The DOI matches its Crossref record; 43 of the 43 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Biodiversity impacts and conservation implications of urban land expansion projected to 2050
Open accessAbstract
As the global urban population is poised to grow by 2.5 billion over the next 30 y, urban land conversions are expected to be an increasingly prominent driver of habitat and biodiversity loss. Mitigating these impacts urgently requires an improved understanding of where and how these biodiversity losses might occur. Here, we use a recently developed suite of land-use projections to provide an assessment of projected habitat that will be lost to urban land expansion for 30,393 species of terrestrial vertebrates from 2015 to 2050 across three shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios. We find that urban land expansion is a contributing driver of habitat loss (≥5% of total loss) for around one-third (26 to 39%) of the species assessed. For up to 855 species (2 to 3% of those assessed), urban land is a direct driver of species imperilment, driving at least one-quarter of a net habitat loss of 10% or more. Urban clusters with the greatest threats to species due to projected expansion are predominantly located in the developing tropical regions of sub-Saharan Africa, South America, Mesoamerica, and Southeast Asia. Our results suggest that strategies for minimizing the impacts of urban land could strengthen global biodiversity protection agreements. Collaborative, global action that focuses on vulnerable species and regions may represent an efficient strategy for avoiding the impacts forecast by our analysis.
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Cites
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Global forecasts of urban expansion to 2030 and direct impacts on biodiversity and carbon pools
Seto, K. C., Güneralp, B., & Hutyra, L. R. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1211658109 · Cited by 5,086 · cited 1×
“Much of this urban expansion is predicted to occur in biodiversity hotspots, many of which contained relatively little urban land in 2000 (18).”
Self-citationGlobal effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity
Newbold, T., Hudson, L. N., Hill, S. L. L., Contu, S., Lysenko, I., Senior, R. A., Börger, L., Bennett, D. J., Choimes, A., Collen, B., et al. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature14324 · Cited by 4,352
The global diversity of birds in space and time
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Self-citationUrbanization as a major cause of biotic homogenization
McKinney, M. L. (2006) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2005.09.005 · Cited by 3,841
Urbanization, Biodiversity, and Conservation
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Zipf's Law for Cities: An Explanation
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Cited by
Gupta, J., Bai, X., Liverman, D. M., Rockström, J., Qin, D., Stewart-Koster, B., Rocha, J. C., Jacobson, L., Abrams, J. F., Andersen, L. S., et al. (2024) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00042-1 · Cited by 197
Metadata
- Authors
- Simkin, R. D., Seto, K. C., McDonald, R. I., & Jetz, W.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2022-03-14
- Volume
- 119
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- e2117297119-e2117297119
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- OpenAlex
- W4220718869
- Cited by
- 826
- References
- 43
- FWCI
- 66.37
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
