Does broadband Internet affect fertility?
Open accessAbstract
The spread of high-speed (broadband) Internet epitomizes the digital revolution. Using German panel data, we test whether the availability of broadband influences fertility choices in a low-fertility setting well known for the difficulty in combining work and family life. We exploit a strategy devised by Falck and colleagues to obtain causal estimates of the impact of broadband on fertility. We find positive effects of broadband availability on the fertility of highly educated women aged 25-45. We further confirm this result using county-level data on total fertility. We show that broadband access significantly increases the share of women reporting home- or part-time working. Furthermore, we find positive effects on time spent with children and overall life satisfaction. Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that access to broadband allows highly educated women, but not the less educated, to reconcile career and motherhood, which may promote a 'digital divide' in fertility.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Internet access has raised fertility among highly educated women aged 24-39 in Germany, presumably by alleviating the trade-off between childcare and employment.
“but has raised fertility among highly educated women aged 24-39 in Germany, presumably by alleviating the trade-off between childcare and employment (Billari et al. 2019).”
From Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences (2024) · cites this paper as Billari et al. 2019
The Conclusion reports a positive, though imprecise, effect of broadband access on fertility among highly educated women in Germany aged 25–45. It says the findings are consistent with easier reconciliation of work and motherhood. The cited paper does not establish the claim for the stated 24–39 age group, and its finding concerns broadband rather than Internet access generally. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Who benefits from universal child care? Estimating marginal returns to early child care attendance
Cornelissen, T., Dustmann, C., Raute, A., & Schönberg, U. (2018) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/699979 · Cited by 315 · see citing works
Fertility effects of child benefits
Riphahn, R. T., & Wiynck, F. (2017) · Journal of Population Economics · doi:10.1007/s00148-017-0647-y · Cited by 175 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 47
- Acharya, A., M. Blackwell, and M. Sen. 2016. Explaining causal findings without bias: Detecting and assessing direct effects, American Political Science Review 110 (3): 512-529.
- Albanesi, S. and C. Olivetti. 2016. Gender roles and medical progress, Journal of Political Economy 124(3): 650-695.
- Balbo, N., and N. Barban. 2014. Does fertility behavior spread among friends?, American Sociological Review 79(3): 412-431. 314
- Francesco C. Billari et al. Balbo, N., F. C. Billari, and M. Mills. 2013. Fertility in advanced societies: A review of research, European Journal of Population/Revue Européenne de Démographie 29(1): 1-38.
- Bauernschuster, S., O. Falck, and L. Woessmann. 2014. Surfing alone? The Internet and social capital: Evidence from an unforeseeable technological mistake, Journal of Public Economics 117: 73-89.
- Bauernschuster, S., T. Hener, and H. Rainer. 2016. Children of a (policy) revolution: The introduction of universal child care and its effect on fertility, Journal of the European Economic Association 14(4): 975-1005.
- Bellou, A. 2015. The impact of Internet diffusion on mar- riage rates: Evidence from the broadband market, Journal of Population Economics 28(2): 265-297.
- Bernardi, L., S. Keim, and H. Von Der Lippe. 2007. Social influences on fertility: A comparative mixed methods study in Eastern and Western Germany, Journal of Mixed Methods Research 1(1): 23-47.
- Billari, F. C. and H.-P. Kohler. 2004. Patterns of low and lowest-low fertility in Europe, Population Studies 58 (2): 161-176.
- Bittman, M. and J. Wajcman. 2000. The rush hour: The character of leisure time and gender equity, Social Forces 79(1): 165-189.
- Bongaarts, J., and S. C. Watkins. 1996. Social interactions and contemporary fertility transitions, Population and Development Review 22: 639-682.
- Boserup, E.1976. Environment, population, and technol- ogy in primitive societies, Population and Development Review 2: 21-36.
- Brenke, K. 2016. Home offices: Plenty of untapped poten- tial, DIW Economic Bulletin 6(8): 95-104.
- Buber-Ennser, I., R. Panova, and J. Dorbritz. 2013. Fertility intentions of university graduates, Demográfia English Edition 56(5): 5-34.
- Castells, M. 2002. The Internet Galaxy: Reflections on the Internet, Business, and Society. New York: Oxford University Press on Demand.
- de V. Cavalcanti, T. V. and J. Tavares. 2008. Assessing the 'engines of liberation': home appliances and female labor force participation, The Review of Economics and Statistics 90(1): 81-88.
- Dettling, L. J. 2017. Broadband in the labor market: the impact of residential high-speed internet on married women's labor force participation, Industrial and Labor Relations Review 70(2): 451-482.
- Di Maggio, P., E. Hargittai, W. R. Neuman, and J. P. Robinson. 2001. Social implications of the Internet, Annual Review of Sociology 27(1): 307-336.
- Falck, O., R. Gold, and S. Heblich. 2014. E-lections: Voting Behavior and the Internet, The American Economic Review 104(7): 2238-2265.
- Glynn, A. N. and K. Kashin. 2017. Front-door difference- in-differences estimators, American Journal of Political Science 61(4): 989-1002.
- Glynn, A. N. and K. Kashin. 2018. Front-door versus back- door adjustment with unmeasured confounding: Bias Formulas for front-door and hybrid adjustments with application to a job training program, Journal of the American Statistical Association. Forthcoming.
- Goldin, C. and L. F. Katz. 2002. The power of the pill: Oral contraceptives and women's career and marriage decisions, Journal of Political Economy 110(4): 730-770.
- Goldscheider, F., E. Bernhardt and T. Lappegård. 2015. The gender revolution: A framework for understanding changing family and demographic behavior, Population and Development Review 41(2): 207-239.
