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Cited by 19Demographic Trends and Gender PreferencesReproductive Health and ContraceptionSocial Policies and Family

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The Islamic Republic of Iran’s New Population Policy and Recent Changes in Fertility

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Ladier-Fouladi, Marie·2021·Iranian Studies
DOI 10.1080/00210862.2021.1884970
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Abstract

After dropping rapidly and steadily over two decades, fertility in Iran stabilized between 2001 and 2011 at around 1.9 to 2 children per woman, before starting to rise slightly between 2012 and 2016, then falling fairly quickly. This coincided with the implementation of the Islamic Republic’s new population policy, with its aggressive and coercive measures, one of whose goals was to reverse the downwards trend in fertility. Given changes in proximate and remote determinants of fertility in Iran, and the decline in fertility since 2016, it is assumed that this new population policy triggered a reduction in intervals between births between 2012 and 2015, leading to a slight rise in the fertility of already married couples. The other latent objective of the Islamic Republic’s new population policy is to drive Iran’s population up to 150 million inhabitants in the near future. This is utopian given Iran’s demographic dynamics, but it conceals the political and ideological goal of asserting Iran’s demographic and geopolitical significance within the region, by drawing on a novel immigration policy to make up for its low fertility.

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Research works printed but not linked: 20

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Metadata

Authors
Ladier-Fouladi, M.
Affiliations
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
Corresponding author
Ladier-Fouladi, Marie
ORCID
Ladier-Fouladi, Marie
Venue
Iranian Studies
Publisher
Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Published
2021-11-02
Volume
54
Issue
5-6
Pages
907-930
ISSN
  • 0021-0862 (ISSN-L)
  • 1475-4819
DOI
10.1080/00210862.2021.1884970
OpenAlex
W3134458159
Cited by
19
References
0
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 1
FWCI
3.13
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
Locations
  • Iranian Studies (publishedVersion)
  • HAL (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Reproductive Health and Contraception
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social Policies and Family
Keywords
population policy, fertility trends, birth interval, fertility determinants, immigration policy, Iran

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Islamic Republic of Iran’s New Population Policy and Recent Changes in Fertility. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1080/00210862.2021.1884970
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Ladier-Fouladi, M. (2021). The Islamic Republic of Iran’s New Population Policy and Recent Changes in Fertility. Iranian Studies. https://doi.org/10.1080/00210862.2021.1884970