. T. (2013) · UTA ResearchCommons (University of Texas Arlington) · doi:10.6067/xcv84j0g18
Brooke, J. L. (2014) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139050814.004
Agriculture: Origins of Agriculture in Brazil
Feltran‐Barbieri, R. (2014) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-007-3934-5_10217-1
Brooke, J. L. (2014) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139050814.019
Murchie, T. J. (2015) · Libraries and Cultural Resources (University of Calgary) · doi:10.11575/prism/26636
An Ecological Study of the Anurans in Tea Plantations in a Biodiversity Hotspot
Eluvathingal, L. M. (2016) · doi:10.25148/etd.fidc001204 · Cited by 1
preindustrial northern Finland Evolutionary demography of agricultural expansion in
Helle, S., Brommer, J. E., Pettay, J. E., Lummaa, V., Enbuske, M., & Jokela, J. (2014)
Xue, A. T. (2017) · CUNY Academic Works (City University of New York)
Chapter 3. Genomic diversity in the domestication process
Tapio, M., & Qanbari, S. (2017) · Wageningen Academic Publishers eBooks · doi:10.3920/978-90-8686-850-6_3
Paleodemographic modeling in the lower Mississippi River Valley
Alvey, J. S. (2019) · doi:10.32469/10355/70059
Inferring Human Demographic History from Genetic Data
Wall, J. D. (2021) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-61646-5_8
Troublesome Reflection: Racism as the Blind Spot in the Scientific Critique of Race
Roseman, C. C. (2020) · Human Biology · doi:10.13110/humanbiology.92.3.06
Coelho, M. T. P., Haynie, H. J., Bowern, C., Colwell, R. K., Greenhill, S. J., Kirby, K. R., Rangel, T. F., & Gavin, M. C. (2021) · doi:10.31235/osf.io/xqr2u
(2019) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781118768853.refs
Ho, S. Y. W., & Endicott, P. (2020) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-30018-0_3332
Agriculture: Origins of Agriculture in Brazil
Feltran‐Barbieri, R. (2014) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-007-3934-5_10217-2
Ho, S. Y. W., & Endicott, P. (2018) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-51726-1_3332-1
Climate Change, Climatic Extremes, and Human Societies in the Past
Lee, H. F. (2020) · MDPI eBooks · doi:10.3390/books978-3-03936-961-4
Agriculture: Origins of Agriculture in Brazil
Feltran‐Barbieri, R. (2016) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-007-7747-7_10217
Agriculture: Origins of Agriculture in Brazil
Feltran‐Barbieri, R. (2014) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-007-3934-5_10217-3
Taylor, P. J., O’Brien, G., & O’Keefe, P. (2020) · Bristol University Press eBooks · doi:10.51952/9781529210491.bm001
Exploring inbreeding dynamics by considering reproductive bound and polygyny
Choi, J., & Park, J. (2023) · Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science · doi:10.1063/5.0160583
King, N., & Jones, A. W. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-46448-5_1
Ancient DNA: Cardiovascular Disease Prediction from Mummies
Poznyak, A. V., Kirichenko, T. V., Elizova, N. V., Churov, A. V., Kovyanova, T. I., Starodubtseva, I. A., Sukhorukov, V. N., & Orekhov, A. A. N. (2024) · Journal of Angiotherapy · doi:10.25163/angiotherapy.869761
Malle, B., & Robbins, P. (2025) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108894357.015
Wang, G., Yajiang, W., Wang, S., Jia, T., Yang, P., Zhongshi, X., Wenhui, N., Fen, S., Chen, W., Wu, C., et al. (2025) · Journal of genetics and genomics/Journal of Genetics and Genomics · doi:10.1016/j.jgg.2025.07.004
Li, J., Zhao, B., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Chian, J. S., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Andaluz, S., He, J., Sinha, S., et al. (2025) · Genes & Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.gendis.2025.101916
Culture-as-bit: Culture and Cultural Evolution
Caudill, M. T. (2014) · W&M Publish (College of William & Mary)
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26701975
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26701969
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.25547091
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.25546945
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26701978
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26701966
