The DOI matches its Crossref record; 5 of the 5 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Identifying Investor Sentiment from Price Paths: The Case of Football Betting
Abstract
We examine the hypothesis that sentimental bettors can affect the path of prices in football betting markets. We hypothesize that sentimental traders follow the advice of false experts, believe excessively in momentum strategies, bet excessively on teams that are well known and covered in the media. We generate proxies for these sources of sentiment and show that point spreads move predictably over the course of the week, partially in response to variables known prior to the opening of betting. We show that a betting strategy of betting against the predicted movement in the point spread is borderline profitable. Copyright 1999 by University of Chicago Press.
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Citations
Cites
Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1997) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03807.x · Cited by 5,291
Disclosure, Liquidity, and the Cost of Capital
DIAMOND, D. W., & VERRECCHIA, R. E. (1991) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb04620.x · Cited by 3,836
Preferences for Stock Characteristics As Revealed by Mutual Fund Portfolio Holdings
FALKENSTEIN, E. G. (1996) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1996.tb05204.x · Cited by 1,058
Testing Market Efficiency: Evidence From The NFL Sports Betting Market
GRAY, P. K., & GRAY, S. F. (1997) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb01129.x · Cited by 219
Testing Rationality in the Point Spread Betting Market
GANDAR, J., ZUBER, R., O'BRIEN, T., & RUSSO, B. (1988) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb02617.x · Cited by 181 · cited 1×
“Gandar et al. (1998) argue that changes in the basketball point spread are less likely to reflect new information than changes in the football point spread because the pedod of betting is shorter for basketball than for football games.”
Background
Cited by
Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing
(2001) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/0022-1082.00379 · Cited by 2,357
Gentzkow, M., & Shapiro, J. M. (2006) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/499414 · Cited by 1,013
Investor psychology in capital markets: evidence and policy implications
Daniel, K., Hirshleifer, D., & Teoh, S. H. (2002) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/s0304-3932(01)00091-5 · Cited by 759
Gentzkow, M., & Shapiro, J. (2005) · National Bureau of Economic Research · doi:10.3386/w11664 · Cited by 631
Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather
Hirshleifer, D. A., & Shumway, T. (2001) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.265674 · Cited by 513
Metadata
- Authors
- Avery, C., & Chevalier, J.
- Venue
- The Journal of Business
- Publisher
- University of Chicago Press
- Published
- 1999-10
- Volume
- 72
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 493-521
- ISSN
- 0021-9398 (ISSN-L)
- 1537-5374
- OpenAlex
- W2065890646
- Cited by
- 172
- References
- 5
- FWCI
- 5.47
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.