Cited by 344School Choice and PerformanceEducation, Achievement, and GiftednessCritical Race Theory in Education

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 15 of the 15 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; none of the 5 sources its claims cite is checked for support yet.

Universal screening increases the representation of low-income and minority students in gifted education

Open access
Card, David, Giuliano, Laura·2016·Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Abstract

Significance: A longstanding concern about gifted education in the United States is the underrepresentation of minorities and economically disadvantaged groups. One explanation for this gap is that standard processes for identifying gifted students, which are based largely on the referrals of parents and teachers, tend to miss many qualified students. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find that a universal screening program in a large urban school district led to significant increases in the numbers of poor and minority students who met the IQ standards for gifted status. Our findings raise the question of whether a systemic failure to identify qualified students from all backgrounds may help explain the broader pattern of minority underrepresentation in all advanced K−12 academic programs.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

A large Florida district introduced universal NNAT screening for second graders in spring 2005 without changing gifted eligibility standards. It substantially increased gifted identification among low-income, Black, Hispanic, ELL, and female students, suggesting traditional parent/teacher referral systems underrefer qualified disadvantaged students.

Key findings

  • Overall gifted share among third graders rose from 3.3% to 5.5%; the trend-adjusted increase was 1.5 ppt (SE 0.3), an odds ratio of 1.451, or a 45% increase in the odds of being identified as gifted. School-level difference-in-differences was 1.6 ppt (SE 0.3).
  • Plan B eligible students’ gifted share rose from 1.4% to 4.3% (OR 2.743, a 174% increase), while Plan A students rose from 5.1% to 6.6% (OR 1.108, 11%). Odds rose by 74% for Black students (OR 1.741) and 118% for Hispanic students (OR 2.183), versus 12% for White students (OR 1.123).
  • Newly identified gifted students (“compliers”) were about 80% Plan B eligible; compared with always takers, they were disproportionately Black (23% vs. 12%), Hispanic (46% vs. 16%), FRL (67% vs. 20%), ELL (18% vs. 2%), female (56% vs. 45%), and less likely to have English-speaking parents (29% vs. 74%), while only 8% were White vs. 61% of always takers.
  • Among Plan B students, compliers had similar mean IQ scores to always takers (124.5 vs. 124.2; difference 0.38), and 20% of compliers had IQs of 130 or higher vs. 25% of always takers. All 140 larger elementary schools had at least one gifted third grader in 2006 or 2007, whereas 13 schools had none in 2004 or 2005.

Methods

  • Natural experiment/interrupted time series using deidentified District longitudinal records. Sample: third graders in 2004–2007 at 140 larger elementary schools; full sample n = 78,065, Plan B sample n = 37,947. Pre cohorts were 2004–2005; post cohorts were 2006–2007. Universal screening began spring 2005 for second graders using the Naglieri Non-Verbal Ability Test (NNAT), with unchanged IQ thresholds (130 for Plan A; 116 for Plan B).
  • Analysis compared gifted shares pre/post, estimated trend-adjusted linear probability and logit odds-ratio models, and used difference-in-differences with matched comparison schools from other Florida districts. Complier characteristics were estimated as the trend-adjusted change in the gifted share with a given characteristic divided by the trend-adjusted change in the gifted share; SEs were clustered by school.

Limitations

  • Stated: the analysis covers only one school district, and the District’s distinctive features—nonverbal screening test, lower Plan B referral threshold, strict IQ thresholds, and relatively low baseline gifted rate around 3.5%—may limit generalizability.
  • Stated/evident: the program was suspended in 2010 due to Great Recession funding cuts, and by 2011 the gifted share had returned to 2004–2005 levels; comparison schools also gradually increased gifted rates after 2007, complicating long-term inference.
  • Evident: FRL and ELL status can change over time, so students may be classified as Plan B at referral but Plan A by the end of third grade; the pre/post design is not randomized, though the authors validate pre cohorts and use a matched comparison group.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1073/pnas.1605043113

Cites

15 of 15 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

0 of 5 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    Plan B compliers are 21 percentage points more likely to be Hispanic than Plan B always takers.

    “The Plan B compliers are broadly similar to the Plan B always takers, but are 21 ppt.more likely to be Hispanic, and 27 ppt.less likely to have parents who speak English.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Newly identified gifted students were more likely to come from schools in poor neighborhoods with few gifted students.

    “Newly identified gifted students were more likely to come from schools in poor neighborhoods with few gifted students, leading to a substantial equalization in gifted participation rates across schools.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    For the Plan B group, compliers have about the same mean IQ scores as always takers.

    “Looking at the last two rows of Table 3 for the Plan B group, the compliers have lower achievement scores than the always takers, but about the same mean IQ scores.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Apart from the group with IQ < 125, many of the newly identified Plan A gifted students had IQ scores well above the minimum 130-point threshold.