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26701972
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26701984
Zhao, B., Li, J., Sinha, S., Qin, Z., Kou, S. H., Xiao, F., Lei, H., Chen, T., Cao, W., Ding, X., et al. (2024) · Figshare · doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.26701987
Sheep domestication and major post-domestication breeding
Li, M., & Dehkordi, H. S. (2025) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-43994-0.00022-8
Coelho, M. T. P., Haynie, H. J., Bowern, C., Colwell, R. K., Greenhill, S. J., Kirby, K. R., Rangel, T. F., & Gavin, M. C. (2026) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2024.2361
He, K., Xu, D., Cui, A., Zhang, G., & Lu, H. (2026) · Archaeometry · doi:10.1111/arcm.70130
Agricultural sciences and sustainability
Almeida, F. N., de Setta, N., Milazzotto, M. P., Nachiluk, K., de Souza, S. R., Vilha, A. M., & Masuda, H. P. (2026) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-13417-3.00009-3
Paz, D. B. (2021) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/56326466z28fdz442fzb5c3ze156e6876adb
Inferences of Malagasy Evolutionary History from Genomic Data
Alva, O. (2022) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/2478db53z86d3z4a46za465z8d7a9d354142
Zhang, G., Wang, L., Hu, S., Ma, M., Zhao, J., Ge, Y., Zeng, L., & Liu, X. (2026) · Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science · doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2026.110185
Employing smallholder farmers to practise sustainable farming in China: A systemic approachPreprint
Kong, Z.-H. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.6883123
Holocene niche divergence of wheat and barley in Central and East Eurasia
Ma, Z., Shao, B., You, Z., Monteith, F., Wan, Z., & Ma, J. (2026) · Journal of Archaeological Science · doi:10.1016/j.jas.2026.106619
How Conflict with Humans Changes Carnivores
Rouviere, A., & Montgomery, R. A. (2026) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/9780191996665.003.0005
Willis, C. S., Wills, E. K., Azmi, R., Yule, C. M., & Gilby, B. L. (2026) · Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment · doi:10.1016/j.agee.2026.110646
Zhang, X., Liu, X. H., & Zheng, J. (2026) · The Holocene · doi:10.1177/09596836261458258
Asynchronous crop-record expansions reveal spatial opportunity structures in Holocene ChinaPreprint
Li, Y., Gao, M., Zhang, Z., Peng, S., Zhang, Y., Yan, S., & Shang, H. (2026) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-11184906/v1
Metadata
- Authors
- Gignoux, C. R., Henn, B. M., & Mountain, J. L.
- Affiliations
- University of California, San Francisco (US)
- Stanford University (US)
- 23andMe (United States) (US)
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2011-03-28
- Volume
- 108
- Issue
- 15
- Pages
- 6044-6049
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC3076817
- OpenAlex
- W1978615674
- Cited by
- 267
- References
- 44
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 18 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 24 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 7 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 27 · 2014: 21 · 2013: 24 · 2012: 17
- FWCI
- 13.97
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- Directorate for Biological Sciences
- University of California, San Francisco
- National Institute of General Medical Sciences (T32GM07175, T32GM007175)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Forensic and Genetic Research
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic diversity and population structure
- Social Sciences › Cultural Studies › Language and cultural evolution
- Keywords
- origins of agriculture, population growth, demographic expansion, hunter-gatherers, agricultural population, mitochondrial genome, coalescent analysis, population size estimation, Neolithic, Europe, Southeast Asia, sub-Saharan Africa
- MeSH terms
- Agriculture, DNA, Mitochondrial, Humans, Population, Population Growth, History, 15th Century, History, 17th Century, History, 18th Century, History, 19th Century, History, 20th Century, History, 21st Century, History, Ancient, History, Medieval
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review