The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century
Open accessAbstract
A recently developed technique for simulating large [O(10 4 )] numbers of tropical cyclones in climate states described by global gridded data is applied to simulations of historical and future climate states simulated by six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) global climate models. Tropical cyclones downscaled from the climate of the period 1950–2005 are compared with those of the 21st century in simulations that stipulate that the radiative forcing from greenhouse gases increases by over preindustrial values. In contrast to storms that appear explicitly in most global models, the frequency of downscaled tropical cyclones increases during the 21st century in most locations. The intensity of such storms, as measured by their maximum wind speeds, also increases, in agreement with previous results. Increases in tropical cyclone activity are most prominent in the western North Pacific, but are evident in other regions except for the southwestern Pacific. The increased frequency of events is consistent with increases in a genesis potential index based on monthly mean global model output. These results are compared and contrasted with other inferences concerning the effect of global warming on tropical cyclones.
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Citations
Cites
Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years.
Emanuel, K. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03906 · Cited by 4,013
Self-citationTropical cyclones and climate change
Knutson, T. R., McBride, J. L., Chan, J., Emanuel, K., Holland, G., Landsea, C., Held, I., Kossin, J. P., Srivastava, A. K., & Sugi, M. (2010) · Nature Geoscience · doi:10.1038/ngeo779 · Cited by 3,194
Self-citationThe impact of climate change on global tropical cyclone damage
Mendelsohn, R., Emanuel, K., Chonabayashi, S., & Bakkensen, L. (2012) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate1357 · Cited by 805
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Cited by
Knutson, T., Camargo, S. J., Chan, J. C. L., Emanuel, K., Ho, C.-H., Kossin, J., Mohapatra, M., Satoh, M., Sugi, M., Walsh, K., et al. (2020) · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · doi:10.1175/bams-d-18-0194.1 · Cited by 1,356
Self-citationEstimating economic damage from climate change in the United States
Hsiang, S., Kopp, R., Jina, A., Rising, J., Delgado, M., Mohan, S., Rasmussen, D. J., Muir-Wood, R., Wilson, P., Oppenheimer, M., et al. (2017) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aal4369 · Cited by 1,239
Climate Extremes and Compound Hazards in a Warming World
AghaKouchak, A., Chiang, F., Huning, L. S., Love, C. A., Mallakpour, I., Mazdiyasni, O., Moftakhari, H., Papalexiou, S. M., Ragno, E., & Sadegh, M. (2020) · Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences · doi:10.1146/annurev-earth-071719-055228 · Cited by 1,103
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Walsh, K. J. E., McBride, J. L., Klotzbach, P. J., Balachandran, S., Camargo, S. J., Holland, G., Knutson, T. R., Kossin, J. P., Lee, T., Sobel, A., et al. (2016) · WIREs Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.371 · Cited by 837
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McDowell, N., Allen, C. D., Anderson‐Teixeira, K., Brando, P., Brienen, R., Chambers, J., Christoffersen, B., Davies, S., Doughty, C., Duque, A., et al. (2018) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/nph.15027 · Cited by 597
Metadata
- Authors
- Emanuel, K. A.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2013-07-08
- Volume
- 110
- Issue
- 30
- Pages
- 12219-12224
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W2017924709
- Cited by
- 832
- References
- 3
- FWCI
- 33.53
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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