    “However, apart from this group, many of the newly identified Plan A gifted students had IQ scores well above the minimum 130-point threshold.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingreasoning

    The characteristics of the Plan B compliers are quite similar to those of the overall complier group.

    “The characteristics of the Plan B compliers are quite similar to those of the overall complier group, reflecting the fact that 80% of all compliers are Plan B eligible.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. 11
  • It may state two separate claims as one. 19
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingown data

    Compliers are somewhat more likely to be female (56% vs. 45%).

    “They also attended schools with relatively high fractions of FRL participants and non-White students, and they are somewhat more likely to be female (56% vs. 45%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The estimates for the Black share (0.12) and the Hispanic share (0.30) differ significantly from the White share estimate of -0.53 (P < 0.01).

    “[In the final column of Table 3, which shows the estimated differences in complier and always-taker characteristics, the estimates for the Black share (0.12) and the Hispanic share (0.30) differ significantly from the White share estimate of -0.53 (P < 0.01) but do not differ significantly from each other (P = 0.25).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The fraction of third graders with IQs above the gifted threshold rose in both Plan A and Plan B groups, with a larger increase among Plan B eligible students.

    “The fraction of third graders with IQs above the gifted threshold also rose in both groups, again with a larger increase among Plan B eligible students.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    In the Plan B group, the distributions of IQ scores of always takers and compliers are similar, although compliers are somewhat less likely to have scores very close to the 116 cutoff.

    “In the Plan B group, the two distributions are similar-although the compliers are somewhat less likely to have scores very close to the 116 cutoff.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    In the pre cohort, half of gifted students were at schools that enrolled only 18% of the entire third-grade population, whereas half of all third-grade students were at schools that enrolled only 16% of the gifted students.

    “Half of gifted students in the pre cohort were at schools that enrolled only 18% of the entire third-grade population, whereas half of all third-grade students in the District were at schools that enrolled a total of only 16% of the gifted students.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    The District has strict IQ thresholds for eligibility, and before the introduction of the screening program, the District had relatively low gifted rates (around 3.5% for third graders) that reflected the importance of the IQ thresholds.

    “Second, the District has strict IQ thresholds for eligibility, and, before the introduction of the screening program, the District had relatively low gifted rates (around 3.5% for third graders) that reflected the importance of the IQ thresholds.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Plan B eligible students were less likely than Plan A students to have an IQ score on record and much less likely to be classified as gifted.

    “despite facing a lower threshold for gifted status, Plan B students were less likely than Plan A students to have an IQ score on record and were much less likely to be classified as gifted.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The empirical mean and SD of changes in the average third-grade gifted rate across the 22 other larger Florida districts are -0.001 and 0.007, and the observed change in the District is 2.65 SDs from the mean.

    “The empirical mean and SD of the changes across the 22 other districts are -0.001 and 0.007.The observed change in the District is 2.65 SDs from the mean for the other districts”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The fraction of students classified as gifted increased from 5.1% to 6.6% among Plan A students and from 1.4% to 4.3% in the Plan B group.

    “the fraction of students classified as gifted also increased in both groups, rising from 5.1% to 6.6% among Plan A students and from 1.4% to 4.3% in the Plan B group.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingown data

    The Black share and Hispanic share estimates do not differ significantly from each other (P = 0.25).

    “[In the final column of Table 3, which shows the estimated differences in complier and always-taker characteristics, the estimates for the Black share (0.12) and the Hispanic share (0.30) differ significantly from the White share estimate of -0.53 (P < 0.01) but do not differ significantly from each other (P = 0.25).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The trend-adjusted difference (model 2) is 1.5 percentage points, with an SE of 0.3 percentage points, nearly identical to the difference-in-differences estimate.

    “The trend-adjusted difference (model 2) is 1.5 ppt.with an SE of 0.3 ppt., which is nearly identical to the difference-in-differences estimate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    All 140 larger elementary schools in the District had at least one gifted third-grade student in 2006 or 2007, whereas in 2004 and 2005, 13 schools had no gifted students.

    “In particular, all 140 larger elementary schools in the District had at least one gifted third-grade student in 2006 or 2007, whereas, in 2004 and 2005, 13 schools had no gifted students.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The gain in IQ testing was much larger for Plan B eligibles, large enough to close the testing gap between Plan B and Plan A.

    “with a much larger gain for Plan B eligibleslarge enough to close the testing gap between the two groups.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The newly identified gifted students were disproportionately poor, Black, and Hispanic, and less likely to have parents whose primary language was English.

    “the newly identified gifted students were disproportionately poor, Black, and Hispanic, and less likely to have parents whose primary language was English.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Thirteen regular elementary schools in the District had no gifted children in third grade in 2004 or 2005, while the gifted rate was nearly 10% at the 13 schools with the lowest fraction of FRL students.

