19 Things We Learned from the 2016 Election
Open accessAbstract
We can all agree that the presidential election result was a shocker. According to news reports, even the Trump campaign team was stunned to come up a winner. So now seems like a good time to go over various theories floating around in political science and political reporting and see where they stand, now that this turbulent political year has drawn to a close. In the present article, we go through several things that we as political observers and political scientists have learned from the election, and then discuss implications for the future.
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The quantitative finding of underreporting by Trump's supporters provides numerical evidence to the general belief that there was serious underreporting by Trump's supporters.
“This quantitative finding provides numerical evidence to the general belief that there was serious underreporting by Trump's supporters [see e.g., Cohn (2017), Gelman and Azari (2017)].”
From Statistical paradises and paradoxes in big data (I): Law of large populations, big data paradox, and the 2016 US presidential election (2018) · cites this paper as Gelman and Azari (2017)
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- Authors
- Gelman, A., & Azari, J.
- Affiliations
- Columbia University (US)
- Marquette University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Gelman, Andrew
- Venue
- Statistics and Public Policy
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2017-01-01
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1-10
- ISSN
- 2330-443X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2780924432
- Cited by
- 33
- References
- 44
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 2 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 7
- FWCI
- 18.62
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Statistics and Public Policy (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of the Treasury
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Populism, Right-Wing Movements
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Media Influence and Politics
- Keywords
- 2016 US presidential election, Donald Trump, election results, political theory, political journalism
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