The DOI matches its Crossref record; 5 of the 5 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Quantifying contributions of natural variability and anthropogenic forcings on increased fire weather risk over the western United States
Open accessAbstract
Significance: The western United States (WUS) has experienced a rapid increase of fire weather (as indicated by vapor pressure deficit, VPD) in recent decades, especially in the warm season. However, the extent to which an increase of VPD is due to natural variability or anthropogenic warming has been unclear. Our observation-based estimate suggests ∼one-third of the VPD trend is attributable to natural variability of atmospheric circulation, whereas ∼two-thirds is explained by anthropogenic warming. In addition, climate models attribute ∼90% of the VPD trend to anthropogenic warming. Both estimates suggest that anthropogenic warming is the main cause for increasing fire weather and provide a likely range for the true anthropogenic contribution to the WUS trend in VPD.
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Citations
Cites
Warming and earlier spring increase western U.S. forest wildfire activity.
Westerling, A. L., Hidalgo, H. G., Cayan, D. R., & Swetnam, T. W. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1128834 · Cited by 5,176 · cited 1×
“In addition to an increase in VPD or evaporative demand due to warming, fire behavior is also affected by ignition sources (17), forest management (18), tree mortality from bark beetles (19), earlier and reduced springtime snowmelt (7), reduced summer precipitation (20), cloud shading (21), vegetation cover (22), fog…”
BackgroundImpact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Abatzoglou, J. T., & Williams, A. P. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1607171113 · Cited by 3,073
Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States
Balch, J. K., Bradley, B. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Nagy, R. C., Fusco, E. J., & Mahood, A. L. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1617394114 · Cited by 1,043
FEDERAL FOREST‐FIRE POLICY IN THE UNITED STATES
Stephens, S. L., & Ruth, L. W. (2005) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1890/04-0545 · Cited by 584
Williams, A. P., & Abatzoglou, J. T. (2016) · Current Climate Change Reports · doi:10.1007/s40641-016-0031-0 · Cited by 173
Cited by
U.S. fires became larger, more frequent, and more widespread in the 2000s
Iglesias, V., Balch, J. K., & Travis, W. R. (2022) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abc0020 · Cited by 280
Frausto-Vicencio, I., Heerah, S., Meyer, A. G., Parker, H. A., Dubey, M., & Hopkins, F. M. (2023) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi:10.5194/acp-23-4521-2023 · Cited by 10
Metadata
- Authors
- Zhuang, Y., Fu, R., Santer, B. D., Dickinson, R. E., & Hall, A.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2021-11
- Volume
- 118
- Issue
- 45
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W3207978175
- Cited by
- 217
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 13.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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- Zhuang, Y., Fu, R., Santer, B. D., Dickinson, R. E., & Hall, A. (2021). Quantifying contributions of natural variability and anthropogenic forcings on increased fire weather risk over the western United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2111875118
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