    “Thirteen regular elementary schools in the District had no gifted children in third grade in 2004 or 2005, but the gifted rate was nearly 10% at the 13 schools with the lowest fraction of FRL students.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Teachers and parents may simply not recognize the abilities of many of these students.

    “Teachers and parents may simply not recognize the abilities of many of these students.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Most compliers are Plan B eligible and are therefore subject to a lower IQ threshold than the Plan A group who comprise most of the always takers.

    “In interpreting the IQ gap, however, it is important to keep in mind that most compliers are Plan B eligible, and are therefore subject to a lower IQ threshold than the Plan A group who comprise most of the always takers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The 2004-2005 pre cohorts form a valid comparison group for the 2006-2007 post cohorts.

    “We confirm that the 2004-2005 (”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationnone given

    Both the use of a nonverbal screening test and the lower Plan B referral threshold may have been important factors in the success of the District's screening program.

    “First, both the use of a nonverbal screening test and the lower Plan B referral threshold may have been important factors in the success of the District's screening program.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationown data

    The analysis pertains to only a single school district.

    “An important limitation of our analysis is that it pertains to only a single school district.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Any increase in the number of students identified as gifted following the introduction of the program can be attributed to the screening effort, and not to a relaxation of the standards for gifted status.

    “Any increase in the number of students identified as gifted following the introduction of the program can thus be attributed to the screening effort, and not to a relaxation of the standards for gifted status.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The increase in IQ testing between the pre and post cohorts was presumably driven by a rise in referrals caused by the screening program.

    “the increase in IQ testing was presumably driven by a rise in referrals caused by the screening program”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    Black and Hispanic students, FRL participants, ELLs, and girls were all systematically underreferred to the gifted program.

    “A comparison of the newly identified gifted students to those who would have been identified even without screening shows that Black and Hispanic students, FRL participants, ELLs, and girls were all systematically”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Premisecitation

    Disadvantaged groups are significantly underrepresented in advanced academic programs at all levels of K-12 education.

    “More broadly, disadvantaged groups are significantly underrepresented in advanced academic programs at all levels of K-12 education (15).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [15]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    Blacks, Hispanics, free/reduced price lunch participants, English language learners, and girls were all systematically underreferred in the traditional parent/teacher referral system.

    “Comparisons of the newly identified gifted students with those who would have been placed in the absence of screening show that Blacks and Hispanics, free/reduced price lunch participants, English language learners, and girls were all systematically”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationown data

    The paper's findings are consistent with the argument that IQ testing can serve to limit biases associated with subjective judgment.

    “(It is also worth noting that while biases or disparate impact of IQ tests are a common concern, our findings are consistent with the argument often made by proponents of IQ testing that it can serve to limit biases associated with subjective judgment.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Interpretationnone given

    The District's gifted policies have a number of distinctive features.

    “Although the student population in the District is highly diverse, and arguably representative of the student population in many large urban districts, the District's gifted policies have a number of distinctive features.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Study design and conductown data

    The pre and post cohorts were very similar in characteristics, with only a small decline in Whites offset by small rises in Blacks and Hispanics.

    “students in the two post cohorts are very similar to those in the two pre cohorts.”
    • Also stated in: § Analysis of Student-Level Data. · plain
      “The only notable difference is a small decline in the fraction of Whites, offset by small rises in the fractions of Blacks and Hispanics.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationown data

    Factors related to race/culture may also play a role in the underrepresentation of Black students.

    “At the same time, the combination of large impacts for Blacks and negligible effects for Whites suggests that factors related to race/culture may also play a role.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
29 of 29
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The District's student population is representative of the student population in many large urban districts.

    “Although the student population in the District is highly diverse, and arguably representative of the student population in many large urban districts, the District's gifted policies have a number of distinctive features.”
1 of 1

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Metadata

Authors
Card, D., & Giuliano, L.
Affiliations
  • University of California, Berkeley (US)
  • University of Miami (US)
Venue
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Published
2016-11-15
Volume
113
Issue
48
Pages
13678-13683
ISSN
  • 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
  • 1091-6490
OpenAlex
W2154336198
Cited by
343
References
15
Citations by year
2026: 125 · 2025: 29 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 38 · 2022: 32 · 2021: 37 · 2020: 25 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 2
FWCI
32.40
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
  • Grantee Submission
Funders
Institute of Ed (R305D110019)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Developmental and Educational Psychology › Education, Achievement, and Giftedness
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Critical Race Theory in Education
Keywords
gifted education, universal screening, underrepresentation, low-income students, minority students, English language learners, gender disparities, second grade students, urban school districts, eligibility criteria
MeSH terms
Child, Child, Gifted, Child, Preschool, Ethnicity, Female, Humans, Male, Mass Screening, Minority Groups, Socioeconomic Factors

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