- Goldstein, J., W. Lutz, and M. R. Testa. 2003. The emer- gence of sub-replacement family size ideals in Europe, Population Research and Policy Review 22(5): 479-496.
- Greenwood, J., A. Seshadri, and M. Yorukoglu. 2005. Engines of liberation, Review of Economic Studies 72 (1): 109-133.
- Guldi, M. and C. M. Herbst. 2017. Offline effects of online connecting: the impact of broadband diffusion on teen fertility decisions, Journal of Population Economics 30 (1): 69-91.
- Hank, K. 2002. Regional social contexts and individual fertility decisions: A multilevel analysis of first and second births in Western Germany, European Journal of Population/Revue Européenne de Démographie 18(3): 281-299.
- Hank, K. and M. Kreyenfeld. 2003. A multilevel analysis of child care and women's fertility decisions in Western Germany, Journal of Marriage and Family 65(3): 584-596. Does broadband Internet affect fertility? 315
- Hargittai, E. 2010. Digital na(t)ives? Variation in internet skills and uses among members of the 'net generation', Sociological Inquiry 80(1): 92-113.
- Hofmann, B. and K. Hohmeyer. 2013. Perceived economic uncertainty and fertility: evidence from a labor market reform, Journal of Marriage and Family 75(2): 503-521.
- Jonen, G. and T. Eckardt. 2006. The education system in the Federal Republic of Germany 2004. Secretariat of the Standing Conference of the Ministers of Education (KMK).
- Kearney, M. S. and P. B. Levine. 2015. Media influences on social outcomes: The impact of MTV's 16 and pregnant on teen childbearing, The American Economic Review 105(12): 3597-3632.
- Kohler, H.-P. 2001. Fertility and Social Interaction: An Economic Perspective. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Kohler, H.-P., J. R. Behrman, and S. C. Watkins. 2001. The density of social networks and fertility decisions: evi- dence from South Nyanza District, Kenya, Demography 38(1): 43-58.
- Kohler, H.-P., F. C. Billari, and J. A. Ortega. 2002. The emergence of lowest-low fertility in Europe during the 1990s, Population and Development Review 28(4): 641-680.
- La Ferrara, E., A. Chong, and S. Duryea. 2012. Soap operas and fertility: evidence from Brazil, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 4(4): 1-31.
- Lesthaeghe, R. 2010. The unfolding story of the second demographic transition, Population and Development Review 36(2): 211-251.
- McDonald, P. 2000. Gender equity in theories of fertility transition, Population and Development Review 26(3): 427-439.
- Morgan, S. P. and M. G. Taylor. 2006. Low fertility at the turn of the twenty-first century, Annual Review of Sociology 32: 375-399.
- Philipov, D. 2009. Fertility intentions and outcomes: the role of policies to close the gap, European Journal of Population/Revue Européenne de Démographie 25(4): 355-361.
- Raute, A. 2017. Can financial incentives reduce the baby gap? Evidence from a reform in maternity leave benefits, Journal of Public Economics forthcoming.
- Rosenfeld, M. J. and R. J. Thomas. 2012. Searching for a mate: The rise of the Internet as a social intermediary, American Sociological Review 77(4): 523-547.
- Schröder, M., R. Siegers, and C. K. Spiess. 2013. Familien in Deutschland -FiD, Schmollers Jahrbuch 133(4): 595-606.
- Sedgh, G., L. B. Finer, A. Bankole, M. A. Eilers, and S. Singh. 2015. Adolescent pregnancy, birth, and abortion rates across countries: levels and recent trends, Journal of Adolescent Health 56(2): 223-230.
- Trudeau, J. 2016. The role of new media on teen sexual behaviors and fertility outcomes-the case of 16 and pregnant, Southern Economic Journal 82(3): 975-1003.
- Wajcman, J. 2015. Pressed for Time: The Acceleration of Life in Digital Capitalism. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
- Ziefle, A. and M. Gangl. 2014. Do women respond to changes in family policy? A quasi-experimental study of the dur- ation of mothers' employment interruptions in Germany, European Sociological Review 30(5): 562-581.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Spreading Uncertainty, Shrinking Birth Rates: A Natural Experiment for Italy
Comolli, C. L., & Vignoli, D. (2021) · European Sociological Review · doi:10.1093/esr/jcab001 · Cited by 172 · see citing works
Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences
Bloom, D. E., Kuhn, M., & Prettner, K. (2024) · Annual Review of Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-economics-081523-013750 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Fertility in High-Income Countries: Trends, Patterns, Determinants, and Consequences
Bloom, D. E., Kuhn, M., & Prettner, K. (2023) · doi:10.2139/ssrn.4597716 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
- Authors
- Billari, F. C., Giuntella, O., & Stella, L.
- Affiliations
- Bocconi University (IT)
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- IZA - Institute of Labor Economics (DE)
- Venue
- Population Studies
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2019-03-28
- Volume
- 73
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 297-316
- ISSN
- 0032-4728 (ISSN-L)
- 1477-4747
- OpenAlex
- W2752354884
- Cited by
- 105
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 17 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 5 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 23.16
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Population Studies (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca (Universita Degli Studi Di Milano) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - Bocconi (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- PubliCatt (Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- H2020 European Research Council (694262)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Work-Family Balance Challenges
- Social Sciences › Demography › Family Dynamics and Relationships
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Keywords
- broadband, fertility, digital divide, highly educated women, work-family balance, part-time work, working from home, time with children, life satisfaction, digital revolution
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Educational Status, Family Characteristics, Female, Germany, Humans, Middle Aged, Personal Satisfaction, Population Dynamics, Socioeconomic Factors, Time Factors, Women, Working, Internet
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review